Golden Nuggets: Cal-Arizona Predictions
Time for another Prediction Thursday. While last week featured an almost-unanimous pick for Cal, this week everyone (and I mean everyone) picks Cal to lose.
Uncle Ted predicts a close one in Tuscon:
Arizona 28, California 24: I wouldn't be surprised if the Wildcats -- still high on their win over Iowa -- starts slowly while Cal -- still peeved about their game at Nevada -- comes out on fire. But the Wildcats will assert themselves in the second half as the 'Zona Zoo gets motivated.
Bruce Feldman also predicts a narrow Arizona victory. Shane Vereen and the Cal D will have strong performances but "the 'Cats' offense will make one more play than Cal" as Arizona holds onto a 31-28 win.
ESPN's AccuScore ran 10,000 simulations of the Cal-Arizona game. Cal won 37.2% of the time (pretty close to the report card predictions of 39.1%!). The average score was 29.2 for Arizona and 24.1 for Cal. ESPN predicts Foles will have a big day as he averages 288.2 yards, 1.6 TDs, and 1 interception. Riley, meanwhile, averages 179.2 yards, 1.3 TDs, and 1 interception.
John Tamahana predicts a 34-24 Arizona victory. Though his intuition tells him Cal will bounce back and Arizona will suffer a letdown, he says Arizona's stout run defense and Kevin Riley's inconsistency will limit Cal's chances to notch the upset.
All four of Yahoo's writers (and 97% of readers) predict an Arizona victory.
All five CBS writers predict an Arizona victory.
This all sounds a lot like last year's Arizona predictions, and we all know how that one turned out...
After the jump Cal makes an appearance in ESPN's Bottom Ten, the Pac-12 considers sites for the championship game, the Fresno State matchup nears finalization, MSG anticipates more playing time this week, and several outlets predict the 2010-2011 basketball season.
Football
- Cal's defense has earned the Bears a spot in ESPN's bottom ten.
- Mohamed still hadn't returned to practice as of Wednesday. Thankfully, he practiced in full capacity on Thursday. Also, the Fresno State matchup is reportedly close to being finalized.
- Jon Wilner previews the game, including matchups between Cal's secondary and Arizona's passing attack and the Wildcats' mental battle to avoid a letdown.
- Rivals interviews Arizona beat writer Jason Nimrichter, who provides insight into what Cal fans should watch for in Saturday's game. Scout, er, scouts out the opponent while highlighting key matchups and providing some interesting facts.
- Offensive line coach Steve Marshall talks about the O-line taking on one of its biggest challenges all season. Matt Summers-Gavin should see much more playing time this week.
- Riley's seniority and a possible Arizona letdown are two items in Ted Miller's "What to Watch" this week.
- Glendale, Las Vegas, Seattle, and LA are possible sites for the Pac-12 championship game. Pac-10 athletic directors will meet October 6th and 7th to discuss details of the Pac-12 (including how to divide the conference).
- Cal is 9th in Wilner's Pac-10 ratings. 9th. Worse than ASU, worse than UCLA, worse than Washington. lolwut
- Shane Vereen is rising while Cal is falling in Ted Miller's Pac-10 stock report. That's the opposite of last week when the defense was rising while Vereen was trending downward.
- Cal's offensive line will have its hands full with Arizona defensive ends Brooks Reed and Ricky Elmore.
- Daily Cal checks in on Bears in the NFL: this week they look at Aaron Rodgers, Tyson Alualu, and Nick Sundberg.
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When he first started that column, he did it without giving attribution to Steve Harvey, the LA Times sportswriter who came up with idea. I emailed him about it, and to his credit, he then added the “with apologies” line. But it is pretty startling to see us in the bottom 10.
You know, it’s funny that we’re now getting this narrative about Cal football. For so many years, we were an afterthought, but now we’re the team that yacks when expected to win. I guess as long as they’re spelling your name right, it’s all good. I just have a feeling that the program will go to another level once the Athletic Center is open. No matter what people think, Tedford has put this program together with one hand in a plaster cast.
by BlackandOldGold on Sep 23, 2010 8:46 PM PDT up reply actions
LOL
Bottom 10?!?!?!
Are you FUCKING kidding me!?!?
