Top Ten Reasons Why California Will Lose To Nevada
10. Too much humility. This Golden Bears have way too many good guys on their defense. Oh, yes, good in the good way, but also good in the "GOODY!" way. D.J. Holt talked about the respect Nevada's offense deserves for all its multiple weapons and high-scoring attack. Mike Mohamed might be one of the nicest linebackers Cal has ever had and you'll never hear him trash-talk before a game. Not enough hubris, ego, and the dripping overconfidence that permeates the locker rooms of mighty Notre Dame and Virginia Tech.
So imagine what'll happen on Friday night when Wolf Pack quarterback Colin Kaepernick hits tight end Virgil Green over the middle. Instead of dragging him down for a short gain, Josh Hill will probably bow courteously and form an escort for him into the end zone. When running back Vai Taua catches the Bears sleeping on the outside on the pistol veer option, Jarred Price will clap his hands, pat him on the back after his multiple 70 yard touchdowns, and invite him over to Berkeley for tea and biscuits. It'll be the ultimate display in sportsmanship. Monday morning quarterbacks will talk about the great lessons it imparts to our children. And we will be sobbing.
9. Chris Ault, master illusionist. There are a lot of things you learn at fancy Reno nightclubs after gameday, and one of the things Ault learned was how to alter time and space so that football games feel quicker but in actuality last longer. Once Nevada rolled up 38 points in three minutes because the opposing defense was too busy watching Ault pull mouthwatering mystical double-double In-N-Out burgers out of his sleeves. Another legend of yore is that Ault once made a fearsome offense think they were facing eleven ravenous wolves on defense. Some opposing players say you can still hear the echoes of them bawling for their mommies.
Ault, who's been on Nevada's sideline on-and-off for 35 years, also has his own set of tricks to learn the ability of teleportation. When Deandre Coleman vanishes into thin air in the third quarter, you'll know how foolish you were to bet on the Bears.
8. Mike Mohamed in a boot. Hey, you know what that means, right? Nick Forbes, your first true test as a true freshman as an inside linebacker is to slow down one of the most complicated offenses in all of college football. Have fun the next three and a half hours trying to figure out where the ball is, where Kaepernick is handing off, or if he's handing off, or if he's throwing it, or if Coach Ault is using another Jedi mind trick and there are actually two footballs on the field, or if the ball even exists and you're actually on offense. Wake up from this dream rookie.
7. Night of the headhunters. Kevin Riley continues to lead with his head when he runs the football, whether on designed handoffs, scrambles, or zone reads. When Nevada gets rolled on for three touchdowns to start the game, Riley will tuck the ball and run. Then everyone's favorite nightmare will unfold: Some ambitious Wolf Pack defender who has no idea how to tackle will lay the wood a la T.J. Ward. Then everyone gets to witness the terrifying act of Beau Sweeney trying to get into a groove for the next three quarters as Nevada stacks 10 in the box for the rest of the game.
6. Tosh Lupoi, secret slot machine addict. People might not realize this, but Lupoi's hard-hitting, effervescent personality retreats into his shell in the bright lights of a casino strip. When you start wondering why the defensive line is underachieving and having all sorts of trouble, you'll have your answer in the Reno Harrah's, where Lupoi is splurging away the team's lunch money in the hope he can draw three BARs.
If you want a little unwritten Cal history, go back and watch those Las Vegas Bowl tapes and you'll see Lupoi shaking on the sidelines with a gigantic plastic container of coins, suffering from gambling withdrawals. Some idle parties attribute BYU's short-lived attempt at a comeback to Lupoi retreating frantically to the locker room in-between TV timeouts to play rounds of video poker on the press room computer.
5. Temptation for the New Kid. There's too much mojo for aspiring musical artist Alex Lagemann, whose quest for king of fun hip hop is reflected in lyrics like "If you buy some Patron, I'll stay here the whole night" and "Humpty-Dumpty I'm off the wall, and land in a pool of my alcohol". And nothing spells out f-u-n like Reno, the entertainment capital of Washoe County, Nevada. It's the next logical step on the way to the top, and you know Loggy will be quick to take advantage of this opportunity.
So when the millions of Loggy haters come out of the woodwork in Mackay Stadium and trash-talk about the superiority of insightfully relevant bands like Creed and Nickelback, the distraction to the team will be inevitable. D.J. "Big Red" Costanzo will race to the locker room to get his D.J. equipment and start drowning out playcalls from Tedford with his mad beats. A dance party will break out on the Cal sideline as the offensive linemen provide bouncer support for Loggy's first impromptu concert performance.
They say creating art involves methods to the madness, and there'll be nothing madder than this night to remember in Number 5's rise to greatness. It'll just happen while Riley and Shane Vereen play 2 on 11 on the field.
4. We're ranked by someone, somewhere. You know what happens when we're ranked, right? If only this team would lose more. We wouldn't have to worry about this problem.
3. The Revenge of Kaepernick. Oh how soon everyone forgets.
A three sport star at Pitman High School in Turlock, California, Kaepernick passed up a promising baseball career as a pitcher in order to play football. Kaepernick was nominated for all state in football, basketball, and baseball his senior year. He was the MVP of the Central California Conference in football leading his school to its first ever playoff victory. In basketball he was a first team all CCC selection at forward and lead his 16th ranked team to a near upset of the number 1 ranked Oak Ridge Trojans in the opening round of playoffs. In that game Colin would score 34 points but it wouldn't be enough as Ryan Anderson would score 50 to best the Pride.
