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Pac-12 Men's Basketball Power Rankings: Week 6

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It's a bad week for the Trojans and the Huskies, but a great week for public schools in California as Cal and UC Los Angeles are on the rise.

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Go go Power Rankings! (Of the Pac-12 and Men's Basketball variety.)

The CGB writers sat down in Room C47 of the CGB West Coast complex to iron out these super-important rankings. Though I have a way with words (and the way is sexy), I'm not here to vote! I'm just here as the mastermind and organizer while our more esteemed analyzers analyze.

As per usual, first-place votes are listed parenthetically and in the event of a tie, the tied teams are listed alphabetically.

The rankings

1. Arizona (6) Arrow_neutral__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 SBN logos- Arizona

Last week: 1

Ruey Yen: Took care of the Oregon schools at home.

Nick Kranz: A good way to impress with a home sweep is with an average margin of victory of 28.5. In fact, a 7 point win at Stanford is the closest game Arizona has played since that goofy OSU upset.

Reef: Bottom line, this is a national championship contender.

2. Utah Arrow_neutral__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- Utah

Last week: 2

Ruey Yen: Tripped up in Westwood, but still significantly better than the rest of the Pac.

Nick Kranz: A 34-point difference between Utah's win over UCLA in SLC and Utah's loss in Westwood. Which is why predicted basketball is dumb.

Reef: Lot of little stuff: Loveridge in foul trouble, Powell going off. Nothing to be alarmed about.

3. Stanfurd Arrow_neutral__9-8-14_medium
Pac-12 logos- Stanfurd

Last week: 3

Ruey Yen: Want to drop them more for losing to Wazzu, but other middle of the Pac also suffered losses.

Nick Kranz: Dropping a game in Pullman is understandable, but hurts a hypothetical NCAA seed and any chance of competing with Arizona/Utah in the standings. Good.

Reef: They really don't defend anywhere near their ability. This will hurt them in March.

4. UCLA Arrow_up__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- UCLA

Last week: 7T

Ruey Yen: Schizophrenic Bruins are perfect at home, nearly winless on the road. Will that change this week in the Bay?

Nick Kranz: A perfect 4-0 at home, an ugly 1-4 on the road. God to I hope that pattern continues this week in the Bay Area.

Reef: Same old ucla. Wildly talent with wildly fluctuating performances.

5. Oregon Arrow_neutral__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- Oregon

Last week: 5

Ruey Yen: Losing to Arizona is understandable, but just squeaked by OSU.

Nick Kranz: Like UCLA: good at home, bad on the road.

Reef: Did what they were supposed to do.

6. Oregon State Arrow_down__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- OSU

Last week: 4

Ruey Yen: Ugly loss to ASU, in addition to losing to Arizona

Nick Kranz: Losing in Tempe hurts, but OSU can get healthy in a hurry at home against UW and WSU.

Reef: The whole not having an offense thing is going to bite them eventually.

7. Colorado Arrow_neutral__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- Colorado

Last week: 7T

Ruey Yen: Split the LA trip; just escaped USC with a W.

Nick Kranz: All it takes for Colorado to get a road win is three overtimes against the worst team in the conference and a career performance from their best player.

Reef: I'm putting them here by default, because nobody is better. They're horribly uninspired, and both LA games were bad performances.

8. Washington State Arrow_up__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- WSU

Last week: 10

Ruey Yen: Lost to Cal, but beat Furd.

Nick Kranz: Boy can they shoot themselves to some goofy wins. Coaxing this kind of offense out of the personnel on hand has to be one of Ernie Kent's finest coaching achievements.

Reef: Stopped the bleeding by shooting lights out against furd, but the wound is real.

9. Arizona State Arrow_neutral__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- ASU

Last week: 9

Ruey Yen: Just edged by the Ducks.

Nick Kranz: The Sun Devils are the only team in the conference without a player in the top 20 of the conference in scoring, which I think speaks to the anonymity of this team. I miss Jahii Carson and Jordan Bachynski. At least those guys were interesting.

Reef: The distribution on this team is a little strange, but it's sort of working.

10. California Arrow_up__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- Cal

Last week: 12

Ruey Yen: I have been waiting for a perfect week all season.

