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Around SBN: Cowboys Draft 2012: The Big Board Version 3.0

Holiday Bowl Preview: Cal vs. The Texas Passing Defense

San Diego will be Bear Territory!

Happy Holidays, Cal fans! For your recommended daily allotment of doom, we're taking a closer look at the Longhorn's passing defense. In case you missed it, ManBearCal wrote an excellent review of the Texas Rushing Defense.


This is Texas' preferred scheme, Man-Free Cover One. You can see the corners are up tight in press coverage. Meanwhile, their OLB follows the slot receiver in motion. They have fast LBs, so they'll trust them in coverage quite a lot. As a variant, they will also use one of their safeties in coverage in the slot. Unless it's a 4-WR formation, they prefer to use their starting safety or OLB instead of bringing in a nickel back.

Texas_man_free_cover_one_medium

Star-divide

Texas also has a Cover 2 zone package with both the standard and Tampa version (MLB drops deep) as one of their base packages.

Texas_cover_2_medium

As a wrinkle on Cover One, Texas will sometimes go man on the outside, but zone on the slot. The OLB will take the underneath zone while the safety provides coverage over the top.

Cover_one_zone_medium

When Texas decides to send a linebacker on a blitz, they'll shift to more of a Cover 3 look with three deep zones, and three underneath zones. One of their safeties will move to the middle to take the place of the blitzing linebacker.

Cover_3_medium

Blitzing puts pressure on the QB, but also provides a vulnerability to exploit. You can see one of the safeties already moving up towards the box at the snap.

Exploit_a_medium

The corners are in zone outside with one safety deep. The other safety has moved up to take the place of the blitzing MLB. The OLB towards to bottom of the screen has underneath coverage on the slot receiver.

Exploit_b_medium

The blitz gets picked up. The OLB settles into his zone assuming that either the corner or safety will pick him up. The receiver is running right down the seam between the two deep zones...and the safety is late picking him up.

Exploit_c_medium

Both the safety and the corner realize that there is a receiver running free between them and break off in pursuit. It's too late. This is exactly the same type of 4-verticals seam route that Keenan Allen used against UW early this year to score a 91-yard touchdown against their Cover 3 defense. Look for Tedford to try to exploit the Longhorn's slot coverage, provided that our Oline can give Maynard enough time.

Exploit_d_medium

Personnel:
Projected Starters:

28 Quandre Diggs(Fr) - RCB, 5'10, 192 lbs
4 Kenny Vaccaro(Jr) - FS, 6'1, 214 lbs
21 Blake Gideon(Sr) - SS, 6'1, 205 lbs
23 Carrington Byndom(So) - LCB, 6'0, 175 lbs
17 Adrian Phillips(So) - Nickel, 5'11, 199 lbs


Stats:

Pass Efficiency Defense = #14 nationally, #2 in the Big-12, 118.88/game

Pass Defense = #47 nationally, #1 in the Big-12, 211.67 yards/game

Sacks = #50 nationally, #5 in the Big-12, 2 sacks/game

Quandre Diggs: 3 INT, 11 pass breakups
Blake Gideon, 2 INT, 4 pass breakups
Kenny Vaccaro, 2 INT, 7 pass breakups
Adrian Phillips, 2 INT, 5 pass breakups
Carrington Byndom, 2 INT, 15 pass breakups

Alex Okafor (DE): 7 sacks, 17 quarterback hurries
Emmanuel Ocho(OLB): 3 sacks, 15 quarterback hurries

Opponentaverage_medium

(HT to Berkelium97 for these graphs)

Texasopponentpassing_medium


Overview:

Although relatively young at the corners, the Texas secondary is fast and tough. Free Safety Kenny Vaccaro was All-Big-12 and honorable mention for Defensive Player of the Year. Strong Safety Blake Gideon is going to play with a broken hand, and can occasionally be caught out of position from peeking into the backfield.

Texas didn't generate a lot of sacks, but they put enough pressure on opposing passers that most QBs performed significantly below their season average rating. Unless, of course, your name rhymes with Herbert Kiffin the Bird.

Berkelium97 broke it down very well here in his stats-based look at the Longhorns:

"Texas has an excellent pass defense. They give up only 6.0 yards per pass (7th in the country), hold opponents to a 111.8 pass efficiency rating (14th in the country), and allow opponents to complete only 56.5% of their passes (27th in the country).

If Texas can force us into third and long, we might as well punt on third down. Passing on 3rd and 7+ is fruitless against this defense. On 75 passing attempts on 3rd and 7+, Texas gave up only 18 first downs. Feels bad man.

