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Let There Be Lyles - How Will The Oregon Football Soap Opera Be In 2011?

GLENDALE AZ - JANUARY 10:  Oregon Ducks fans sit in the stands after the Ducks were defeated 22-19 by the Auburn Tigers in the Tostitos BCS National Championship Game at University of Phoenix Stadium on January 10 2011 in Glendale Arizona.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

TwistNHook:  This.............could end poorly.  Last time up in Eugene, Cal came in seemingly superior to an Oregon team.  Then, Ed Dickson just scored another touchdown.  


Now, last year at home, a spirited Cal D held down that explosive green and gold offense (note:  does not describe the offense of every team that wears green and gold).   Can Cal recapture last year's almost magic?  Or will it be another blow out up north?

Oh and btw, Ed Dickson just scored another touchdown.  

 

LeonPowe:  Yeah I'm not feeling positive about this one. I think we can slow them down but will eventually lose 35-10

Berkelium97:  Even though Pendergast brilliantly schemed against Oregon and I know he could do it again, I do not have much confidence in this one.  The defense could probably hold them under 30, but I doubt the offense will score more than a couple touchdowns.  No matter who is under center, inexperienced players generally do not do well in the Autzen Zoo.  We'll have to keep an eye on how well Maynard keeps his composure under the aural assault from the fans and the physical assault from the Ducks' front seven.

Star-divide

OhioBear:  We have a target on our backs for this game.  Oregon will break out the whole fake injury flap again and vow to bury us for it.  The Ducks are probably also annoyed that they managed only 15 points against us last year.  On top of that motivation, it's a Thursday night on the road.  Autzen is tough enough on a Saturday afternoon, but I imagine it will be even more raucous at night.


Of course, there is the chance that Coach P has more defensive scheming up his sleeve.  And it's also possible that Coach P  found Oregon's kryptonite last year and will wave a pocket full of it in front of them
again this year.  But, I'm sorry to say, I doubt it.  Oregon wins big in this one, 39-14.  Which would be better than 42-3 anyway.

Fuck, while I was writing that reply Ed Dickson scored another touchdown and LaMichael James reeled off a 30-yard gain.

TwistNHook:  So, what are the weaknesses for this Ducks team?  Looks like they might have some problems at receiver:


Tuesday’s session — players still call it "7-on-7," even though linemen began participating in recent years — was particularly interesting for those wondering about the prospects this fall for the UO receiving corps, which lost two starters to graduation and figures to need some help from fresh faces in 2011. Junior quarterback Darron Thomas spent a considerable amount of time throwing passes to freshmen Devon Blackmon and De’Anthony Thomas, perhaps a prelude of what’s to come when the season begins.

At every other position where the Ducks suffered significant losses to graduation — both lines, and at linebacker — several veterans are assumed to be in line to pick up the slack. But even UO coach Chip Kelly has acknowledged that freshmen will have a chance to help at receiver.


So, keep an eye on Blackmon and Thomas this season.  If the Oregon offense is going to explode again, they are going to be a key part of that fireball. 


NorCalNick:  The other major question mark for Oregon is their front seven, where they are losing a number of high impact starters.  Granted, Oregon has been recruiting well and I wouldn't expect a major drop off - but I don't think they'll roll along without a hiccup either.


Frankly, if the Pac-12 were looking stronger as a whole this year I don't think Oregon would be a horrible candidate for a few games of regression.  People tend to overrate teams when they return flashy skill position players but lose important contributors in the trenches.  But every other team in the conference has as many, if not more question marks, and Chip Kelly has earned the benefit of the doubt.

TwistNHook:  Score predictions?

Berkelium97:  Cal shocks the college football world again by holding the Ducks to 15 points.  With time expiring, Giorgio Tavecchio becomes the hero by hitting a 33-yard field goal to give Cal a 16-15 win...or he would have if the refs did not mistakenly call it a miss.


If we're going to lose, might as well do it in as agonizing a way possible, right?  As Cal fans, we would have it no other way.

Kodiak:  With so many senior playmakers departing from the front 7, it's the Duck's secondary which is now the strength of the defense.  It surprises no one that Cliff Harris is re-instated for the 2nd half against LSU and the remainder of the season.  "He's shown great personal growth," says Chip Kelly.  Although they don't have anyone as disruptive as Kenny Rowe or Casey Matthews, their platoon system ensures plenty of solid, experienced depth.


On offense, their scheme will once again be a blitzkrieg - another year of experience for Darren Thomas and LMJ is a scary thing.  They might miss out on Maehl's clutch hands and steady play, however.  Thomas still shows a tendency to be inaccurate on vertical routes where he has to put some touch on the ball.  If he can make these over to top passes consistently, we're kind of screwed.

