Golden Nuggets: Pac-12 Bowl Projections--This Could Get Complicated
by Berkelium97 on Nov 15, 2011 3:30 PM PST
in Golden Nuggets
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PrintWe are all thrilled that the Bears are bowl eligible, but determining where the Bears will end up is no easy task. While bowl projections have been somewhat straightforward in the past, this year we have a new wrinkle: bowls do not have to send invitations based on the final conference standings.
- Assuming no radical changes of form during the rest of the season, including Oregon beating USC, it's likely that the Pac-12 will end up with two BCS teams – Oregon and Stanford. Most projections have those teams currently lined up to play in the Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio and the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl.
- That leaves Washington, Arizona State, Utah, Cal, and possibly UCLA to battle over the Valero Alamo, Bridgeport Education Holiday, Hyundai Sun, MAACO Las Vegas, and Kraft Fight Hunger Bowls. The Pac-12 won't have any other bowl-eligible teams, if it were able to, then the New Mexico Bowl would come into play.
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The early speculation is that the Alamo Bowl will choose Washington or Arizona State, with the Holiday Bowl getting the other team. One has to think that the Holiday Bowl will hope to get Arizona State, since it hosted Washington the previous year.
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That would leave the Sun, Las Vegas, and Fight Hunger Bowl for Utah, Cal, and UCLA.
Though it is Cal's most likely destination an Emerald Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl (I still hate that name) would conflict with the Cal-UCLA basketball game, which is a whole other set of issues. Check out the article to read about how that might be resolved. Finally, here's a collection of projections from all over the sports universe.
BOWL PROJECTIONS ESPN ESPN CBS Sports SI Fox Schlabach Edwards Palm Mandel CFN Stanford Fiesta Fiesta Fiesta Fiesta Fiesta Oregon Rose Rose Rose Rose Rose Arizona St. Sun Alamo Sun Holiday Alamo Cal Fight Hunger Las Vegas Fight Hunger Fight Hunger Sun UCLA Las Vegas Fight Hunger Las Vegas Las Vegas Las Vegas Utah Holiday Sun Holiday Sun Fight Hunger Washington Alamo Holiday Alamo Alamo Holiday
After the jump Tedford and Shaw get together for the Big Game Luncheon, Keenan Allen becomes a Biletnikoff finalist, and the Bears open as 20-point underdogs.
Football
- The Bears opened as 20.5 point underdogs, though the line has dropped as low as 18.5 or 19 at some places.
- CalBears.com has video interviews from yesterday's luncheon: Tedford, Justin Cheadle, and Trevor Guyton. If you're interested in the opponent's perspective, this clip has interviews with David Shaw, Andrew Luck, and Michael Thomas.
- Keenan Allen was named as one of ten semifinalists for the Biletnikoff Award, given annually to the nation's best receiver.
- Stiglich reports from Sunday's practice. Michael Coley's injury is confirmed as a broken fibula (it certainly looked that way on replay).
- Wilner gives the Bears a B- in the win over Oregon State. His biggest (and only) complaint is that the Bears wracked up 15 penalties, which negated three TDs.
- Faraudo's game thread follows along as Cal keeps pace with George Washington before blowing things open with a 21-0 run.
- BearTerritory.net recaps the game.
- Faraudo recaps the Bears' win.
- Monty, Justin Cobbs, David Kravish, and GWU Coach Mike Lonergan speak at the post-game press conference.
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If we go to the freaking kraft bowl, I’ll be interested to see what % of CGB’ers go to the football game and what % goes to the basketball game.
I for one would rather see a ranked team play for a pac-12 title then to see another game at ATT.
I will probably end up at Haas, but hopefully they can change the basketball time because I would love to do a football/basketball doubleheader on New Years Eve.
MAY THE CARDINAL BE DAMNED!! GO BEARS!!!!
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by AndyHogan14 on Nov 15, 2011 5:20 PM PST via iPhone app up reply actions
His biggest (and only) complaint is that the Bears wracked up 15 penalties, which negated three TDs (thankfully, we scored the TDs anyway).
I don’t think this is accurate. They were on 2 separate drives, and I believe we only scored a TD on one of those drives.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
The 2nd sets of TD runs that were wiped out resulted in us getting just a field goal. However, the amount of time that we took off basically iced the game so there is no complaint from me.
by LEastCoastBears on Nov 15, 2011 4:06 PM PST up reply actions
Y'all are correct
I lost track of the seemingly countless number of TDs (especially in the outfield endzone).
"Some people watch adult videos on their computer - I go to YouTube and watch Jahvid Best highlight clips. That’s what gets me going."- Jim Schwartz, Detroit Lions head coach
I don't see how "experts" expect
a 2-loss furd team in the Fiesta Bowl.
by Oski4Heisman on Nov 15, 2011 3:59 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
unfortunately or fortunately
if we beat Furd, we lose out on a big BCS bowl pay out to everyone in the conference
if we do somehow fall to Furd, we’ll likely get $ (if Furd don’t do something too crazy and lose to Notre Dame)
by LEastCoastBears on Nov 15, 2011 4:08 PM PST up reply actions
Small price to pay for the axe.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Nov 15, 2011 5:31 PM PST up reply actions 5 recs
if we beat Furd, we lose out on a big BCS bowl pay out to everyone in the conference
I fail to give a shit about this.