For this next one, you might want to sit down. Texas has notched a whopping 60 quarterback hurries this season. Let that number sink in for a moment. LSU and Alabama have pretty good defenses; they must have had at least 50 or so, right? How about 35 for 'Bama and 37 for LSU. Cal, by contrast, only had 6. That is either an error or we are DOOOOOOOOOOMED. Cfbstats.com does not allow you to sort teams based on hurries, but I guarantee Texas is near the top. Watch out for these guys getting after Maynard: LB Emmanuel Acho (7 hurries), DLAlex Okafor (13), DL Jackson Jeffcoat (7), and DL Kheeston Randall (6). I hope Coach Michalczik has some magic up his sleeve, because our O-line is going to be under siege all game. The only positive is that Texas doesn't often sack the opposing QB."

With the way they like to employ tight man coverage on the outside, I'd expect them to key on our short passing game and dare us to beat them over the top. Unfortunately, Maynard's ability to accurately loft the deep ball is perhaps the weakest part of his game.

Glass half-empty says that the Texas front seven will shut down our run and pressure Maynard into throwing early into coverage.

Glass half-full says that a creative use of Maynard's legs and our running game keeps the Longhorn's defense off-balance enough for us to pick our shots in the passing game. In certain formations, KA and Jones both might be able to exploit coverage mis-matches out of the slot for longer gains.

In all honesty, the most creative game plan in the world won't mean anything if our pass protection can't hold up.

Go Bears!

Poll
How do you feel about Cal's passing attack against the Texas defense?
We're doooooomed. 5 more picks will help improve their star safety's draft status.
40 votes
Concerned. The Tedford offense struggles with tight man coverage.
71 votes
Cautiously hopeful. Texas has young corners, and they haven't covered a tandem as good as KA and Jones.
148 votes
KEENAN! ALLEN! HEISMAN! MAYNARD! HONEY BADGER!
59 votes

318 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 11 comments  |  Add comment  |  0 recs  | 

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First

Guess I’m first, so I get to say it.

We’re DOOOOOOOOoooooooomed!

Go Bears!

by Wilburdog on Dec 26, 2011 8:18 AM PST reply actions  

DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

cal. lakers. dodgers. packers. chelsea.
vols. rangers. galaxy.

by cldpc on Dec 26, 2011 9:11 AM PST up reply actions  

Third!

I guess I might as well say it: TEXAS IS COMPLETELY SCREWED BECAUSE THE BEARS ARE AWESOME AND WE WILL WIN WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded

by atomsareenough on Dec 26, 2011 9:12 AM PST reply actions  

Need a ride to San Diego for the Holiday Bowl?

I am driving from San Jose to San Diego on the 28th, hoping to make it in one straight shot. If you need a ride down, all I ask in return is that we leave early and that you cover half of parking and gas. I’m going to stay in SoCal for a few days so you’d be on your own for a ride back.

by Glanko on Dec 26, 2011 1:47 PM PST reply actions  

ill say this....when the ball goes in Gideons direction i hold my breath...

but i think we have played WR combos even better than yours Fuller/Swope from A&M,

In The Morning To You

by horns1025 on Dec 26, 2011 6:10 PM PST reply actions  

Nah

I don’t think so, unless Blackmon has a twin brother I don’t know about, I don’t think so. I getting more and more excited for this game the closer we get.

Am I known as Cugel the Clever for nothing?

by Cugel on Dec 26, 2011 10:00 PM PST up reply actions  

Fuller’s a legit stud. Swope looks like he compares pretty close to Jones.

I think on the draft boards, Fuller was #11 for his class(Sr), Jones was at #20(Sr), Swope was at #17(among juniors), and Allen was at #2(among soph).

It’s not really the WR/DB individual match-ups that will be as important as:

1) Can our Oline pass protect?
2) Will our QB make good decisions and be accurate?

Old Toothwrangler

by Kodiak on Dec 27, 2011 5:27 PM PST up reply actions  

i think success for you guys all ties into your #1

can your line give your QB good protection? Diaz defense kind of reminds me of the 2009 Saints Defense in the NFC Championship Game. gameplan was to hit Favre as much as possible and they did he eventually it affected his decision making and he started to throw bad passes which turned into INTs

In The Morning To You

by horns1025 on Dec 27, 2011 5:43 PM PST up reply actions  

max protect routes?

With so many hurries and man free cover-zero, couldn’t max protect vertical routes be effective. Something like KA and MJ running routes, while 8 offensive players block?

by BrooklynBear on Dec 27, 2011 8:35 AM PST reply actions  

Could be. I know we occasionally see variants of that with our double TE set.

Or, by using play-action roll-outs to move the pocket with only KA and MJ running routes.

Hard to say. We’ve had a lot of success later in the year using spread formations to get defenders out of the box and have moved away from the more traditional double-TE pro sets. It might be because with Ladner out, our 2nd TE(Hagan) is a better receiver than blocker, so it’s more effective to have him out in space than on the line.

It’ll be interesting to see what Tedford comes up with because it seems like Texas schemes well to take away our short passing game.

Old Toothwrangler

by Kodiak on Dec 27, 2011 5:25 PM PST up reply actions  


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