Cal Football: Highs and Lows Against the Oregon Ducks
We all knew going into this game that it would take an amazing performance to avoid getting blown out, much less pull off an upset. Unfortunately, after teasing us with a valiant first half, the rest of the game followed the expected script. We made too many mistakes and wasted too many opportunities. There's no real shame in being beaten by a better team on their field, but it still hurts to wonder what might have been if the Maynard had played more effectively.
For this week's special feature, let's take a closer look at the best and worst plays of the game.
Up first, the Worst Play of the Game: (Sadly enough, there were plenty to chose from.)
It's 1st and 20.(following a holding penalty) Oregon comes out in their standard spread formation. Cal looks to be in Cover Zero with Cattouse playing up close in run support and DJ Campbell playing deep.(possibly spying on Thomas) The Bears have subbed in Josh Hill for Whiteside as part of their nickel package.
A wide receiver runs behind the formation feinting the reverse or fly sweep. Thomas reads Owusu and gives it to James. This might be a designed hand-off all the way because the Oregon linemen are already pulling to the right. Initially, the Cal defenders stay at home.
But as the play starts to unfold, Kendricks isn't able to evade the Duck lineman and gets knocked down.
Jalil is being driven backwards and can't get free. Inexplicably, Cattouse abandons outside contain and moves inside where he bumps into Jalil. Holt is following the play laterally and also gets bunched up. This allows two Duck blockers to occupy three Cal defenders and leaves the outside wide open.
With two senior defenders (who should know better) having effectively taken themselves out of the play, Anthony comes in and takes a dive. Literally. Instead of trying to tackle James, he hits the turf to avoid running into the Duck lineman. James is off to the races until Campbell can knock him out of bounds. Within a few seconds, we've gone from 1st and 20 to the red zone and their 2nd touchdown. Not. Good.
Yes. The Fail was strong on that play. Maybe this loss won't hurt as badly once it gets vacated? (I kid, I kid. Please Nike Overlords, don't stop paying Tedford's bonus.)
Okay, enough of the pain. Let's take a look at Cal's Best Play of the Night:
It's 1st and 10. Cal comes out in 21 personnel(two running backs, one TE, 2 WRs) Oregon looks to be in Cover One, with a 5 man front, one safety up in run support, and eight in the box. Cal runs a weakside (away from the TE) off-tackle hand-off. No pulling. This is just hat on hat power football.
Miller stands his guy up. So does MSG. Cheadle and Galas double-team Oregon's nose tackle. Schwenke clears his guy completely out of the way, and Schwartz seals the edge. Kapp is free to lead Sofele through the hole.
Kapp lays a solid block on the first Oregon linebacker.
But here is the key to the whole play: Kapp is able to block both of Oregon's linebackers. He stays engaged with their OLB and gets in the way of the MLB. Sofele is free to get to the edge.
Sofele is able to use his speed to get to the outside.
With great timing, Sofele channels his inner Mario and hurdles a defender to get another 10 yards.
Perfect execution from the big guys, an extraordinary effort from both of our backs, and Maynard didn't miss anyone!
Final Thoughts:
1) Without a reliable pass rush, I don't see an easy solution to our coverage issues. Hill just doesn't have the speed to stay with guys, especially if we're going to keep playing a lot of Cover One or Zero. McClure is going to have to put this game behind him and learn quickly.
2) Losing Anthony could also be an issue with our perimeter run defense. He was our best run-support corner. Williams and McClure have trouble consistently shedding blocks. Lack of elite safety play + young OLBs = lots of vulnerability on the edges.
3) I wonder how long Coach Pendergast will go before he considers giving some of the younger players snaps at safety. Maybe we give Hill some snaps there and bring in one of the young guys (Lee, Jackson?) to play nickel?
4) TEs and run blocking. As opposed to the past four games, we rarely used double TE personnel in this game. I'm curious if this was specifically done to matchup with the Ducks or if the coaching staff doesn't feel that our backup TE (Hagan) blocks well enough to allow us to run power sets effectively. A few games ago, Hydro noted that we were starting to break tendency by running away from the side where our TE is lined up. I'm starting to wonder if this is a trend, and not a change-up because Miller more serviceable than dominating as a blocker.
