royrules22
May 15, 2008 Jan 05, 2009 30 1174
EECS major at UC Berkeley/Cal.
I used to go by RR at the Cal Golden Blogs.
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Statistics and Records for Cal under Tedford
by royrules22
on Jan 6, 2009 4:39 PM PST
Some of you may remember that I made a fanpost back in June 2008 regarding Cal's successes and failures in the Tedford era. That post was pretty crude as it only contained our W/L records against other teams and in different locations. So when I decided to update it to include information from the 2008 season I expanded it to take a look at a lot more statistics.
Keep in mind throughout the post that correlation does not imply causation.
Key:
Blue - GOOD
Red - BAD
Records By Team
| Team | W | L |
| New Mexico St | 3 | 0 |
| Michigan St | 2 | 0 |
| Southern Miss | 2 | 0 |
| Illinois | 2 | 0 |
| Miami | 1 | 0 |
| Portland State | 1 | 0 |
| Texas A&M | 1 | 0 |
| BYU | 1 | 0 |
| Baylor | 1 | 0 |
| Louisiana Tech | 1 | 0 |
| Virginia Tech | 1 | 0 |
| Minnesota | 1 | 0 |
| Sacramento St | 1 | 0 |
| Stanford | 6 | 1 |
| Washington | 6 | 1 |
| Arizona St | 5 | 1 |
| Washington St | 4 | 1 |
| Air Force | 2 | 1 |
| Colorado St | 2 | 1 |
| Oregon | 4 | 2 |
| Arizona | 4 | 3 |
| UCLA | 4 | 3 |
| Tennessee | 1 | 1 |
| Oregon St | 2 | 5 |
| USC | 1 | 6 |
| Maryland | 0 | 1 |
| Utah | 0 | 1 |
| Texas Tech | 0 | 1 |
| Kansas St | 0 | 1 |
Teams played more than once:
| Team | W | L |
| New Mexico St | 3 | 0 |
| Michigan St | 2 | 0 |
| Southern Miss | 2 | 0 |
| Illinois | 2 | 0 |
| Stanford | 6 | 1 |
| Washington | 6 | 1 |
| Arizona St | 5 | 1 |
| Washington St | 4 | 1 |
| Air Force | 2 | 1 |
| Colorado St | 2 | 1 |
| Oregon | 4 | 2 |
| Arizona | 4 | 3 |
| UCLA | 4 | 3 |
| Tennessee | 1 | 1 |
| Oregon St | 2 | 5 |
| USC | 1 | 6 |
Analysis:
I'm going to ignore the teams that we played once because they were either bowl games, the tail end of a home and home agreement from the Holmoe era or series that are still to be completed.
Still we seem to own New Mexico St, Michigan St, Stanford, Arizona St, and the Washington schools. Unfortunately however the Oregon St and (unsurprisingly) USC owns us. I'm a bit surprised at our record against Arizona because I was always under the impression that Arizona is just an annoying little gnat. But other than the two times Cal shut out Arizona it's been a tight game with them owning us thrice. And I'm glad to see that despite the two losses we are pretty much owning Oregon. Take that JOregonFan!
