Cal Women's Basketball At Arizona State Preview + Gamethread

When: 1:00 pm PT
Video Stream: Fox Sports Arizona
Audio Stream: Cal Bears All-Access
Gametracker

I was worried we wouldn't be able to watch one of the biggest games left in the season, but evidently Fox Sports Arizona is coming up huge for us! Only two more road games before the Pac-12 network!

Maybe catching last place Arizona in between huge games with Stanford and Arizona St. was a formula for a let-down, but the bottom line is that Cal survived, which preserves much of the excitement fans should have for today’s game against the 3rd place, 15-6 (6-4) Sun Devils.

It’s tough to overstate how important this game is. For one thing, it’s arguably Cal’s toughest non-Stanford game left on the schedule. If Cal wins they move up to 8-3 in the Pac-12 with a favorable schedule left. This game is the first of just three more road games on the schedule, and a trip to Oregon isn’t especially intimidating. Win and 2nd place in the conference looks likely. Lose and Cal falls back into the jumble with ASU, USC and UCLA. Gaining separation from the pack is a key to securing a solid NCAA seed

My main concern (for the first time this year!) is depth and energy. Cal played an exhausting game against Stanford on Saturday, then played an exhausting game against Arizona on Thursday, and they did it with Gennifer Brandon sick. Five players had to play 29 minutes or more and if Gennifer isn’t able to play her usual minutes we might have a very tired team on our hands.

Here’s what you need to know about ASU: they’re slow, they’re deep and they play great defense. They have ten players that average 10 minutes a game or more, they rotate players in and out of the lineup constantly, and they grind the game to a halt with a deliberate offense and a defense that stops teams from running. Their best player is a Brandon (Kimberly), who leads the team in scoring and rebounding – though it’s worth noting that she only scored 11 total points in three games against Cal last year.

Tempo Free Preview

Our computer overlords (Sagarin) predict: Cal by 0.93. This game is basically a toss-up.

Category

Cal Ranking

ASU Ranking

Advantage

Cal eFG% v. ASU Def eFG%

132

6

AA

Cal Def eFG% v. ASU eFG%

76

158

C

Cal TO% v. ASU Def TO%

92

61

A

Cal Def TO% v. ASU TO%

228

153

A

Cal Reb% v. ASU Reb%

2

99

C

Cal FTR v. ASU Opp FTR

151

185

C

Cal Opp FTR v. ASU FTR

114

299

CC

Cal O-PPP v. ASU D-PPP

50

15

A

Cal D-PPP v. ASU O-PPP

57

168

CC

Number one scary stat: Teams do not shoot well against Arizona St., and Cal’s poor performances have come when they just can’t find a way to get the ball to go through the hoop. Cal will really have to focus on calm offensive execution and good shot selection tonight.

Number one less scary stat: pretty much every ASU offensive stat. They don’t shoot particularly well, they’re prone to turnovers and they never shoot free throws.

This game is probably going to be a defensive struggle, and the game will likely come down to rebounds. Over the last two years Arizona St. has been one of the few Pac-12 teams that can hang with Cal on the boards. But while Cal has become an even better rebounding team this year, the Sun Devils have somewhat regressed. That slight advantage might be just what Cal needs to escape Tempe with a huge win.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join California Golden Blogs

You must be a member of California Golden Blogs to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at California Golden Blogs. You should read them.

Join California Golden Blogs

You must be a member of California Golden Blogs to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at California Golden Blogs. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker