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Golden Nuggets: Is the Pac-12's NCAA Tournament Stock Rising or Falling?

Pac-12 basketball isn't as bad as we think it is, right? Depending on who you ask, the conference could yield anywhere from one to four teams in the NCAA Tournament.

  • Lunardi's latest bracketology is somewhat encouraging. While Cal drops to an 11 seed and Stanford drops to a 9 seed, Colorado makes its first appearance and comes in as a 14. Arizona, meanwhile, is among the first four out.
  • In his latest Rundown article, Lunardi gives Cal a 60% chance of earning a spot in the main bracket and avoiding the First Four round in Dayton (which would give them a first-round bye). Arizona only has a 40% chance of earning an invitation while Colorado climbs into contention with a 20% shot of getting into the tourney. Oregon State was considered, but they'll have to notch a few upsets to earn a legitimate shot. Stanford was not mentioned and is assumed to be a lock for the tourney (at least, in Lunardi's eyes).
  • Jon Wilner brings to light the league's dismal RPI as another knock against its hopes of sending multiple teams to the big dance.

Action: Stanford and Cal basketball teams split the Oregon roadtrip.
Reaction I: Sure, it could have been worse for both. But the problem with playing in a conference as dreadful as the Pac-12 is that every loss becomes a stain on the resume. Even road losses are debilitating. For example, Cal loss (at Oregon State) came the same floor where Idaho won by 14.
Reaction II: The NCAA Tournament prospects are bleak for both teams based on a variety of factors that include bad losses, lack of quality wins and the Pac-12′s poor standing. Cal’s RPI is a respectable 38th, but it will be difficult to maintain because half the teams in the conference have triple-digit RPIs. (Stanford is 75th in the NCAA’s latest ratings.) Each week, the Pac-12 inches closer to becoming a one-bid league

After the jump Cal's recruiting class climbs into the top-10, Jahvid Best recovers from his latest concussion, and men's basketball wraps up the weekend with a win over the Ducks.

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Colorado's only in the bracket because they are notionally assumed to have won the conference tournament

per the standard rule that the first-place team in a league is assumed to get the automatic bid.

A 14th seed means that they are viewed as equivalent, roughly speaking, to Georgia circa four years ago, when they went 4-12 in a bad conference yet somehow snuck through the SEC conference tournament and entered the NCAA tournament at 17-16.

Colorado fans better enjoy it while it lasts (“it” being a mathematical fluke created by the fact that they got three straight home games, two against bad opponents, to open the conference season), because they have absolutely no chance of getting an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament. It’s not quite in “eat my hat” territory, but it’s close.

"We don't want our people to be preoccupied with seminude, crazy men jumping up and down who are chasing an inflated object," said Sheik Mohamed Osman Arus, head of operations for the Hizbul Islam insurgent group.

by PaulThomas on Jan 10, 2012 4:18 PM PST reply actions  

we get to knock Colorado off 1st place this Thursday night at home

got to like our chances as the team seeks a bit of revenge for last season’s NIT loss (who cares if Alec Burk is now in the NBA)

by LEastCoastBears on Jan 10, 2012 5:04 PM PST up reply actions  

love this quote from Solo

“This has been a crazy season,” Solomon said. “Everybody always says I have a lot of potential. At some point in time you’ve just got to grow up. There’s no more ifs, there’s no more excuses. It’s just go out there and be a man and do what you’re capable of doing on and off the court.”

by ucsdgoldenbear on Jan 10, 2012 4:50 PM PST reply actions  

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