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Cal Football 2011 First Looks: Early Projections

via www.yardbarker.com How will Cal football fare in its one year sojourn in McCovey Cove?

What record would you be satisfied by in 2011?

Avinash: 6-6 and a bowl would be great. I personally feel if everything gels we could win 8 games, but due to the youth of this team I'm going to lean on the pessimistic side and say we'll win 5 to 7 games. Anything below that and Cal fans are going to be very edgy returning to Memorial in 2012.

Kodiak: I will be satisfied with nothing less than a 10 win season.  If we fall short of that, we should bulldoze Memorial and build a parking lot...

Star-divide

Seriously, we know 2011 will be a rebuilding year.  You simply cannot challenge for the Pac-10 title without having one of the best QB's.  Sorry to say, that just won't be us next year.  Going beyond wins/losses, I'd be happy if we were competitive, gave a consistent effort, and appeared well-coached/well-prepared all year.  Without looking too far ahead, 6-6 or 7-5 would be okay.  Anything better than that would be fairly amazing.

Berkelium97: Rose Bowl or bust.


Actually, a bowl game would be nice.  It's unfortunate that last season went awry, because this looked like it would be a down year.  By the time we return to Memorial and a completed SAHPC, Tedford could be feeling the heat (which is a shame, because he is the reason we can enjoy those upgrades).

atomsareenough: I'd like to see 6-6 and a bowl game. We should've gone bowling this year, and we can do it next year. I'm not expecting 8 wins, and I could easily imagine 5 wins again, or 4 if things go poorly, but I'd be relatively satisfied with 6 and a bowl game.

norcalnick: That will very much depend on the manner in which victories and losses occur.  If Cal finishes 6-6 against a tough schedule and they compete in every game and show all kinds of promise for next year it would be better than 8-4 with a bunch of narrow victories over bad teams and four blow out losses to Stanford, Oregon, and USC I'd be pretty upset.

My sense is that, like any normal, irrational, emotional fan who nevertheless tries to retain realistic expectations . . . it'll all come down to the 'furd.  Beat Stanford and make a bowl and the season will be a success.

Ohio Bear: 7-5 and a bowl game. We really should go at least 2-1 in nonconference, meaning we'll need 5 conference wins to get to that. At the end of last season, I didn't think that would be possible in 2011. But as I step back and think about it, despite the QB issues, I think we have a good shot to get back to a winning year. The defense has the talent to be good, we have a very good recruiting class that should help us, and bringing the band back together (Kiesau, Coach M, Tedford more hands-on with the offense) will pay dividends.

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The one win is vs. Stanfurd. Haha. ;)

Seriously though, 6-6 would be nice and 6-6 while also taking back the axe would be nicer.

CALIFORNIA ANGELS . . . ANAHEIM DUCKS . . . CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS

by AndyHogan14 on Apr 2, 2011 4:24 AM PDT reply actions  

Furd and a bowl

…I’m with Norcalnick all the way on this one…that would constitute a very happy season outcome…and as much as we talk about the quality of the wins and losses, I personally feel the broad base of fans would return to memorial in 12 with a spring in their old blue step if this is our result in 11. GO EFFING BEARS….shit, it’s April 2…wake me in five months…

"It's on the ROOF, oh yeah, one hundred PROOF, oh yeah....."

by TKE Prytanis 79 on Apr 2, 2011 7:33 AM PDT reply actions  

Lowered expectations :(

One crap season and now we’d be happy with 6-6?!?

I think that $2MM+ per year contract requires better. Our expectations shouldn’t be so low because of the mediocrity of the past 4 years. I don’t think (at least I hope) JT doesn’t expect such a free ride at this point.

by SanMateoBear on Apr 2, 2011 9:45 AM PDT reply actions  

Take it easy.

Coach Tedford isn’t getting a “free ride.”

We’re looking at “lowered expectations” for 2011 based on our realistic view of what the talent on the field is. What good is it to expect 9-3, 10-2, 11-1, or 12-0 based on talent we don’t realistically have? Expectations for 2011 don’t mean the same expectations for 2012 — we should expect to be much better in 2012 based on what appears to be a quality 2011 recruiting class and hopefully another very good 2012 class.

That said, I hope we are underestimating the talent and ability of this year’s team, especially at the QB position.

Yes, I am an Old Blue. Now get off my lawn.

by Ohio Bear on Apr 2, 2011 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

Well…. I’ll put it this way. We have no idea about quarterback right now, and OL was shaky, and we’re losing key players on defense. I expect us to be a little bit better than last year, but I really expect a big improvement by 2012.

California Golden Bears: 2nd place is nothing to sneeze at!

by atomsareenough on Apr 2, 2011 11:12 AM PDT up reply actions  

And, “big improvement” = 9+ wins

California Golden Bears: 2nd place is nothing to sneeze at!

by atomsareenough on Apr 2, 2011 5:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t think any of us would be “happy” with a 6-6 record. Given the weaknesses and uncertainties of this team, it’s tough to have realistic expectations that are much higher than that.

What would make most of us happy is a return to consistent 9-10 win seasons.

"Some people watch adult videos on their computer - I go to YouTube and watch Jahvid Best highlight clips. That’s what gets me going."- Jim Schwartz, Detroit Lions head coach

by Berkelium97 on Apr 2, 2011 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions  

Two losing seasons, isn’t good publicity for Tedford and the team. We need 6-6, even if the 6 losses are blowouts.

by iubyont on Apr 2, 2011 12:12 PM PDT reply actions  

…8-4 with a bunch of narrow victories over bad teams and four blow out losses to Stanford, Oregon, and USC…

I’d be pretty upset if we lost to USC twice in one season, too.

by dpassage on Apr 2, 2011 1:23 PM PDT reply actions  

Realistically, I’m thinking around 5-7, though I hope that we can go 6-6+ and get into a bowl game (ANY bowl game!)

by CaliforniaPaul on Apr 2, 2011 5:14 PM PDT reply actions  

rec’d!

California Golden Bears: 2nd place is nothing to sneeze at!

by atomsareenough on Apr 3, 2011 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

I expect us to win at least 6 games and a very minor bowl game. Our offense was pretty bad last year after Riley left, but the bright side is that it really can’t be WORSE than the tragic display we put on the last 4 games. Our defense looks to be great and will probably keep us in many games we shouldn’t be in.

by mrjpark on Apr 2, 2011 8:48 PM PDT reply actions  

6-6 and a bowl game is good enough

Please, just get back to a bowl game, then we can talk.
I remember 2009, we were 8-4, got invited to Poinsettia, and I was extreeeeeeeeeeeeeeemely disappointed.
Just 16 months later, Im content with any bowl. Scary what one terrible season can do to you.
At the same time, we had been acustomed to winning and taking things for granted. Success does not come easy.

But my real hope is we win 8 games in regular season.

by JustBear on Apr 3, 2011 9:59 AM PDT reply actions  

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