5) Running tendencies. I didn't chart this carefully, but it's beginning to seem like we run to the left a lot more effectively than we run to the right. From what I recall, all of our big runs came out of off-tackle or outside zone runs to the left. It makes sense because Schwartz/Schwenke are a more effective tandem than Cheadle/MSG. Also, Cheadle uses his mobility to pull well, but doesn't have the same raw power for driving straight ahead.
6) Run versus pass. My first impression was that I also thought it was curious we abandoned the run early in the 3rd quarter. But on the re-watch, I could see why Tedford wanted to go to the air. Oregon almost exclusively played Cover One with eight in the box and a safety up close in run support. They left Jones/Allen in single coverage, but tended to shade their deep safety over to Maynard's first read.(Allen) In theory, this leaves a lot of real estate to exploit...if your quarterback can make the right read and deliver the ball accurately. (sigh)
Oregon was also bringing a lot of run blitzes and run stunts. There's a great explanation on how Dline stunts work here. They used these on occasion during the 1st quarter, but started increasing the frequency when they realized that Maynard couldn't hurt them with his arm. During our first trip to the red zone, the drive stalled because our 1st down run to Sofele was a one yard loss, and our 2nd down run to CJ was for no gain.
On 1st down, an Oregon LB blitzes the "C" gap. (between MSG and Miller) MSG can't pick him off, Miller doesn't hold his block, and Sofele goes down.
On 2nd down, the Oregon has the perfect counter for our inside off-tackle run. Cheadle steps forward, but the Duck lineman is already stunting into the "B" gap. By the time CJ gets the ball, he has to try to break outside. But, Tyndall misses his lead block and CJ has nowhere to go.
In both cases, better execution could have set up 3rd and manageable instead of 3rd and long.
7) For all of his inconsistent play the first few games, this was the first time that Maynard looked truly rattled. Because we haven't seen that from him before, let's hope it was an aberration. It's still too early for a quarterback controversy.
Well, nothing like breaking a losing streak by taking on USC. It'll be a game for the record books. Literally. I think we're going to help immortalize Robert Woods. But wouldn't it sweet to make Kiffin pout more than usual? Beat the Trojans!
Go Bears!
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On another note...
http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/7086777/utah-utes-qb-jordan-wynn-season
"Fuck DOOOOOM. We prefer BOOOOOM!!- alpha1906
We really need to win that game. The South is mediocre at best this year and the Utes are winless in conference play.
In other words, Go Bears!
Utah is 2-0 OOC. I’d love for them to go undefeated OOC (they play at Pitt this weekend) but keep losing conference games. Losing Wynn for the year is a big blow, but there are so many bad teams this year they could still win a few. Cal should win easily.
by TouchedTheAxeIn82 on Oct 11, 2011 11:05 AM PDT up reply actions
Sofele's looked great the past two games
but someone with Jahvid-type speed would’ve probably taken half of those big running plays to the house. Sofele’s great at low-end speed but doesn’t have the extra gear. I wonder how Biggie’s progressing.
Comparing everybody to Jahvid, when it comes to pure speed, is going to leave pretty much everybody wanting. Seems like a ridiculously high bar.
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I hope you are right.
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Oh please stop comparing every RB to Best and Vereen. This is going to become just like the QB situation where everyone says “oh but he’s not Rodgers”. Best and Vereen were freaks of nature (in a good way) and extremely rare talent.
In other words, Go Bears!
I think the point fresh is trying to make is that a game breaking RB with the speed of somebody like Best would have likely scored thus keep the game closer.
I’m sure that is correct. However, it is unrealistic to expect every RB to be a “game breaking RB with the speed of somebody like Best.” I hope Bigs is like that, tho!
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If we had an RB with Best speed, a QB with Rodgers accuracy, and DBs with Asogmaugh (sp?) instinct, this game might have been a lot closer.
It is too bad that we can’t have all of them at the same time (except in 2004. . .sigh.).
by slaphancock on Oct 11, 2011 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions
I’m also not too sure whether Best would have scored. If you watch both of Sofele’s big runs, they are both tripped up by the safety who is playing WAY deep. Maybe Best could have juked him (Sofele hurdled him), but there is no chance Best could have just outran him.
by slaphancock on Oct 11, 2011 12:21 PM PDT up reply actions
It’s debatable for sure but when there’s a super fast RB, a defender needs to take the proper angle or the speedster will just eat that angle up. Cal’s DBs took some bad angles on James and the rest was history.
