Kyle Terada-US PRESSWIRE
Each summer Uncle Ted produces some entertaining best-case and worst-case scenarios for each of the Pac-12's teams. His worst-case scenario was shockingly accurate in 2010. Let's see how accurate his worst-case scenario was for 2012.
Remember how accurate Ted Miller's worst-case scenario was for Cal in 2010? Although his best case/worst case predictions have become more stylized and outlandish since then, he may not have lost his ability to produce surprisingly accurate predictions for the Bears. Let's see how his worst-case scenario matched up with reality.
In its first game in newly renovated Memorial Stadium, California opens with a 20-17 win against Nevada, beating the Wolfpack with a last-second field goal. The Bears then don't look impressive while besting Southern Utah 35-20.
With a loss to Nevada and an unimpressive win over SUU, the Bears are already doing worse than the worst-case scenario. A fine start.
The Bears surrender six sacks at Ohio State in a 20-3 loss. They then lose 44-20 at USC.
"Sigh," writes the California Golden Blogs.
We were a much more competitive at Ohio State and a much less competitive against USC. And yes, we all sighed after that two-game stretch.
Cal bounces back with wins against Arizona State and UCLA. Quarterback Zach Maynard finds his groove, throwing four touchdown passes with no interceptions.
Maynard couldn't find anything against ASU. Fortunately UCLA's utter incompetence allowed us to get a big win. So now we're two games worse than the worst-case scenario.
Caught looking ahead to the Big Game, Cal falls 44-41 at Washington State.
Then it surrenders four sacks in a 33-17 loss to Stanford in the Big Game.
At least we beat Wazzu. A 33-17 Big Game loss would have been much better than a 20-3 loss.
Maynard, not unlike 2011, remains inconsistent. The offensive line is struggling. The young talent on defense makes major mistakes for every big play. Injuries start to pile up.
That sounds about right.
After an overtime loss at Utah, a column in the San Francisco Chronicle asks if Tedford can survive a losing season.
The Utah loss seems to deflate the Bears. They suffer back-to-back home blowout defeats to Washington and Oregon. Amid rumors that Tedford will be fired, the Bears show fight at Oregon State, but lose 30-28.
Swap a close loss to Utah with a blowout loss to Washington and we break even. We were blown out against Oregon and suffered the worst loss of the Tedford era against Oregon State. 30-28? I wish.
At 4-8 with six consecutive losses to end the season, it's clear Cal will make a change. Athletic director Sandy Barbour announces that "with great regret" she is terminating Tedford.
USC wins the national championship. Stanford wins the Rose Bowl.
Yep, Tedford got fired and Stanford is one win away from the Rose Bowl (which they will be favored to win over Nebraska/Wisconsin). At least USC's national championship hopes are a smoldering crater.
Barbour hires Andy Ludwig to replace Tedford.
That hasn't happened....yet.
UCLA eclipses Cal on the U.S. News & World Report university rankings.
Nor has that...yet.
"Er," says UC Berkeley professor Jack Moehle, a member of the campus’s Seismic Review Committee. "You know all that stuff we built into the stadium to save it from a potential earthquake? The concrete 'seismic blocks' at the end zones to keep fans from rocking as a quake rolls, the press box that can sway up to 12 inches in a large-scale temblor, and the shock absorbers to prevent the box from crashing into the western seating bowl? None of it works. If there was even a small earth quake, everything would tumble into Hayward Fault. Well, everything other than USC and Stanford."
I pray to Juju this doesn't happen.
So let's recap:
|Opponent||Uncle Ted's Worst Case||Reality|
|Nevada||Cal wins 20-17||Cal loses 31-24|
|Southern Utah||Cal wins 35-20||Cal wins 50-31|
|Ohio State||Cal loses 3-20||Cal loses 28-35|
|USC||Cal loses 20-44||Cal loses 9-27|
|Arizona State||Cal wins||Cal loses 17-27|
|UCLA||Cal wins||Cal wins 43-17|
|Washington State||Cal loses 41-44||Cal wins 31-17|
|Stanford||Cal loses 17-33||Cal loses 3-21|
|Utah||Cal loses in OT||Cal loses 27-49|
|Washington||Cal loses a blowout||Cal loses 13-21|
|Oregon||Cal loses a blowout||Cal loses 17-59|
|Oregon State||Cal loses 28-30||Cal loses 14-62|
So we did worse than the worst-case scenario. We did worse than the predictions he describes as "extreme scenarios and pieces of fiction."
- Jeff Tedford issued a statement thanking everyone who contributed to his eleven-year tenure.
- Sandy Barbour met with the media to discuss the decision and give some hints at what kind of candidates the search committee is seeking.
- Faraudo puts together a comprehensive list of candidates to replace Tedford.
- Unsurprisingly, the Bears earned an F for the performance against Oregon State.
- CalBears.com checks in with the Bears in the NFL.
- Dave Newhouse reflects on the Tedford era.
- Now ranked 11th, the Bears cruised to an 86-61 victory over Cal Poly.
- The Bears opened the Cal Classic with a 91-58 win over Eastern Washington.
- Cal won the tournament with a 72-56 win over Georgetown. Layshia Clarendon was named tournament MVP. Gottlieb spoke to the media postgame. I'm always impressed by the depth of her post-game comments.
- Allen Crabbe recognizes he must improve his consistency and aggressiveness to improve his draft prospects this season.
- The men's team used a late 14-2 run to pull ahead in a 73-70 victory over Drake in the Anaheim Classic.
- Cal defeated Georgia Tech 68-57 in the semifinal.
Swimming and Diving
- Collin Pollard led the men's divers at the Arizona Invitational.
- Kahley Rowell won the platform at the Wildcat Invitational.
- The Bears became eligible for an NCAA berth with a thrilling come-from-behind victory against Utah in five sets.
- Cal's regular season came to an end with a loss in the Big Spike.
- Six Bears earned All-Academic recognition.
- Cal accepted another bid to the College Rugby Championship 7s. The CRC 7s will take place next June and air on NBC.
- Cal defeated Pepperdine 11-9 in the opener of the MPSF tournament.
- The Bears upset no. 2 UCLA in the MPSF semifinals. Cal will face USC in the finals.