Records by Location
| Location | W | L |
| Pullman, WA | 2 | 0 |
| San Francisco, CA | 1 | 0 |
| Fort Collins, CO | 1 | 0 |
| Phoenix, AZ | 1 | 0 |
| Hattiesburg, MS | 1 | 0 |
| Fort Worth, TX | 1 | 0 |
| East Lansing, MI | 1 | 0 |
| Las Vegas, NV | 1 | 0 |
| Champaign, IL | 1 | 0 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 1 | 0 |
| Colorado Springs, CO | 1 | 0 |
| Berkeley, CA | 35 | 9 |
| Seattle, WA | 3 | 1 |
| Palo Alto, CA | 2 | 1 |
| Tempe, AZ | 2 | 1 |
| Corvallis, OR | 2 | 2 |
| San Diego, CA | 1 | 1 |
| Eugene, OR | 1 | 2 |
| Tucson, AZ | 1 | 2 |
| Los Angeles, CA | 0 | 4 |
| Knoxville, TN | 0 | 1 |
| Pasadena, CA | 0 | 3 |
| Kansas City, MO | 0 | 1 |
| Salt Lake City, UT | 0 | 1 |
| College Park, MD | 0 | 1 |
Places played at more than once
| Location | W | L |
| Pullman, WA | 2 | 0 |
| Berkeley, CA | 35 | 9 |
| Seattle, WA | 3 | 1 |
| Palo Alto, CA | 2 | 1 |
| Tempe, AZ | 2 | 1 |
| Corvallis, OR | 2 | 2 |
| San Diego, CA | 1 | 1 |
| Eugene, OR | 1 | 2 |
| Tucson, AZ | 1 | 2 |
| Los Angeles, CA | 0 | 4 |
| Pasadena, CA | 0 | 3 |
A map displaying the same info as above (click to see a larger version)
Analysis:
There are two things that jump out at me when I see this. Firstly why the f*** haven't we won at Los Angeles yet! Our SoCal record is atrocious (the one victory coming against a Texas A&M team in the Holiday Bowl). Secondly we've been nearly unstoppable at Berkeley. For the past three years no one but Oregon St and USC have been able to stop us there. It has become a true 12th man for Cal. And I like to think that I made a difference these past three seasons!
I honestly don't know what to make of the map. We do pretty good on the west coast (barring SoCal) and the Midwest but we have trouble in the east coast and SEC territory. But then again it's hard to draw conclusion because we haven't played much there.
Record By Month
| Month | W | L |
| December | 8 | 2 |
| September | 21 | 6 |
| August | 3 | 1 |
| November | 12 | 9 |
| October | 15 | 12 |
Analysis
There's only one conclusion I can draw from this: If you want to beat Cal, play us in November or at worst October. This makes it look like Cal starts out strong, runs out of steam midway through the season and then dominates in December (which is usually against Stanford and bowl games). If you consider the fact that USC is at its strongest in November and that we tend to play them in November, then our record against USC makes sense. I'm glad that we play them in September next year.
Record By Conference
| Conference | W | L |
| Big-10 | 5 | 0 |
| Sun Belt | 2 | 0 |
| WAC | 2 | 0 |
| FCS | 2 | 0 |
| CUSA | 2 | 0 |
| ACC | 2 | 1 |
| MWC | 5 | 3 |
| Pac-10 | 36 | 23 |
| SEC | 1 | 1 |
| Big-12 | 2 | 2 |
Analysis
We own the Big-10 (11). And our three losses to the Mountain West came early in Tedford's era (Air Force, Colorado State and Alex Smith led Utah). Recently we've also dominated the MWC. Glad to see no losing records here. We're .610 against the Pac-10 which is pretty damn good considering our record in Tucson and Los Angeles.
Records for Starting QB
Note: Longshore started Air Force Bowl 07 and Riley started UDub 08
| Conference | W | L |
| Steve Levy | 2 | 0 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 17 | 6 |
| Kevin Riley | 7 | 3 |
| Nate Longshore | 20 | 10 |
| Kyle Boller | 7 | 5 |
| Joe Ayoob | 5 | 4 |
| Reggie Robertson | 1 | 2 |
Winngest Starting QBs
| Conference | W | L |
| Nate Longshore | 20 | 10 |
| Aaron Rodgers | 17 | 6 |
| Kyle Boller | 7 | 5 |
| Kevin Riley | 7 | 3 |
| Joe Ayoob | 5 | 4 |
| Steve Levy | 2 | 0 |
| Reggie Robertson | 1 | 2 |
Analysis
When it comes to winning percentages it's clear that Aaron Rodgers was the best starting QB that Cal had (Steve Levy is just an abberation). But neither Nate Longshore nor Kevin Riley are too bad. HOWEVER keep in mind that this only says who started. It could be that the games were won (or lost) because of our running game, our D, etc.
