Cal Women's Basketball vs Washington: Preview & Gamethread
by norcalnick on Jan 19, 2012 6:29 PM PST
in California Golden Bears Women's Basketball
Email
Print
For the Cal Men's Basketball gamethread, scroll down or click here!
Video Stream: Cal All-Access
Audio Stream: Cal All-Access
Gametracker
Cal is back home for the final two games in a stretch of winnable contests between the LA road trip and the Stanford road trip . . . and it's Washington. BOO! For the record, I'm not booing because of the Tosh to-do. I'm booing because Washington beat Cal twice last year, two losses that greatly contributed to a season that spiraled of the rails.
When I wrote up my Pac-12 preview, I had this to say about Washington:
I could imagine Washington surprising a few people if Regina Rogers can solve her health, conditioning and fouling problems to the point that she can play more than half a game. But at this point, in her forth year in Seattle, I’m guessing she is what she is – an excellent post player playing 7th man minutes off the bench.
Well, she's proven me wrong to the tune of 27 minutes per game, and she's leading UW in scoring at 16.2/game. She and freshman guard Jazmine Davis are the players that make the Huskies go, and it's Cal's job to slow them down. Gen Brandon getting Rogers in foul trouble would be a good way to start.
Tempo Free Chart
Our computer overlords predict: Sagarin Predictor: Cal by 13 points
Chart concept borrowed from MGoBlog, all stats courtesy of wbbstate.com and are accurate as of 1/18. Stat glossary found here. One letter indicates 10 place advantage in national rankings, two letters indicate 100 place advantage, three indicates 200 place advantage, etc.
| Category | Cal Ranking | UW Ranking | Advantage |
| Cal eFG% vs. UW Def eFG% | 127 | 8 | WW |
| Cal Def eFG% vs. UW eFG% | 110 | 161 | C |
| Cal TO% vs. UW Def TO% | 93 | 233 | CC |
| Cal Def TO% vs. UW TO% | 187 | 168 | W |
| Cal Reb% vs. UW Reb% | 2 | 36 | C |
| Cal FTR vs. UW Def FTR | 105 | 223 | CC |
| Cal Def FTR vs. UW FTR | 106 | 55 | W |
| Cal O-PPP vs. UW D-PPP | 45 | 45 | - |
| Cal D-PPP vs. UW O-PPP | 73 | 127 | C |
It's another stat chart that looks deceptively even because Cal's opponent has played a much weaker schedule than Cal has. That's why the Sagarin Predictor has Cal as a heavy favorite despite what the stats say.
That said, there are two categories that kinda scare me - Washington's field goal defense and rebounding. Cal is at its most vulnerable when it can't make shots and can't get rebounds to compensate, and hypothetically Washington has the tools to take advantage.
125 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
21-12 Bears
5 Bears have already scored, and it sounds like Dave Lewis has a nasty cold. But he’s a warrior!
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
29-22 Bears
I don’t know how Rogers is so successful, but she’s really good at what she does.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Men’s or women’s?
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Jan 19, 2012 8:04 PM PST up reply actions
They said on the radio that there was no TV of any sort.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Jan 19, 2012 8:06 PM PST up reply actions
Cal up 6
Brittany makes a UW defender fall over, then launches a perfect pass to Gray!
But UW makes a circus 3.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Oski was just in the background during the Dance Team's routine.
It might’ve been one of these, but bigger:
by Yes We Cannon on Jan 19, 2012 7:57 PM PST up reply actions
I was just surprised because I don’t think I’ve noticed one on Oski before.
by Yes We Cannon on Jan 19, 2012 7:59 PM PST up reply actions
Oh man, Boyd is awesome
On another note, we’re looking much better against the zone, which is important since everybody tries it against us.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
You’re not?
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Jan 19, 2012 8:12 PM PST up reply actions
Did Gray just assist Boyd? The natural order of things has been reversed!
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
47-32!
Taking advantage of Roger’s inability to get back on defense.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
If Oregon could somehow beat USC that'd be a wonderful gift.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Wow. I had forgotten that we lost all four games to the Washington schools last year. That was inexcusable.
CGB: The Strangest Blog
We did beat the Huskies in the Pac-10 tournament. BTW, the best part of having the Pac-12 now is that the Pac-12 tourney seeds are no longer heavily slanted towards Stanford.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Rashanda Gray. She had a really tough childhood. There was a great, article about her that Nick linked to in an earlier post that is well worth reading.
