Cal vs. Texas Holiday Bowl Preview: The Longhorns Rushing Attack
Texas likes to run the ball the way Dr. Seuss liked green eggs n' ham.
They will run it on any down or distance, out of any formation, and with nary a nod towards the score or game clock. Case in point, down by 17 against Baylor in the 4th quarter, the Longhorns still had a two to one rush/pass ratio on their play-calling.
Former Boise State offensive coordinator Bryan Harsin has adapted to his personnel with a ball-control game leaning heavily on power-running and short passing. They'll also use fly sweeps, reverses, and pitch plays to take advantage of over-pursuit or to attack the edges. Once they establish the run, they'll use the same formations to set up play-action for shots down the field.
Let's take a closer look at their favorite formations:
12 Personnel, Two Tight Ends, One Back: "The Stampede"
Wrinkles:
They like lining their tight ends up in one position, then using pre-snap motion to shift the strength of the formation either on the line or with an H-back. They'll also throw play-action passes to their tight ends out of this look. (Dooooom!)
This formation is all about power. Besides two talented TEs, they have fullback Cody Johnson lined up deep in the backfield as their tailback.
Sometimes they'll line their TEs in the slot as receivers and then shift them back onto the line.
Or, they'll line up as receivers and go into motion like an H-back.
But, it's all for show. They really just want to pound it straight ahead.
And use their Oline to push forward in a cloud of dust for 4-5 yards on first down.
21 Personnel, One Tight End, Two Backs: "The Cattle Drive"
Wrinkles:
Besides inside/outside zone running, they'll use pitch plays outside or run a reverse to their wideouts. Off their fly sweep motion, they'll either fake and give to back, give on the fly sweep, or fake the sweep and flip it back outside.
They'll put one of their wide receivers into motion right before the snap.
And now they have three options. They can give it to the receiver outside, hand-off to the deep back inside, or fake the inside hand-off and flip it back outside to the other back.
In this case, it's the Dreaded Fly Sweep. Nothing to worry about here, right Cal fans? (sigh)
11 Personnel, One Tight End, One Back: "El Pistolero"
Wrinkles:
They give the ball to the back...or the quarterback keeps it. MADNESS!!!
For this formation, they've brought David Ash in at QB instead of Chance McCoy. Sometimes he'll just run a designed QB keeper in their version of the Wild Cat, aka The Mad Cow.
In this case, their QB fakes the inside hand-off and reads the unblocked end. The LT moves to pick off the MLB and the TE runs ahead to take out the OLB.
And there goes the QB running through the entire defense after the DE threw himself at the tailback.
The safeties finally make the tackle, but not after a long gain. Good thing this never happens to the Bears!
Personnel:
Projected Starters:
28 Malcolm Brown(Fr) - TB, 6'0, 215 lbs
11 Cody Johnson(Sr) - FB, 5'11, 250 lbs
Offensive Line
68 Josh Cochran(Fr) - LT, 6'6, 275 lbs
78 David Snow(Sr) - LG, 6'4, 295 lbs
55 Dominic Espinosa(Fr*) - C, 6'4, 295 lbs
72 Mason Walters(So) - RG, 6'6, 305 lbs
75 Trey Hopkins(So) - RT, 6'4, 290 lbs
18 D.J. Grant(Jr) - TE, 6'3, 238 lbs
19 Blaine Irby(Sr), TE, 6'3, 237 lbs
Overview:
With senior workhorse Fozzy Whittaker lost for the year with an injury, the Longhorns have gone with tailback by committee all year. 5-Star uber-frosh Malcolm is their most dangerous runner, but was slowed by injuries later in the year. He's the shiftiest of the Texas backs with the speed to run by you and the power to run over you. Fellow frosh Joe Bergeron is rumored to still be out with a lingering hamstring injury. Fullback Cody Johnson is their short yardage specialist and has also been used at tailback in their power run game. Jeremy Hills is serviceable and may get a few snaps to spell the others.
This sets up the perfect scenario for Cal football: we'll either get a player reportedly slowed by injury recovering just in time to break our hearts, or we'll give a previously unheralded reserve the chance to have a career day.
Stats:
Rushing Offense = #19 nationally, #3 in the Big-12, 210.4 yards per game. 23 TDs.
