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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

"After running an average of 30 times at a pace of three to four yards per carry the first four-five meaningful contests, Cal has upped it to 40-45 carries a game the past three and average about four to six yards per carry. Isi Sofele has gotten better as conference play has progressed. He actually had a strong 100+ yard game against Oregon (but only was given the ball 12 times), then struggled against good USC and Utah teams, but after that he's started to take off, amassing 330 yards the last two weeks.

Cal ran over Washington State and Oregon State by using the ground game and a platoon of backs (Sofele, C.J. Anderson, Mike Manuel, Covaughn Deboskie-Johnson, Brendan Bigelow) all getting touches to keep defenses on their heels. The Cal run attack has amassed nearly 300 yards per game the past two victories after only topping 150 yards once in their first seven FBS contests. "

6 months ago Avinash6_tiny Avinash Kunnath 19 comments 0 recs  | 

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This question was probably alread asked (and answered), but I wonder if the recent dependence on the running game is more a function of the coaching staff recognizing that it would be more effective against OSU and Wazzu, or if they figured it would be a safer bet than to have the outcome rest on a mercurial passing attack.

I know it’s likely some combination, but I’m curious about the relative proportions of each.

Being an Old Blue means embracing the "meh".

by SoCal Oski on Nov 16, 2011 11:06 AM PST reply actions  

I would guess a little of both

Losing to a beatable opponent by 17 would have to make you reexamine your approach a tad.

by Avinash Kunnath on Nov 16, 2011 11:25 AM PST up reply actions  

Losing to a beatable opponent by 17 because you threw 4 picks might also cause you to move toward the more reliable running game.

"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded

by atomsareenough on Nov 16, 2011 11:37 AM PST up reply actions  

So, does this mean we’ll likely see a healthy dose of Isi, CJ, Bigelow, et al against furd?

Unless, of course, we find ourselves down by 21 in the 2nd quarter.

Being an Old Blue means embracing the "meh".

by SoCal Oski on Nov 16, 2011 11:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Probably. Granted, they’re probably going to stack the box and dare Maynard to throw, which will… Well, we’ll see.

by puresilence on Nov 16, 2011 11:56 AM PST up reply actions  

I’d watch that Oregon tape closely. The strategy that the Ducks used isn’t all that different from the one we’ve been using lately—horizontal stretches to make the slower Cardinal defenders try and make things up in space.

by Avinash Kunnath on Nov 16, 2011 12:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Well then…here’s to hoping our backs and line can keep the cardinal struggling to stretch across the field.

by j.lee on Nov 16, 2011 12:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Surprisingly, it’s actually USC + UW that were most successful on the ground against Stanford. Ducks had way more rushing yards total, but on about a yard and a half less per rush than those two teams.

by Missing Barry on Nov 16, 2011 9:07 PM PST up reply actions  

On the other hand….

Stanford: 4.04
OSU: 4.74
WSU: 4.90

YPC allowed vs Pac-12 opponents this year. Gonna be a lot tougher to run vs. Stanford.

by Missing Barry on Nov 16, 2011 9:06 PM PST up reply actions  

I’ve had a convo with Tedford about run/pass balance and imo, he would prefer to run the ball and if it were up to him, he would have the QB pass to keep the defense honest and take shots downfield and would lean away from the passing game if he could. He emphasized that if you throw an incompletion on first down, then you are behind the chains already with a 2nd and 10. If the run game is not effective, than you almost certainly have to pass on 3rd down which opens the doors for defenses to throw the kitchen sink at you, puts more pressure on the offense to convert, and ups the risk of interceptions and dreaded Pick 6s.

The problem the past few years and this year is that Cal has not been able to consistently get yardage running the ball AND there have been lots of penalties that puts the offense behind the chains and puts Cal into a position to throw. Going back to the fucla game, there were so many offensive penalities that aided in killing drives.

OSU and Wazzu had below average run Ds so Cal was able to consistently run the ball which directly affected the need to pass the ball. Against fucla and the conference’s worst run defense, Cal left it’s run blocking on the plane and committed stupid penalties so Cal had no choice but to lean more on the passing game.

I would say the biggest step forward the past few games is that it appears that Cal has identified and has gotten alot better at a number of “bread and butter” type of plays (tosses to Sofele on the outside and of course, the roll QB left pass plays), have incorporated different formations and motions that window dress them, and they run them repeatedly. Cal has run those plays from the beginning of the season but to me, they have gotten a lot better at executing them to the point where they get positive and good chunks of yardage 80% of the time. Sadly, that’s a big step forward from previous years but it’s something to build on.

Hopefully, Cal can squeak out at least 2 more wins this season. I have substantial doubts about a W down on the farm this weekend but ASU is a winnable game so as long as they aren’t playing out of their minds and Cal doesn’t have a major letdown a la UW in 2009 post Big Game. ASU has a defense that is middle of the conference and while their passing game is pretty good, I think Cal’s run defense is well suited to stop their run, which would lead to ASU having to rely on their passing game against the #1 pass D in the conference. Should be a good game, but I’ve been wrong plenty of times before :)

by Cali49a on Nov 16, 2011 8:28 PM PST up reply actions  

It really has been a while since Cal has had an effective run game. For instance, as good as Jahvid was, even when he was here I wouldn’t say the running game was all that effective – Jahvid had tons of great runs, but also many poor runs. Too boom or bust – we weren’t able to consistently get yardage when we needed to. Been too long since we’ve really been able to run it down a teams throat no matter what they did (aside from against the occasional patsie)…

by Missing Barry on Nov 16, 2011 9:14 PM PST up reply actions  

Jahvid had tons of great runs, but also many poor runs. Too boom or bust

Exactly. Best was a very good player when he was given holes to run through but he looked terrible when the OL could not produce. Even against Oregon, Sofele gained a lot of his yardage on his own by bouncing plays outside and some people were saying that the OL had greatly improved and Cal’s offense woes were on the QB. So not the case.

by Cali49a on Nov 16, 2011 9:46 PM PST up reply actions  

I would say Vereen was an effective runner

Even when the O-line and the passing game was choking the bone. Really could’ve done more damage in a real offense.

by Avinash Kunnath on Nov 16, 2011 10:32 PM PST up reply actions  

No sour grapes here but he wasn’t the guy I had my eyes on

by Cali49a on Nov 16, 2011 8:32 PM PST up reply actions  

I’m guessing you like KeiVarae as much as I do?

by Avinash Kunnath on Nov 16, 2011 9:10 PM PST up reply actions  

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