CGB: The Strangest Blog
Thanks, found it.
Such an intense background.
by Yes We Cannon on Jan 19, 2012 8:41 PM PST up reply actions
Actually, I was thinking of this interview with her from Bear Insider.
http://bearinsider.com/news/story.php?article=1615
CGB: The Strangest Blog
I was born there, right off of Manchester and Hoover, so right in the heart of South Central. I was raised by my parents—I also have three brothers and three sisters, so that makes seven of us. I’m the fifth oldest.
Hah, also, second youngest.
by Yes We Cannon on Jan 19, 2012 8:48 PM PST up reply actions
This was such a great article! Thanks for finding it. Amazing story, and she seems like a great person to be wearing the blue and gold.
by Yes We Cannon on Jan 19, 2012 9:11 PM PST up reply actions
Well, the numbers suggested that UW is a pretty good rebounding team. But I think the way we defend her gets us out of position to rebound too. When you double or triple team one player that’ll leave players open to get rebounds because you can’t box them out.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Could be worse. At the Ohio St. game there was a guy in the straw hat band wearing a RED SWEATER!
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Maybe they did and that’s why he’s not here now!
by Yes We Cannon on Jan 19, 2012 8:46 PM PST up reply actions
That was an awesome one-handed grab on that entry pass.
Huh, I’m actually surprised that Talia’s career high is ‘only’ 18.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
YOU TELL THE GENERAL VICINITY OF SEATTLE THAT THIS IS BEAR TERRITORY!
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
Bears win by 24 points, and yet they only have 6 more rebounds than Washington. I would not have expected that.
CGB: The Strangest Blog
WE WIN!
Bring on the Cougs. Nice performance from the Bears, epic performance from Boyd (14 points, 8 assists)
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
"A ghetto 007?"
http://espn.go.com/espn/story/_/id/6815510/amare-stoudemire-styles-marshawn-lynch-sarah-burke-espys
Beast Mode done gone Hollywood on us!
Ursus arctos californicus – California golden bear
oh geez... :-(
The female athlete in the story is Sarah Burke, the freestyle skier that died today after a recent horrific halfpipe accident.
RIP…
CGB: Wasting Your Potential, Your Time, & Your Life Since 2006.
Comments For This Post Are Closed
Secondary Sidebar
User Tools
GoldenBlogs' FAQ and Community Guidelines
Related FanPosts on California Golden Blogs
FanPosts
Community blog posts and discussion.
Recommended FanPosts
Recent FanPosts
FanShots
Quick hits of video, photos, quotes, chats, links and lists that you find around the web.
Recommended FanShots
Recent FanShots
I recorded the entire last out as Cal clinches the first ever PAC12 Softball Title! It was also a...
Pac-12 On SBN
Pacific Takes (Pac-12) NORTH AddictedToQuack: (Oregon)
UW Dawg Pound: (Washington)
CougCenter: (Washington State)
BuildingTheDam: (Oregon State)
Rule Of Tree: (Stanford)
CaliforniaGoldenBlogs: (Cal)
SOUTH
BruinsNation: (UCLA)
ConquestChronicles: (USC)
HouseOfSparky: (ASU)
Arizona Desert Swarm: (Arizona)
TheRalphieReport: (Colorado)
Block U: (Utah)
Golden Bears Football Schedule
| Fresno St. | Sat 09/03 | W 36 - 21 |
@
Colorado
|
Sat 09/10 | W 36 - 33 |
| Presbyterian | Sat 09/17 | W 63 - 12 |
|
@
Washington
|
Sat 09/24 | L 23 - 31 |
|
@
Oregon
|
Thu 10/06 | L 15 - 43 |
|
USC
|
Thu 10/13 | L 9 - 30 |
|
Utah
|
Sat 10/22 | W 34 - 10 |
|
@
UCLA
|
Sat 10/29 | L 14 - 31 |
|
Washington St.
|
Sat 11/05 | W 30 - 7 |
|
Oregon St.
|
Sat 11/12 | W 23 - 6 |
|
@
Stanford
|
Sat 11/19 | L 28 - 31 |
|
@
Arizona St.
|
Fri 11/25 | W 47 - 38 |
|
@
Texas
|
Wed 12/28 | L 10 - 21 |