What a dumbass….there were so many teams that laid eggs last week that we do not deserve to be there. Nevada was a Good team. REPEAT. GOOOOOOD FUCKING TEAM. AS IN MOTHER FUCKING FOR REAL LEGIT. You Stupid dumbass fuck, Schlabach. I don’t expect Cal to win more than 8 games (tops) this year. But seriously, you picked us for your number five (pick on a good team) slot. You’re a dumb shit. Pick some one from the ACC. or from the Big East. Or Notre Dame. We’re no one at this point. We’re in rebuilding until 2013. Sure we’ll stay positive above .500 and plenty of Cal fans will call for Tedford’s head—and they are morons. But Still…Bottom Ten!?!?!? We were picked to finish SEVENTH in the conference you FUCK!!!
You seriously think that wins over Colorado and UC Davis qualify as quality wins??! you are a complete and total stupid FUCK if you think that. TOTALLY DEVOID OF ANY FUCKING SENSE. I mean SERIOUSLY come on!
I am not happy with a Cal loss, but 90% of anyone with half a brain saw that this was a good trap game and anyone with any knowledge of football knew this would be competitive. Maybe because Nevada could kick the SHIT out of BC, WVU (who struggled against Marshall), Miami (who has beaten nobody—Jacoby Harris sucks balls), ANYONE from the Big East or ACC, Probably the entire Big 12 (short of maybe Nebraska who could keep up in points) and the Big Ten (short of OSU who has legit D speed)…I mean you are a FUCKING MORON if you think you should be embarrassed by a loss to Nevada…
FUCKING MORON
FUCKING MORON
FUCKING MORON
Can I say that again?
FUCKING MORON
Nevada is legit. Why don’t you try watching a real football game you stupid fuck. Goddam Schlabach is a dumb worthless piece of shit if he is putting Cal at the number five spot. Jackass.
Fuck.
Say it like Ron Burgandy signing off: "Stay Classy, Bears!"
by PlayClassyBears on Sep 24, 2010 12:32 AM PDT up reply actions 3 recs
Would you please tell me how you really feel?
Cal Football: Embrace the Horror
by Thoroughbred on Sep 24, 2010 12:39 AM PDT up reply actions
Um
Bottom 10 is supposed to be worst teams, and number 5 is reserved for a powerful team that laid an egg that week. We won’t be there next week. Maybe USC will be. Seriously, you just don’t get the bottom 10.
I think he gets it.
But seriously, you picked us for your number five (pick on a good team) slot. You’re a dumb shit.
by atomsareenough on Sep 24, 2010 7:29 AM PDT up reply actions
This ripping on Schlabach is misguided. He actually has a lot of respect for Cal. Check out Twitter today, where he mentions that Nevada’s victory is impressive given that we were the opponent.
I actually think it’s a good sign when the media rips on us for a letdown. The media has high expectations for Cal now, and that’s good. We’re expected to win games like these, and the media is right to question our play when we don’t.
Recruiting updates @CalEternal on Twitter.
by CaliforniaEternal on Sep 24, 2010 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions
u need to hit “send” on this email.
"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark
by carp on Sep 24, 2010 6:32 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
HAHAHAHAHA
Hella funny, especially funny from someone with the moniker Play CLASSY Bears. Let ’er rip!
Am I known as Cugel the Clever for nothing?
I MIGHT have written this...
After coming from a jolly night at an Oktoberfest celebration…LOL.
Ah the clairvoyance that beer provides.
Say it like Ron Burgandy signing off: "Stay Classy, Bears!"
by PlayClassyBears on Sep 24, 2010 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions
writeclassybears
get off me bandwagoners!
http://www.cleancutmedia.com
by cleancutmedia on Sep 24, 2010 5:05 PM PDT up reply actions
I don’t get all thhis hatting about the Bottom-10. It’s a complete non-issue. Not only isn’t it taken seriously by anyone, the fact that Cal got the “coveted” number 5 spot is almost a compliment. Cal is expected to do better now, and even losing to a good team is cause for a B-10 ranking.
Besides, it’s not like there isn’t at least some justification for this. After all, the defense did have some major suckitude in that game.
Seriously, wasting anger and all this energy over something like this strikes me as falling into the trap.
Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!
Even if everybody picks Zona to win
This expert predicts a Cal victory.

I forgot to do this last week. maybe thats why we lost…
by JustBear on Sep 23, 2010 8:53 PM PDT reply actions 5 recs
I made one, but yours approx. 1,000,000 X better, so I’m feeling way more confident now.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
I don’t remember him making one last week!
I just remember your one… And how did that fucking turn out!
Cal Football: Embrace the Horror
by Thoroughbred on Sep 24, 2010 12:39 AM PDT up reply actions
Winning this game would be instant reputation repair.
Recruiting updates @CalEternal on Twitter.
by CaliforniaEternal on Sep 23, 2010 10:23 PM PDT up reply actions
Mohamed
practiced today and should play Saturday.
That’s the best news to hear since victory over Colorado.
by JustBear on Sep 23, 2010 10:37 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Let’s hope it’s not just lip service.
Cal Football: Embrace the Horror
by Thoroughbred on Sep 24, 2010 12:40 AM PDT up reply actions
why is MSG being slowly worked in? He’s arguably our best lineman. START EM!
"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark
Article on the O-line and Marshall from Rivals
With now almost a full month of practice under his belt, Summers-Gavin should see significantly more playing time against the Wildcats as the Bears open up their Pac-10 schedule.
“He’s doing very well, Matt’s coming along a lot,” Marshall said enthusiastically. “He’s making strides, and I anticipate him playing-as we get into Pac-10 play-quite a bit. I’ve been pleased with him. You know, it’s kind of like his training camp. He missed all of camp and he’s really only been out there 12 practices, so he’s getting better and better. I saw, this week, some things that (indicate) he’s getting back to his normal quickness, back to his normal self, so, as the season goes on, I see Matt playing quite a bit.”
Old Toothwrangler
I don’t like Marshall. I want Mizalchick
In other words, Go Bears!
by royrules22 on Sep 24, 2010 10:29 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
I wish
Say it like Ron Burgandy signing off: "Stay Classy, Bears!"
by PlayClassyBears on Sep 24, 2010 11:51 AM PDT up reply actions
It shouldn’t be that hard to lure coach Michalczik back, right? I mean, he is coaching for a struggling program that has quarterback issues and…oh crap. Nevermind.
by SonofCalifornia on Sep 24, 2010 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions
Conditioning
This is probably a conditioning issue to be honest. O-Line is one of the most difficult positions to play because of the endurance required. A lot of our guys who missed camp time look a step slow and that is a conditioning issue. Vereen I think is the most obvious guy who comes to mind. He had a great game on Friday, but there many times he looked gassed. Altitude didn’t help any, but I suspect being unable to train at his normal level because of his hammy is going to continue to affect him this season.
Say it like Ron Burgandy signing off: "Stay Classy, Bears!"
by PlayClassyBears on Sep 24, 2010 11:53 AM PDT up reply actions
Is it just me or does it also seem like our o-line was better conditioned under Michalczik? I remember the d-line from other teams hitting a wall in the 3rd and 4th quarters, and our o-line just kept hammering away, looking solid and energetic, knocking guys 5 yards deep.
by SonofCalifornia on Sep 24, 2010 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions
They were better conditioned. But they were also BETTER.
Mack, Gibson, Merz, O’Callaghan, Philip….is anyone on this team even close to that level? Maybe Schwartz, maybe MSG, maybe Schwenke, but only Schwartz is totally ready. MSG is rusty and Schwenke is the future.
O-line recruiting sucked during the middle of the Tedford era, and it’s showing now.
Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com
by Avinash Kunnath on Sep 24, 2010 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions
Totally
I think it’s hard to blame the recruiters though. We’ve had a lot of very highly rated guys who just didn’t produce. I’m thinking about deMartinis especially. A number of injuries and tweener guys. Our early O-Line recruits were STUDS. We were incredibly blessed…it’s just too bad Aaron Rodgers coincided with Reggie Robertson and left early leaving us with the disaster that was Ayoob only to see Longshore struggle. If we had that O-Line Riley wouldn’t be having the same happy feet issues he has now.
Say it like Ron Burgandy signing off: "Stay Classy, Bears!"
by PlayClassyBears on Sep 24, 2010 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions
If Riley came to Cal in 03-04 and Rodgers in 09-10 do you think we’d be asking why Rodgers wasn’t like Riley?
In other words, Go Bears!
No? Aaron Rodgers got punched around like a pinata last year and still completed 65% of his passes. Plus Rodgers does VERY well with a broken pocket and throwing on the move.
Riley is merely ok. We’d probably be asking why Riley overthrew all four of his receivers on the final drive in the Coliseum.
Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com
by Avinash Kunnath on Sep 24, 2010 8:17 PM PDT up reply actions
Anyone else notice our 'Cal' logo on Schlabach's post?
Is it a joke or does he really hate on Cal?

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