TB Malcom Brown(Fr) = 78.56 yards/game, 15.9 carries/game, 4.4 ypc, 5 TD
TB Joe Bergeron(Fr) = 45.40 yards/game, 9.8 carries/game, 6.6 ypc, 5 TD
TB Jeremy Hills(Sr) = 27 yards/game, 5.8 carries/game, 4.6 ypc
TB Cody Johnson(Sr) = 19.9 yards/game, 4.8 carries/game, 4.2 ypc, 5 TD
WR D.J. Monroe(Jr) = 27.17 yards/game, 3.9 carries/game, 6.9 ypc, 1 TD
WR Marquise Goodwin(Jr) = 26.7 yards/game, 2.9 carries/game 9.4 ypc
QB David Ash = 24.6 yards/game, 5.9 carries/game, 4.2 ypc, 1 TD
Wins: (7)
Rice (34-9) 48 248
BYU (17-16) 43 176
UCLA (49-20) 50 187
Iowa State (37-14) 40 187
Kansas (43-0) 72 457Texas Tech (52-20) 54 451
Texas A&M (27-25) 37 102
344 rushes for 1808 yards, 5.2 ypc, 258.3 yards/game, 49.1 attempts/game
Losses: (5)
Oklahoma (17-55) 45 153
Oklahoma St. (26-38) 49 286
Missouri (5-17) 29 101
Kansas St. (13-17) 42 212
Baylor (24-48) 45 220
210 rushes for 972 yards, 4.6 ypc, 194.4 yards/game, 42 attempts/game
Notes:
The attempts per game doesn't vary significantly between wins or losses; these boys want to run and are stubborn with it. The yards per carry and total yardage are quite different and will go a long way to determining the outcome of this game.
The fact that both wide receivers average a few rushes per game suggests that we'll need to be wary of fly sweeps and reverses.
Although Chance/Chase/Case McCoy will probably start, they might occasionally bring in David Ash/Soot/Ember as a change-up to run a Wildcat-like offense, or to execute the zone-read. (DOH!!!)
Keys to Stopping the Texas Run Game:
1) It's cliched, but dominating the line of scrimmage and winning the early downs to force 3rd and long are the keys to stopping any run-based attack.
2) Stay disciplined and know your assignments
The Longhorns have plenty of film on games where our overly aggressive defense was exploited on the edges or with mis-direction. This was clearly intentional so that Texas will be caught off guard when our defenders stay home. Strategery!
3) Fight off perimeter blocks
We already know that it's going to be a knife-fight in the trenches. But it'll be up to our secondary and linebackers to evade or fight off blocks on the edges, especially when they line their TEs up as receivers.
4) Punch them in the mouth
Big, bad Texas would like nothing better than to saunter in and steam-roll the soft, little hippies. If we stand up to the bully early and often, it'll go a long way towards setting the tone for this game.
It's been a long time coming, folks. Let's mess with Texas.
Go Bears!
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A couple of comments
Since I’ve watched every Texas game this year I can say that you are largely spot on here Kod. A couple things I can add:
*Word here in Austin is that Bergeron will be healthy and will play extensively.
*If Bergeron and Brown are healthy, Hills will not play much, if at all.
*Johnson wont see the ball unless Texas needs 3 yards or less.
*Monroe is the real threat to run on the fly sweep. Shipley has done it a few times but he has also thrown a few passes out of that play, whereas Monroe is straight speed to the edge. Goodwin is also an option on the speed fly sweep.
*If Ash and McCoy are splitting time, Ash will be a running play 90% of the time, most likely on the QB read.
*Cal should make Texas throw by stacking the box. Ash is hopeless right now as a passer (game is still too fast for him IMO) and McCoy is decent but has a duck for an arm (watch those passes float…). Texas receivers are decent but the Cal DBs just need to keep Texas’s receivers in front of them in order to be successful long term.
*Since Whittaker got hurt, the use of the Wildcat has largely dried up. Fozzy was great at reading the D out of that formation, no other RB is close to that. Don’t expect to see it much, if at all.
*Texas’s Oline is ok but can be had by Cal’s Dline and ILB’s. Also seem to commit a lot of penalties.
Just my opinions.
Inspiring and completing since1997 since2010!
I always like our chances against running teams. Except for the games against zone-read teams when Pendergast has told everybody to crash the middle. I hate those games. I think Pendergast should tell us beforehand when that is the strategy so we can adjust our expectations accordingly.
if the OLB play well, we may be able to limit the horns and win. Hope that McCain is feeling better.
by rollonyoubears111 on Dec 20, 2011 9:54 AM PST reply actions
I have visions of Kevin Prince getting anywhere from 8 to 283 yards every time he ran the ball.