That said it doesn't surprise me that Nate Longshore is our winningest QB in the Tedford era followed by Rodgers.
Poor Reggie Robertson. Only played three games and lost two of them. Whatever happened to him?
Also when I was compliling the data I noticed that outside of the second half of his season Ayoob wasn't THAT bad. Sure he had turnovers but he did compile some decent stats in some of his early games. What the hell happened?
Records by Turfs
| Turf | W | L |
| Artificial | 48 | 15 |
| Grass | 11 | 15 |
Analysis
Dear god we suck on grass. Is this because we face our worst enemies on grass or do we really just suck on grass? Our stats on Artificial turf is exaggerated due to the fact that we play on Artificial turf at Memorial.
Records at Different Timezones
| Timezone | W | L |
| Central | 3 | 1 |
| Pacific | 48 | 23 |
| Mountain | 7 | 4 |
| Eastern | 1 | 2 |
Analysis
East Coast has Cal's number. That's all I can deduce here.
Record By Starting Time
| Time | W | L |
| Before Noon | 8 | 1 |
| Noon to 3PM | 27 | 15 |
| 3PM to 5PM | 18 | 8 |
| After 5PM | 6 | 6 |
Average Starting Time: 2:36PM
Analysis
I was surprised to see that we've only lost one game in which Cal played earlier than noon (and that game was Maryland). I honestly thought that it would be worse. But guess not. And Cal seems to do great during prime time games (3PM-5PM) though most of it's games tend to be in the afternoon (thus the average starting time of 2:30PM). Not sure what the problem is with night games.
Record Against Ranked Teams
| Ranking | W | L |
| #1 - #5 | 1 | 4 |
| #6 - #10 | 0 | 2 |
| #11 - #15 | 5 | 2 |
| #16 - #20 | 1 | 3 |
| #21 - #25 | 4 | 3 |
| Unranked | 48 | 16 |
Number of Ranked Teams faced: 25
Average Opponent Ranking (when opponent is ranked): 14
Analysis
So unsurprisingly Cal has trouble with top-10 teams (and the only victory coming against USC in 2003). It doesn't help that most of the top-10 teams Cal faces is coached by Pete Caroll. We seem to do ok with the other ranked teams (not sure what's up with 16-20 though) and we usually beat unranked teams.
Of the 25 ranked teams cal faced (out of 89) they were on averaged ranked #14. That's pretty good.
Record When Ranked
| Ranking | W | L |
| #1 - #5 | 4 | 2 |
| #6 - #10 | 10 | 5 |
| #11 - #15 | 7 | 0 |
| #16 - #20 | 6 | 3 |
| #21 - #25 | 4 | 6 |
| Unranked | 28 | 14 |
Number of Times Ranked: 47
Average Ranking (when Cal is ranked): 13
Analysis
Cal's successes when ranked in the top-10 is almost all from the 2004 era. But what I'm most curious about is Cal's record when ranked between 11-15. Out of 7 games when Cal is ranked in that spot in the past 7 years, Cal has never lost.
Cal has been ranked (not including post-season) a total of 47 times out of 89 (53%!) and during these 47 times Cal was ranked on average 13. That's pretty damn good.
Records...