In an homage to the "Miracle at Memorial," this one is a fast-paced shoot-out.  But although it threatens to become the "Annihilation at Autzen," Tedford's creative use of formation and schemes keeps Oregon's defense off-balance all game.  It's a speed on speed, mano y mano chess match on both sides of the ball.


With time running down, the Bears defense forces a fourth and 4.  This time, DJ Holt is ready for Oregon's over/under zone flood into the flats, and stays with the underneath receiver.  Oregon's young wideout doesn't run the route as crisply as Maehl and allows DJ to undercut him and knock the ball away.


The Bears drive down and position themselves for a gamewinning field goal.  In a controversial 3rd down call, Coach Tedford centers the ball for Tavecchio.  The snap is good, the kick is...BLOCKED!  But, Brock Mansion scoops it up and scrambles his way into the endzone for a Bears walk-off touchdown.  Pandemonium ensues.

 

HydroTech:  I think it'll be interesting to see what defense Pendergast decides to play against Oregon.  Is he going to repeat with the Cover Zero?  If he does, I'm sure Oregon will have plenty of counters for it.  Or does he go with something else?  

I personally don't see this as a game that we are likely to win unless our offense and defense both play lights out, but it should be an interesting match-up once again.  I think Oregon will be highly motivated to prove that they can pound Cal's defense, and Cal will be itching to prove that last year wasn't just a fluke.  
Poll
How do you see this game going?
Big Cal victory
25 votes
Close Cal victory
52 votes
Close Oregon victory
62 votes
Big Oregon victory
273 votes

412 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 21 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Was last year a fluke?

Im pretty sure 99% of the world thought last years game would be a blowout…and Cal played a competitive game with almost ZERO help at QB. assuming maynard stays healthy and has some games under his belt, maybe we could match speed for speed in this one and stay competitive.

Cal has some pretty underratted fast players that I think can go toe to toe with Oregons best again this year. I expect an exciting game and would not be disappointed with a close Oregon win. I just don’t want to see another 2009 beatdown.

by Sean Thompson on Aug 6, 2011 5:16 AM PDT reply actions  

Props to the 13 poll voters who chose “Big Cal victory.” I was not one of them.

n.b. -- This comment does not constitute official chemistry advice.

by sec119 on Aug 6, 2011 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions  

i’m number 15!

by j.lee on Aug 6, 2011 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's too early

For me to make a prediction. Let’s see what our offense looks like after the first four games. I’m sure our D can keep us in this game, given that we are able to sustain drives on offense.

Am I known as Cugel the Clever for nothing?

by Cugel on Aug 6, 2011 10:34 AM PDT reply actions  

Oh goddamnit

Masoli just threw another bubble screen for a first down.

"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.

It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0

by AERose on Aug 6, 2011 11:01 AM PDT reply actions  

If we’re going to lose, might as well do it in as agonizing a way possible, right? As Cal fans, we would have it no other way.

The reason we’re going to miss that FG are because during a torrential downpour the lights will cut out at the moment of the snap for the winning FG which will then slip off the side of Taveccio’s foot and hit the crossbar, bounce twice, possibly cross the plane, and the reviewing camera’s will not be able to see any of it.

"Our hearts shall sing and our voices ring for the dear old Blue and Gold!"

by Joe Bandsmen on Aug 6, 2011 4:01 PM PDT reply actions  

Longshore and DJax always had their best games vs. Oregon. And we beat them.
Now Oregon is a better team and we are a worse team than their 2007 squad.
But you never know, if some skill players step up and play exceptionally well, we do have a chance.
But most likely a loss for us though…

by JustBear on Aug 6, 2011 8:37 PM PDT reply actions  

It will get better

I’m a Cal graduate but also attended Oregon. I was at the game last year and Cal’s defense looked very good, although Oregon could have scored again if they chose at the end and took a knee. Also James was playing hurt. With the game at Autzen this year it will be very tough for Cal to prevail. Oregon had some player losses but also has some very exciting talent in the wings. The weak spot is at QB for Cal. Get that fixed and there is some hope for the future. Tedford was a QB coach so I don’t know why he has had so much difficulty with the position. Also disappointed at the resort to faking injuries to slow the game last year.

I hope Cal does better this year (everywhere but at Oregon). Good luck Bears!

by Duckbear on Aug 7, 2011 11:34 PM PDT reply actions  

(note: does not describe the offense of every team that wears green and gold

You mean one of the best offenses so far in the 2nd half of the MLB season?

LETS GO OAKLAND.

They’re at least competing and looking good now… the games are fun.