For this run, Best takes this one to the house for sure.
In this run, there’s a pretty good chance this one is taken to the house as well.
Absolutely. Too bad Best was saddled with some of the most incompetent run blocking in Autzen two years ago.
by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 11, 2011 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions
Without a doubt Best takes that first run to the house
the second one I am not too sure on but he probably takes it out to mid field before getting caught.
Also on that first run, do you think Isi would have had a better chance to score or gain some more yards if he tried to cut it back inside? It looks like he had some blockers set up.
Comparing every RB to Best?
Exaggeration much? You guys have become way too sensitive here.
Anyway, it was less about Sofele and more about how I think Biggie has that extra gear that Jahvid has. shrug.
Whaddya mean “you guys?” Royrules could be short for Royrulessa or Royrulina!
It’s all good, man. I’m not sure if Best would have scored on all of the long runs – Oregon’s safety is pretty good and they did have him playing pretty deep. But, I wouldn’t have been surprised at all.
Like you said, it could have really made it an interesting game. I wonder if Maynard would have settled down if the score had been different at the half.
And like you, I’m really hoping that Bigelow has that game-changing gear. I was a little surprised we didn’t see him in for a few more special plays, especially after a bye week. Maybe we’ll see more out of him as the season goes on.
Old Toothwrangler
Interesting observation about Oregon’s defense and why Tedford was trying to pass so much. Thanks for pointing that out.
by HydroTech on Oct 11, 2011 8:51 AM PDT via iPhone app reply actions
In both cases it beats the dead horse that execution is the key to winning. Nothing wrong, per se, with our schemes on that big play above, we just took bad angles and bunched up. And on that nice Sofele run our Oline, as I think they did most of the game, did monster work, as did Kapp.
I’m concluding that our Oline is going to be really solid this year. I’m concluding that because of that our running game will be able to move the ball effectively against all but maybe an LSU Dline. Therefore I’m concluding that we will win most games if we get good, not great, QB play…(sigh).
In short, on offense, I like our pieces a whole lot, and am depressed about our inability to make 65% of our throws.
Forgot to say I’ve also concluded that overall our defense is going to give up 28+ to every team remaining on our schedule.
In short, on offense, I like our pieces a whole lot, and am depressed about our inability to make 65% of our throws.
You’re going to be depressed for a very long time if you set your expectations that high. The only QB who has broken the 65% barrier was Rodgers in 2004. In 2003 he was a shade above 61%. Even in Longshore’s best season, he was just a hair above 60%. Going back on Tedford’s coaching track, the only QB who came close to 65% was Dilfer around 64% in ’93 unless you want to count Steve Levy in 2006 who was 7/10 on the season. Akili Smith, Harrington, and Boller were all under 60% for their careers.
Tedford’s offense does not pad QB stats. It never has, it never will. An extremely efficient and accurate QB will put up good numbers but the offense is just not designed that way. I know that you are saying you would like a QB who throws above 65% but those are very hard to come by for this system.
While it may be true that I will be depressed about poor QB play at Cal for much longer, it needn’t be so. And it may be true that Tedford’s system isn’t stat happy, but I don’t care about stats, I care about effectiveness, and I haven’t seen a golddarn Cal QB complete a reliable drive sustaining passing game against good competition in far too long. I don’t know how to post pictures here or images, but there is a Crumpacker article on Maynard that has a chart that makes my point.
I would be happy if Cal had a QB in the top half, and we could make passes that kept drives alive most of the time. There is no arguing that Maynard and Mansion and even Riley are/were sub-par completion quarterbacks. Let me wallow in my misery please!
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2011/10/10/SPUH1LFUAH.DTL
I don’t care about stats, I care about effectiveness,
These go hand in hand and the fact that you cited 65% and then supported your argument with a chart loaded with statistics, at least to me, is interpreted as you formulating your stance on stats and solely the QB. We all want a brutally efficient QB but the truth of the matter is that too much of the offensive woes have been pinned on the QB over the years. OL miscues, WR drops, wrong routes, and good defensive play are never factored visibly into stats. I’m not absolving the QBs from making errant passes and bad reads because there are plenty of times where things outside of the QB’s control happen and that is factored into stats. I’m just saying that QB stats are often times skewed and not accurate of the bigger picture.