| Stat | W | L |
| ...when Turnover Margin < 0 | 13 | 19 |
| ...when Turnover Margin >= 0 | 46 | 11 |
| ...when Outrushed by Opponent | 7 | 21 |
| ...when Outrushing Opponent | 52 | 9 |
| ...when Outpassed by Opponent | 31 | 13 |
| ...when Outpassing Opponent | 28 | 17 |
| ...when Outgained by Opponent | 14 | 19 |
| ...when Outgaining Opponent | 45 | 11 |
| ...when Scoring < 10 | 0 | 3 |
| ...when Scoring between 10-20 | 2 | 11 |
| ...when Scoring between 20-30 | 12 | 12 |
| ...when Scoring between 30-40 | 14 | 3 |
| ...when Scoring more than 40 | 31 | 1 |
| ...when Opp Scores < 10 | 15 | 0 |
| ...when Opp Scores between 10-20 | 22 | 2 |
| ...when Opp Scores between 20-30 | 16 | 13 |
| ...when Opp Scores between 30-40 | 5 | 9 |
| ...when Opp Scores more than 40 | 1 | 6 |
Analysis
I can't see anything surprising here. If an opponent turns it over less than you, rushes more than you or simply plays better than you then you'll lose. And vice versa. Although it's funny to note that when an opponent has outpassed Cal, Cal has won a higher percentage of times then when Cal has outpassed the opponent. This is probably because the losing team tends to pass a lot.
Also the fact that we do terrible when our running game gets shut down seems to show me that Cal is pretty much a rushing team rather than a stereotypical West Coast passing team.
Yearly Stats
Click to see fully
Analysis
I had to make this into an image because I couldn't fit the table into this fanpost.
What I can take away is that Cal averages around 180yds rushing per game which is quite a bit (and look at the rushing numbers in 2004 and 2005 - holy crap!). Unsurprisingly the 2008 team's passing was the worst in the past 7 seasons and the offense was the statistically the second worst even though the running game was the third best. But our defense was damn good (only the 2004 edition comes close). And another surprising thing I noticed is that our turnover margin is a whopping +37! That's mainly due to the insane +18 in 2002 (!) and the +15 of the last season. And is it any surprise that the two worst seasons Cal had under Tedford, 2005 and 2007 had a negative turnover margin?
So that's that. I wanted to find out where Tedford recruited from and then overlay that with the map that showed Cal's successes but I got too lazy so that's a project for someone else or for later.
73 comments | 14 recs
This pic was taken in the Doe mainstacks during this (finals) week.
25 days ago
royrules22
43 comments
2 recs
DBD 12.10.08 As a birthday gift I'm going to make a DBD!
by royrules22
on Dec 10, 2008 3:36 AM PST
Yes I know either Rishi or Twist or Hydro was supposed to do it. But seeing that it is my birthday (and I'm officially not a teen anymore!) and that I'm pulling an all nighter to finish two projects I decided I'll reward myself with my first ever DBD!
Pointless Twist-style discussion:
Who will Cal play for that open slot we have in 2009? Many folks on BI seem to think it might be UC Davis. Chances are thought it might be some directional State school.
What jerseys should Cal wear for the bowl? I want the original mustard top jersies (the one we wore against Oregon 06 or Tennessee 07). I do think that the yellow jerseys are going to be there.
We need a CGB tailgate
Jahvid Best is a man among children (a.k.a. Jacquizz)
Syd'Quan Thompson will be our starting QB in 2009
Nude Sushi is the best Cal invention ever
Implementing rag dolls are a pain in the ass
Now the links:
Alex Mack wins the Draddy Award (Academic Heisman)
California center Alex Mack won the Draddy Trophy on Tuesday night, given to the top senior scholar-athlete in college football.
He beat out 14 other players from all levels of college football, including Missouri quarterback Chase Daniel and Texas Tech quarterback Graham Harrell, and received the award at the National Football Foundation and College Hall of Fame awards banquet.
Ken Goe (The Oregonian) thinks Cal has a good chance against Miami
I like Cal's chances in the Emerald Bowl against Miami, a poor imitation of the Hurricanes' powerhouse teams of yesteryear. The Bears have been solid defensively all season. Tailback Jahvid Best's return to health gives them a game-breaking dimension in what amounts to a home game.
I don't know much about basketball but here's A Conversation with Assistant Coach Jennifer Hoover of the Cal's womens basketball team
Being from the East, can you comment on the "East Coast" bias that seems to exist in women's college basketball?