Nick Kranz: I want to move Cal up, because 10th place teams don't get road sweeps. But I can't yet justify putting Cal above ASU after that game.

Reef: I'm moving them from the basement to 9. I'm a homer. Sue me.

11. Washington Arrow_down__9-8-14_medium
Pac-12 logos- Washington

Last week: 6

Ruey Yen: They still have a competitive RPI, but season swept by the Bears hurts.

Nick Kranz: They weren't good before losing Jarreau and Upshaw.

Reef: They don't amount to much without their frontcourt.

12. USC Arrow_down__9-8-14_medium

Pac-12 logos- USC

Last week: 11

Ruey Yen: Color me worried about the Cal-USC game on Thursday.

Nick Kranz: That triple OT loss to Colorado was just heaping the pain on a lost season.

Reef: Is Enfield the answer? No.

The data

Our very complex and superbly sophisticated methodology involves taking everyone's votes individually after days of film study and analytics.

Rk atoms boomtho Nick ragnarok Reef Ruey
1 Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona Arizona
2 Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah Utah
3 Stanfurd UCLA Stanfurd Stanfurd Stanfurd UCLA
4 Oregon Stanfurd UCLA UCLA UCLA Stanfurd
5 Colorado Oregon Oregon Oregon Oregon Oregon
6 OSU OSU OSU WSU OSU OSU
7 UCLA Colorado WSU ASU ASU Colorado
8 WSU WSU Colorado OSU Colorado WSU
9 Cal ASU ASU Washington Cal Cal
10 ASU Cal Cal Cal WSU ASU
11 Washington Washington Washington Colorado Washington Washington
12 USC USC USC USC USC USC

Table 1. I vote, you vote, we all vote USC to be 12th.

This data gets pumped through our supercomputers to convert these votes into a unified, CGB vision. (It totally isn't Microsoft Excel.) This is shown in Figure 1; the error bars are a measure of the differences in responses for each team.

MBB Power Rankings- 0601

Figure 1. The precise rankings for each team with the standard deviation shown as the error bars.

We can track these rankings over the course of the season to see which teams are consistent, which teams are bipolar, and which teams go on hot/cold streaks.

MBB Power Rankings- 0602

Figure 2. The precise Power Rankings each week.

The top of the conference sure is consistently boring. Arizona is unanimously #1; Utah is unanimously #2; and Stanfurd is #3 with a bit of a drop since last week, but still holding that place all season-long. Beneath them, we see UC Los Angeles just barely edged out Oregon for fourth-place. Similarly, Cal exploded out of the basement by sweeping the Washington schools (and for being ranked on a Cal site full of homers).

This week also breaks the three-week streak of at least one team being tied. Bonus: Colorado was always one of those teams. Colorado finally stands out on its own! In fact, Colorado was at one point standing a full point away from the two closest teams (OSU and WSU), but a last-minute vote by ragnarok with Colorado in 11th place torpedoed the Buffs into close territory with the Cougs.

These rankings are tweaked ever-so-slightly to make the more commonly seen version where each team gets placed in a pretty little 1st/3rd/17th place.

MBB Power Rankings- 0603

Figure 3. The rounded rankings for the whole season.

With this revision, I think we get things a little closer to reality; that is, Stanfurd is boring and stuck in the bridesmaid position, just like how boring they are in real life. On the other hand, teams like UW are more exciting by jumping up and down each week. This weekly movement is quantified in this CGB series with the measure of Madness. Madness simply tracks how many spots up or down the teams are moving; the total Madness each week and how Mad each team has been all season is shown in Table 2.

Change on week
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Team's Madness
Arizona 0 -1 1 0 0 2
ASU -1 -2 1 1 0 5
Cal 0 -4 -2 0 2 8
Colorado 4 -1 -2 1 0 8
Oregon 1 0 -4 3 0 8
OSU 1 6 0 0 -2 9
Stanfurd 0 0 0 0 0 0
UCLA -4 5 1 -2 3 15
USC -2 3 -2 0 -1 8
Utah 0 1 -1 0 0 2
Washington -3 -5 6 0 -5 19
WSU 4 0 1 -3 2 10
Total Madness 20 28 21 10 15

Table 2. Madness for the year!