Drew: 'Oh no.. That is certainly the meaty part alright, but it's not the thigh..."
Randy: "No... that bone is NOT connected to the thigh bone..."

www.fearthefin.com - Where masochism is defined.

I rushed the Furd's farm in 2009

www.californiagoldenblogs.com - Where Cal grads prove they learned something.

by SeanCrosby87 on Aug 8, 2011 3:00 AM PDT reply actions  

Yeah GO A's!!!

The Ducks are green and yellow, and sometimes Grellow, as ATQ South should know.

scrappy

by Honka Playboy on Aug 8, 2011 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions  

It surprises no one that Cliff Harris is re-instated for the 2nd half against LSU and the remainder of the season

It surprises me, Mr. Kodiak!

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T".
"If Lache Seastrunk is the POTG against LSU, I will formally quit ATQ." - Axemen23 on 6/21/2011

by JShufelt on Aug 8, 2011 8:00 AM PDT reply actions  

I see no way Uncle Cliffy plays

...GO DOUG...

by Your Favorite Team's Favorite Team on Aug 8, 2011 8:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

In media day, Chip Kelly said he would not be seeing the field against LSU – at all. It was a 1-game minimum.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T".
"If Lache Seastrunk is the POTG against LSU, I will formally quit ATQ." - Axemen23 on 6/21/2011

by JShufelt on Aug 8, 2011 8:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yah, that’s how I remember it as well.

By the way, good write-up here guys. I would not be as worried about the lack of WR experience though. We have pure recruiting gold coming in and some of the kids were in the Euge over the summer. Chip Kelly’s greatest asset (in my humble opinion) is his ability to adapt the gameplan to the team he has. He’ll get those kids on the field and he’ll find a way to use them properly, just as he did with Josh Huff last year.

...GO DOUG...

by Your Favorite Team's Favorite Team on Aug 8, 2011 8:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’m a little worried about WR experience. Especially since we heavily rely on WR blocking, and most of our new guys are a little on the smaller side of WRs. A size decrease from Maehl and a huge decrease from DJ Davis – who ended up being one of our all-time best blocking wide outs.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T".
"If Lache Seastrunk is the POTG against LSU, I will formally quit ATQ." - Axemen23 on 6/21/2011

by JShufelt on Aug 8, 2011 8:58 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’m not going to overestimate Pendergast’s ability to develop a good scheme, but I will say it isn’t just the scheme that worked against Oregon last year. Cal’s defenders played out of their mind, and they played disciplined. Even the best defenders will have a few mental lapses or make mistakes in a game, and Cal played near-flawless defense.

But I also think that saying Pendergast developed the way to stop Oregon is also a bit disingenuous, or at least premature. Cover Zero is a sound defensive principle, but it’s not the “key to unraveling the mystery” – especially when we’re looking at being quite a bit faster out wide. Oregon’s offense is designed to cause and read the mistake of the defensive side. It’s a counter-punch offense.

Solid fundamentals, disciplined defenders, and a disruptive defensive front can stop Oregon’s offense, but those same things can stop any team. If that’s what Pendergast can deliver, then I don’t care of it’s a Cover-Zero, a Cover-Six, or a Tampa-2 – though schematically, some of those will defend some plays better than others.

It's spelled "S-H-U-F-E-L-T".
"If Lache Seastrunk is the POTG against LSU, I will formally quit ATQ." - Axemen23 on 6/21/2011

by JShufelt on Aug 8, 2011 8:37 AM PDT reply actions  

Duck receivers did poorly against Cal last year. And,

we don’t know what to expect…new PAC 12 refs. They might be able to make a holding call. We’ll see.

What I’m concerned about is this: Is the Oregon game Cal’s bowl game?

"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY

by Famous Duck on Aug 8, 2011 9:47 AM PDT reply actions  

p.s. Rec’d for read-ability and reasonable-ness. Nicely done. Very entertaining read.

"What you are entrusted to do as a coach is to create an environment where your players have a chance to be successful." CHIP KELLY

by Famous Duck on Aug 8, 2011 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

I really hope this is you recing your own post, cause that's how I read it.

"It's not about style. It's about winning the game. That's it." - Chip Kelly

by Duckfanatic10 on Aug 8, 2011 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

I see us prevailing in Lyles Bowl II

…but I think “winning big” in this case is about two touchdowns. Anything more than that would be a serious stretch.

I do enjoy that you all use your imaginations on worst-case-gut-wrenching scenarios. It cracks me up.

"It’s great with these group of guys. There is no panic in them." --Chip Kelly, Clearly NOT talking about members of ATQ.

@jblair26

by M. Fletcher on Aug 8, 2011 5:44 PM PDT reply actions  

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