Man crush on Aaron Rodgers, since 2003.
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Do you believe in Cougmentum?
Cougs are 4-6 and could get to a bowl game by beating Utah at home and Washington in the Apple Cup.
Perhaps unlikely, but not impossible given the breakout performance of freshman QB Connor Halliday against ASU.
Washington State head coach Paul Wulff named redshirt freshman quarterback Connor Halliday the starter for Saturday’s game against Utah in Pullman. It will be the first start for Halliday, named the Pac-12 Player of the Week after throwing for 494 yards in the Cougars’ 37-27 win over Arizona State in Pullman last Saturday. [x]
If there is one piece of evidence to show
that the bowl system has jumped the shark it’s the Fight Hunger bowl.
Lots of bad sponsors out there
- TaxSlayer.com Gator Bowl
- Franklin American Mortgage Music City
- AdvoCare V100 Independence
- Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
AdvoCare V100 Independence
I liked it better when it was the Poulan WeedEater Independence Bowl.
Man crush on Aaron Rodgers, since 2003.
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I think they should merge with Beef O’Grady’s and be done with it….OK, what IS Beef O’Grady’s
"It's on the ROOF, oh yeah, one hundred PROOF, oh yeah....."
by TKE Prytanis 79 on Nov 16, 2011 6:50 AM PST up reply actions
It would have a nice thematic cohesion, wouldn’t you say?
by FromCtoShining(Blue)C on Nov 16, 2011 9:33 AM PST up reply actions
Thought it seems unlikely, I want us to go to the Sun Bowl just because it’s one of the oldest bowl games and we’ve never played in it.
Man crush on Aaron Rodgers, since 2003.
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I’m sure there are many, many venerable bowl games that we have not played in, thanks to our long tradition of not playing in bowl games.
"i, for one, welcome our new atomic overlords" - GoldBlooded
by atomsareenough on Nov 16, 2011 2:51 PM PST up reply actions
We were in the Poinsettia Bowl just 2 years ago!
In the Game of Trolls, you either troll or you die.
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But the Freedom Bowl doesn’t exist anymore!
Man crush on Aaron Rodgers, since 2003.
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Is it bad that every time I read the name Stiglich I think
Being an Old Blue means embracing the "meh".
I think the same thing!
With that guitar riff and everything!
"Some people watch adult videos on their computer - I go to YouTube and watch Jahvid Best highlight clips. That’s what gets me going."- Jim Schwartz, Detroit Lions head coach
Here’s to Utah losing to either Colorado or Wazzu and/or us beating ASU/Stanford. I really want to go to the Las Vegas Bowl. And if we did get there we’d all have to seriously consider going to Vegas, because as BI pointed out:
Beside allowing fans to do last minute holiday shopping at the various casino malls, a trip out there would give Cal fans the chance to watch the men’s basketball team play UNLV the following day. For the die-hard supporter, a road trip plus the chance to see the football and basketball teams play on consecutive days would be ideal.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
hella hope we’re in the Emerald bowl. NYE afterwards!
The odds of Cal winning are inversely proportional to the odds of Cal winning.
I vote Vegas.
Even though its early in the season.
Go Bears Go
by Rocksanddirt on Nov 15, 2011 5:53 PM PST via mobile reply actions
Sun Bowl
Per Wilner, Cal is the only team from the former Pac-10 that has never played in it
If the Bears split their last two games, then the Kraft, Las Vegas and Sun are in play. (The Sun might jump at the chance to pick Cal, the only member of the former Pac-10 that has never participated in the 76-year-old bowl.) And if the Bears beat both Stanford and Arizona State — stranger things have happened, supposedly — then they could climb as high as the Alamo.
Man crush on Aaron Rodgers, since 2003.
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Golden Bears Football Schedule
| Fresno St. | Sat 09/03 | W 36 - 21 |
@
Colorado
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Sat 09/10 | W 36 - 33 |
| Presbyterian | Sat 09/17 | W 63 - 12 |
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@
Washington
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Sat 09/24 | L 23 - 31 |
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@
Oregon
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Thu 10/06 | L 15 - 43 |
|
USC
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Thu 10/13 | L 9 - 30 |
|
Utah
|
Sat 10/22 | W 34 - 10 |
|
@
UCLA
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Sat 10/29 | L 14 - 31 |
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Washington St.
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Sat 11/05 | W 30 - 7 |
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Oregon St.
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Sat 11/12 | W 23 - 6 |
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@
Stanford
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Sat 11/19 | L 28 - 31 |
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@
Arizona St.
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Fri 11/25 | W 47 - 38 |
|
@
Texas
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Wed 12/28 | L 10 - 21 |
