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Gametracker
Cal's 30 point victory over Cal State Bakersfield puts them in the final of the 'Doubletree by Hilton Berkeley Marina Cal Classic against UNLV, who defeated Prairie View A&M, 73-60. The Rebels sport a record of 6-1, but they only have one win against a team with a winning record and lost their only game against a ranked team by 19 points.
UNLV has a balanced offense led by junior guard Kelli Thompson and senior forward Lenita Sanford. But UNLV's strength is in their four posts - Sanford, Jamie Smith, Sandrine Nzeukou and Markiell Styles. The foursome collectively average more than 30 rebounds per game and offer perhaps the toughest test for Cal's inside foursome of Brandon, Caldwell, Gray and Hartman. These are two teams that want to dominate the paint, and whichever team wins that battle will almost certainly be the team that wins.
After the jump enjoy a quick statistical breakdown and your gamethread. GO BEARS!
|
Category |
Cal Rank |
UNLV Rank |
Advantage |
|
Cal eFG% v. UNLV Def eFG% |
40 |
16 |
U |
|
Cal Def eFG% v. UNLV eFG% |
141 |
155 |
C |
|
Cal TO% v. UNLV Def TO% |
286 |
176 |
UU |
|
Cal Def TO% v. UNLV TO% |
176 |
207 |
C |
|
Cal Reb% v. UNLV Reb% |
8 |
34 |
C |
|
Cal FTR v. UNLV Opp FTR |
201 |
6 |
UU |
|
Cal Opp FTR v. UNLV FTR |
63 |
16 |
U |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cal O-PPP v. UNLV D-PPP |
84 |
34 |
U |
|
Cal D-PPP v. UNLV O-PPP |
78 |
88 |
C |
The numbers actually give UNLV a slight advantage. BUT - it's important to remember that these numbers aren't strength-of-schedule adjusted. As of right now Cal's strength of schedule is 31st best in the nation, while UNLV's is 265th, which is why Cal should be a decent favorite today.
Interestingly, the statistical profiles are very similar. UNLV tries to dominate the boards, and they have a problem with turnovers. Cal's offense is a little better, UNLV's defense is a little better.



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