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This Week In The Pac-12: The Great Road Massacre

In the first week of conference play it was almost entirely chalk. The teams that would be favored on a neutral court happened to all be at home, and as a result Cal, Stanford, Washington, Arizona and Colorado all finished the week undefeated. The only upset was the very mild surprise of Washington State's home win over Oregon State.

And then Thursday happened. The Beavers upset the Bears, UCLA knocked off Arizona, Colorado shockingly dominated Washington, Oregon held of Stanford . . . and UTAH won a game. And arguably the most shocking development was that Arizona St. suspended three players, then became the only road team to win a game that night. MADNESS!

At that point 16 conference games had been played, with only two road wins, inspiring people to seriously suggest that 10 or 11 wins would be enough to win a parity filled conference. Four road wins on Saturday and Sunday should end talk like that, but the lesson was driven home anyway: even (especially?) in a down year road wins are tough to earn.

Star-divide

Team of the Week: Colorado

When the Buffs destroyed Utah, most observers shrugged their shoulders and assumed the final score was another example of how horrible the Utes are this year. But Colorado's big win over Washington and subsequent easy win over Washington St. perhaps signal that the Buffs are a year ahead of schedule on their rebuilding plan.

Honorable mention: Yes, UCLA, we noticed that you beat Arizona rather soundly, and without Josh Smith. Evidently UCLA gets better every time you take away a pre-season all-conference post player.

Disappointment of the Week: Washington State

In retrospect, this was how Utah was going to win a game. It would be against one of the four or five worst teams in the league, it would be at home, and it would still be improbable. So sure enough, Utah managed to come back from a late 6 point deficit to force overtime, where they prevailed, 62-60. For Utah to win it takes overtime against a bad opponents playing on the road, plus goofy things like the Cougars missing 12 free throws. Seriously, 10 for 22?!?

Honorable mention: Just because Wazzu is hogging the limelight doesn't mean I didn't see what you did, Trojans. Arizona St. was awful BEFORE they suspended three players, including two starters. And you still lost to them, at home, by nine. For shame!

Player of the Week: Jorge Gutierrez

Lots of good candidates this week - Jorge and Allen Crabbe both had excellent nights for the Bears, Devoe Joseph almost single-handedly beat Stanford, Carlton Brown compiled 46 points over the week, and Travis Wear broke out against the Arizona schools. We're giving it to Jorge for being the only player keeping Cal in it against Oregon St., then doing the same thing against Oregon but with more help. Sorry, Mr. Brown, you might've won but we're trying to avoid one team winning multiple weekly awards.

Besides, we here at CGB look for any excuse to talk about Mr. Gutierrez, who is one of just two players to be in the top 10 in the conference in both points and assists per game. HIP HIP!

Game of the Week: Stanford 103, Oregon St. 101

Stanford isn't usually the team you'd peg to break 100, but they only needed an extra 20 minutes to do it. Frankly, I'm not sure how Stanford won this game. By the time they reached the 59th minute of the game three different Cardinal starters had fouled out. They also got outrebounded, shot a lower FG% and less free throws. But they made 13 threes and Jared Cunningham had a miserable shooting night, so I suppose it all evens out.

Next Week

Tuesday
Seattle at Washington, 7:00

Thursday
Oregon St. at Arizona, 6:30
Utah at Stanford, 7:00
Oregon at Arizona St., 7:30
Colorado at Cal, 8:00

Saturday
Oregon at Arizona, 12:30, CBS
Colorado at Stanford, 1:00
Oregon St. at Arizona St., 3:00
Utah at Cal, 7:30

Sunday
Washington St. at Washington, 4:00
UCLA at USC, 6:00

Once Washington finishes up their meaningless RPI killer on Tuesday, conference play resumes with the Arizona schools hosting the Oregon schools and the mountain schools visiting the Bay. Colorado's two games with Cal and Stanford are the big games of the weekend, and if the Buffs can even earn a split it will go a long way to legitimizing their reputation across the league.

Oregon St. still scares me, even if they sit tied for 10th in the conference at 1-3. A big road win over Arizona would be a huge boost for them. That's really the only other game worth watching, unless UCLA struggles at the Galen Center, which would not surprise me in the least.

TV-wise, only Oregon/Arizona is nationally televised, but all four Cal/Stanford vs. Colorado/Utah games will air locally in Northern California, in addition to UCLA at USC. Plenty of opportunities to attach yourself to the couch this week. Hooray?

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Can't wait for wider bball TV coverage next year.....

…..Comcast California/Bay Area isn’t helping me here in Portland…..

I'd like to smell the Roses before I die.

by BTown85 on Jan 9, 2012 1:20 PM PST reply actions  

This is why I pay through the nose for directv. Most of these norcal-only games get picked up as part of Sportspack…

by bigdruid on Jan 9, 2012 2:14 PM PST reply actions  

Apparently I didn’t hit reply. Sigh…

by bigdruid on Jan 9, 2012 2:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Pac-12 eye test

I haven’t seen all the teams play yet, but from what I HAVE seen, the repeated claim that the conference is down this year is certainly justified.

The Pac-12 games have looked slow and sloppy, as compared with other games on TV (ACC/Big East/Big10). There is no stat to point to, just my subjective opinion. Anyone else sense the same? Or am I just watching the wrong games?

by slaphancock on Jan 9, 2012 2:44 PM PST reply actions  

Yes

Most of the teams are shockingly unathletic (hi there, UCLA!). Of the few that aren’t, Cal lacks depth, Stanford lacks a single standout talent, Arizona lacks height, and Washington and OSU lack quality coaching.

I mean, the leading rebounder in the conference by percentage (and probably by overall numbers, though I didn’t look it up) is a guard. (How’s that for a stat to point to?)

That basically tells you everything you need to know about the level of athleticism in this league. It’s like watching the CAA, or the Missouri Valley if half of the teams had never encountered the concept of defense.

"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.

by PaulThomas on Jan 9, 2012 4:30 PM PST up reply actions  

I mean, the leading rebounder in the conference by percentage (and probably by overall numbers, though I didn’t look it up) is a guard.

Roberson? Colorado lists him as a forward and I think he plays inside.

The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS

by norcalnick on Jan 9, 2012 4:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Where did you find this info?
I mean, the leading rebounder in the conference by percentage (and probably by overall numbers, though I didn’t look it up) is a guard. (How’s that for a stat to point to?)

Kenpom has the top 15 in DR% as forwards, and the top 26 in OR% as posts as well.

by UW11Bowdown on Jan 9, 2012 4:40 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't remember

If you guys say he’s playing as a forward, that’s good enough for me. I haven’t seen Colorado this season.

Too bad. It made a nice talking point… apparently I should have been a Fox News anchor.

"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.

by PaulThomas on Jan 9, 2012 8:44 PM PST up reply actions  

FWIW,

one result of large numbers of similar teams is that you have an unusually large percentage of home wins. If teams are evenly matched, it’s more likely that that point swing from playing at home will also swing the result.

Oddly, having a spread of team talent can actually increase, not decrease, the number of exciting games in sports with significant home-field edges. Of course the favorites will usually blow out the weaklings at home, but the favorites’ road games are often surprisingly evenly matched.

"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.

by PaulThomas on Jan 9, 2012 4:33 PM PST reply actions  

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