From my point of view I think it's just purely a lack of exposure. I rarely saw anybody but Stanford on TV, and that was back when I was a player growing up, when (Jennifer) Azzi was there ... The East Coast people are asleep when most of the (west coast) games are occurring and you think 'TIVO'. Well the college basketball world will TIVO it, but just the average fan that's looking for a game?
In case you missed it:
Cal v. Clemson 1991 Citrus Bowl Part 1
Cal v. Clemson 1991 Citrus Bowl Part 2
Now we can wait for Twist to wake up and post some meaningful links in the comments.
428 comments | 0 recs
Cal v. Clemson 1991 Citrus Bowl Part 1
Cal v. Clemson 1991 Citrus Bowl Part 2
USC Tickets on sale for Student Season ticket holders!
Get it now! Let's make the Collesium Bear Territory!
3 months ago
royrules22
1 comments
0 recs
What's your Cal history?
by royrules22
on Oct 9, 2008 3:13 AM PDT
(RoyRules put up this interesting FanPost last night. We thought, especially with the bye week, it would be create very cool discussion for people here. What is *your* Cal story?)
Inspired by those silly jumbotron videos during the games, a comment from some other post here on CGB and shockingly BI.
In any case explain here how and when you got into football, Cal football, when you entered Cal, how your football/life was at Cal and when you graduated (or when you will graduate), etc.
Behind the fold is RoyRules' story.
329 comments | 9 recs
Stolen from Bear Insider.
Right before Follett crushed Carpenter
Full res: http://i47.photobucket.com/albums/f155/tacksharp/Cal_Arizona_State_2008/Cal_ASU_081004_3228_9x6.jpg
3 months ago
royrules22
0 comments
1 recs
Photos!
by royrules22
on Oct 4, 2008 7:51 PM PDT
Again my pictures from the student section (50 yard line, 15th row).
Cal warming up. Did not like the blue on white combo
ASU warms up. Some guy tried to taunt the student section and we responded (err I didn't start it but I participated) by chanting U-N-L-V
Rain (thank god it cleared up)
Mack Attack!
Look who doesn't start!
Cal Band great!
He dropped the baton... at least we won unlike OSU last year
Script Cal
Flyover!
Carpenter under center
Something happened
Longshore under center - I liked him today minus his INT. Cignetti deserves most of the blame for our offense (too... many... screens!) and our O-line was meh
Longshore is bald!?
Celebrating a TD
ASU fans
I saw something truly Berkeley - a 50+ man smoking pot next to me. I have a picture of him smoking but I'm not posting it here... because of the legality and what not
Goodbye!
Should've been a bigger victory. Stupid BS penalty calls and that "Bush Push" TD
61 comments | 1 recs
Official Cal-CSU Photos Thread!
by royrules22
on Sep 27, 2008 9:39 PM PDT
Post any photos that you took at the game here. Since my photos are probably (most likely) worse than the others that are gonna get posted I decided to get it out of the way first:
Man it was effing hot.
stadium view:
Above me in student section:
Cal kicking off at halftime:
CSU on offense:
Stuffed:
Handoff: 
via img.photobucket.com
SydGOD, grabbing the ball on a punt. He proceeded to run it in for a TD:
via img.photobucket.com
Cal on offense (with Longshore under center. He threw two TD's and no INTs in the 4th Q!)
via img.photobucket.com
Handoff to Best (the next play he was injured and left the field. Hope he's ok for next week...)
via img.photobucket.com
CSU fans leaving (this was the worst turnout for a visiting team I've seen since I've been at Cal - 2006)
And of course:
Click on the "via img.photobucket.com" link to see the full res. That's it.
Edit-
Videos as I upload them to Youtube (quality is crap sorry):
This is the starting lineups for Cal
National Anthem (best if you see in High Quality at youtube):
Cal band does the Script Cal (again see in youtube and pick high quality):
A single drive by CSU (where Syd recovers a fumble) - youtube link:
59 comments | 2 recs
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