Oh, god.
Being an Old Blue means embracing the "meh".
or the Colorado/any screen play…bleh
by rollonyoubears111 on Dec 20, 2011 10:24 AM PST up reply actions
Death....Doom....and Destruction......
We will break you
I'd kill for a Nobel Peace Prize
by MeatchickenHorn on Dec 20, 2011 10:42 AM PST reply actions
I wonder if it might make sense to use 4 linemen in this game, would it help to stop the power rush?
Am I known as Cugel the Clever for nothing?
Not a bad idea. I know we experimented with lining Guyton up at OLB and putting Coleman at DT.
I think it depends on how healthy McCain and Wilkerson are – if you’re going to line up your best players, then you roll the dice with the scheme you know. If they can’t go, then I could see us trying something else.
I don’t know how complicated it is to learn a new scheme, though, even with the extra prep time.
Old Toothwrangler
you can use 8...it wont make any difference
I'd kill for a Nobel Peace Prize
by MeatchickenHorn on Dec 20, 2011 10:53 AM PST reply actions
Yeah, we’ll win either way.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Dec 20, 2011 10:57 AM PST up reply actions
Only if we have to pass more than 15 times...if it is true that our two freshman phenoms are 100%, you have no chance
I'd kill for a Nobel Peace Prize
by MeatchickenHorn on Dec 20, 2011 10:59 AM PST reply actions
I’m pretty sure that the stanfurd OL is better than the Texas OL. I think our D can win the battle at the line of scrimmage.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Dec 20, 2011 11:15 AM PST up reply actions
Spazzy is beyond frustrated right now that his attempts to educate the Texas fans on the not so complex “Reply” button have gone unheeded.
In the Game of Trolls, you either troll or you die.
CaliforniaGoldenBlogs: Read It | Follow It | Like It | Wear It
So much doom for the Longhorns if they’re healthy.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Dec 20, 2011 11:13 AM PST up reply actions
Just Got My Crap Seats For The Holiday Bowl
I just got my tickets in the mail: Lower View, section 12. Whaaaa? I am supposedly 2000th on the list of priority points for seating, with 192 Bear Backer point. How did I end up with such crap seats?
Should I call ATO and complain or just suck it up and buy something off Stub Hub.
If you live in Noe Valley.....
……do the latter. I REALLY think the better seats at bowl games (or at least SOME good seats) should go to the schools, not the friends of the sponsors who don’t care about the teams playing. I am SO 1976……
I'd like to smell the Roses before I die.
I’m in 58!
I’m in Loge though.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Dec 20, 2011 11:45 AM PST up reply actions
Screw you both for being able to go AND complaining about your seats. I’d be perfectly content to be hanging from one of the light towers.
"The only sport that should be cried over is tee ball."
- don't remember who said it, but I like it.
Screw you for not going! Besides, who said I was complaining?
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Dec 20, 2011 12:23 PM PST up reply actions
Woops.
I thought I was replying to Cugel. Us Texans suck with the reply function. I’d give all three of my testicles to go if I could. I guess I could forsake my job and just go to the game, then take up residence at the Occupy San Diego camp. I assume there is one.
"The only sport that should be cried over is tee ball."
- don't remember who said it, but I like it.
See my reply fail to you, which was actually posted as a reply to atoms.
Feel my failed fury!
"The only sport that should be cried over is tee ball."
- don't remember who said it, but I like it.
That's disappointing to hear
As much as I wanted to support the ATO, I ended up purchasing my tickets from StubHub because I could pay nearly the same price and get much better seats.
I wonder if the Texas ATO was able to negotiate better seats than Cal…
"Some people watch adult videos on their computer - I go to YouTube and watch Jahvid Best highlight clips. That’s what gets me going."- Jim Schwartz, Detroit Lions head coach
California Golden Blogs
by Berkelium97 on Dec 20, 2011 12:02 PM PST up reply actions
I Bought Stub Hub Seats
Any Cal fan want my tickets? I will leave them at Will Call for you.
by NoeValleyJim on Dec 20, 2011 6:32 PM PST up reply actions
Math Error
The rushing numbers/averages don’t add up in the win: you state 7 game, but only list 6, so the rushing averages are missing a game. Need to add the stats of the 7th win and then redo the averages.
"The Stampede" "The Mad Cow" "El Pistolero" "The Cattle Drive"
you sir are a genius
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