If you factor in all the easy drops from the receivers this year, Maynard goes up a few spots and is a lower middle QB in the conference QB in terms of stats. Maynard does have a lot of room for improvement but so does the rest of the offense.
Maybe the only place we disagree is that right now I don’t think the main issue is the entire offense. I have no expectation that Cal 2011 will become Cal 2004 with their current players, but we win at WA and we are competitive at Oregon if Maynard makes a few more relatively easy throws. Receivers have dropped balls, but all do, and many of those “drops” were on balls Maynard threw up for grabs.
I absolutely know the Oline is a dominant factor, and was a critical factor the past two years. But indications are that the current line is much improved, as they are protecting better and created some big holes for Sofele against Oregon. That is why I am isolating more on the QB now.
Receivers have dropped balls, but all do, and many of those "drops" were on balls Maynard threw up for grabs.
I agree with everything you said except with what I quoted. There have been some tough passes that receivers dropped but when it hits both hands, the pass needs to be hauled in. Cal is well over double digits with drops where the pass was very catchable and hit both hands that should have been caught.
Great work Kodiak
when they realized that Maynard couldn’t hurt them with his arm.
So Oregon’s half time adjust for their D was to focus on the run and to dare Maynard to beat them with the passing game. Hopefully Maynard can pull it together, or else the rest of the Pac-12 will key in on the run as well.
n.b. -- This comment does not constitute official chemistry advice.
Woof, deja vu
Kevin Riley’s greatest failing was his inability to make defenses pay for cheating down against the run.
At least Maynard has a better o-line and receivers.
"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.
It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0
This is what every defense has been doing to Cal since 09
and none of our QB’s have been able to make them pay or respect the pass.
Now not all of that has been on the QB, as we have had terrible OL play so our QB’s havent even had the luxury of setting their feet or getting past their first read before they had to throw the ball.
Since 09? It’s always been the gameplan against Tedford’s offense. Used to work a lot less than it has over the last few years, though.
"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.
It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0
Well every DC tries to take away the run and force you to beat them through the air
however, we have been a really inconsistent to bad passing team since really 08 so this strategy has just worked a lot better these last few years.
Nice post.
Number one fan of Justin Bieber being the number one fan of the Dodgers, and not the [2010 World Series Champion] Giants.
Oh that reminds me – forgot to give you the HT for the best of/worst of idea. Thanks again!
Old Toothwrangler
heh as in football, execution >>>>>> idea!
Number one fan of Justin Bieber being the number one fan of the Dodgers, and not the [2010 World Series Champion] Giants.
by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 11, 2011 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions
This is what I fear.
It’ll be a game for the record books. Literally. I think we’re going to help immortalize Robert Woods
250yards all by himself. I’m taking Cal fan worridom to another level.
no bear, no care
Oh, you mean Marquise Lee, whom we were heavily recruiting?
sads.
no bear, no care
by EchoOfSilence on Oct 11, 2011 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions
I’m getting flashbacks to 2007 where we let that one RB have a career day. I don’t think he showed up to any other game for ’SC
In other words, Go Bears!
Like that one guy. What was his name? And that other guy! Whoshisface?
THEY WERE AMAZING!
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5) Running tendencies. I didn’t chart this carefully, but it’s beginning to seem like we run to the left a lot more effectively than we run to the right. From what I recall, all of our big runs came out of off-tackle or outside zone runs to the left. It makes sense because Schwartz/Schwenke are a more effective tandem than Cheadle/MSG. Also, Cheadle uses his mobility to pull well, but doesn’t have the same raw power for driving straight ahead.
Although the first one looked like it was supposed to go left. The second one looked like a designed counter play or maybe Sofele just bounced it outside because that’s where the daylight was. Either way, nice running by Sofele and great blocking by Jones on the second run. Had Allen taken out #20 in the first run, that would’ve been a touchdown. He just completely whiffed, rather than engaging the defender and taking him out of the play.
Yeah Allen missed or doesn't hold his block long enough
also, perhaps if Isi tries to cut that play inside instead of trying to out run the defender he might score.
How we can guarantee a win against $C
>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5H8GZENV9Hs
Never took the time to get just the clip of injury part, since I barely know how to type, so you have to watch the entire clip. Not sure how I graduated from Cal in the foist place.
Much better than faking injuries.
I'm Batman
Draw up some plays?
Sounds good to me!
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