Okay, it might be a different sport, and it might be at a different level, but don't think he's forgotten about the misery a Golden Bear spread on his college career. Ryan Anderson is about to wish he'd never scored that many points. Well, actually, Cal fans are about to wish Ryan Anderson never scored that many points. Ryan Anderson is too busy wondering why Rashard Lewis is getting all his minutes.
2. Jon Wilner likes Cal. RED ALERT! EVACUATE THE PREMISES! DISASTER LOOMS.
But after two weeks, 10 points allowed and 104 points scored, Cal looks like a team ready to produce an upside surprise -- a team that could finish higher than its projected spot (seventh) in the Pac-10 preseason media poll, that is having fun, playing loose and relishing its turn away from the spotlight.
Which is another way of saying the offseason changes implemented by coach Jeff Tedford -- more fun, more competition, more aggressiveness, less self-imposed pressure -- have had a positive effect.
For Cal fans, this is the kiss of death. Wilner couldn't have done more damage to the Bears if he had hiked the Campanile in the dark of night, spray painted it red, chopped it down using our Axe, and then surfed it down University Avenue and sailed it out to Palo Alto. At least we could build another Campanile. This Friday in Reno will be lost to the history books.
1. YouTube.
White Fang (via JRomePalk79)
Wolf vs bear (via 105km)
Black Bear vs Wolf Pack (via Apexpredator11)
I rest my case.
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Comments
I think it's funny that there's a Marge Simpson picture in this post.
I wore my Marge Simpson shirt today.
"You're all like big, fat failure turtles." - Edge
by Rated-R Superstar on Sep 15, 2010 6:02 PM PDT reply actions
Avi, seriously the best post ever
This is funnier than Jon Stewart on an anti-Bush rant, funnier than Steven Colbert or Jimmy Fallon hosting an awards show.
Avi, this is your masterpiece.
No longer a member of the Martinis. I'm now a member of the Twisties...fans of TwistNHook go to www.twistys.com* *Note: TwistNHook does not endorse this site.
Terrific
You’re giving Twist a run for his money with this one….and I thought you were just a very talented analyst with a great atttention to detail…. Now we learn there is so much more going on …..really great
"It's on the ROOF, oh yeah, one hundred PROOF, oh yeah....."
by TKE Prytanis 79 on Sep 15, 2010 6:23 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
I enjoyed this whole post
especially this part:
Have fun the next three and a half hours trying to figure out where the ball is, where Kaepernick is handing off, or if he’s handing off, or if he’s throwing it, or if Coach Ault is using another Jedi mind trick and there are actually two footballs on the field, or if the ball even exists and you’re actually on offense. Wake up from this dream rookie.
"Some people watch adult videos on their computer - I go to YouTube and watch Jahvid Best highlight clips. That’s what gets me going."- Jim Schwartz, Detroit Lions head coach
another riff off black heart gold pants:
WE ARE SO F#CKED!!!!!!!!!! AHHHHH!!!!!!!
What did i tell you...didn't I say they would win? Yeah that's right I did didn't ? Wait.. what? They LOST?!?!?
p.s. Wilner liking us legitimately scare me…
"Remember the Maine! TO HELL WITH STANFORD!"
by CruzinBears on Sep 15, 2010 8:16 PM PDT up reply actions 4 recs
Yeah.
o=========<| BBBBBBEARZZZZZZ
May I offer you a glass of sunshine?
by Thoroughbred on Sep 15, 2010 8:23 PM PDT up reply actions
so Nick Forbes is going to step in at mike linebacker for Mohamed?
What did i tell you...didn't I say they would win? Yeah that's right I did didn't ? Wait.. what? They LOST?!?!?
No, Mohamed will likely start. And I’d expect to Holt to move over to handle the Mike if it came to that.
But in the unlikely event he doesn’t play, Holt and Mullins would probably start, which probably means Forbes will see the field. That is not a position I envy for him, since it’d most likely be his first major action.
Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com
by Avinash Kunnath on Sep 15, 2010 10:24 PM PDT up reply actions
Pretty sure Forbes has gotten some major action before….oh wait, what are we talking about?
No longer a member of the Martinis. I'm now a member of the Twisties...fans of TwistNHook go to www.twistys.com* *Note: TwistNHook does not endorse this site.
by dballisloose on Sep 15, 2010 10:54 PM PDT up reply actions
More Like...
6)
@ Tennessee, 2006
5)
@ Stanford, 2007
4)
@ Arizona, 2006
3)
@ Washington, 2007
2)
@ Washington, 2009
1)
@ Maryland, 2008
The only slot machine here is Cal on the road. Are they the better team? Yes. Should they win? Yes. Has that prevented them from gagging against other inferior opponents, time after time the last couple years? (and I didn’t even add in the UCLA games, the close call @ CSU, the other AZ loss…) Not in the least.
Interesting game, who the hell knows if “good Cal” or “bad Cal” shows up. Nevada can’t beat Cal’s A- game, and can’t lose to Cal’s D+ game. I like Cal in this one, but I sure wouldn’t bet the mortgage.
Why is your Pac-10 blog so unlinked on cfn?
It’s like impossible to find a link to you off the front page of cfn.scout.com – are those other guys East-coast biased or what?
Let me say I absolutely appreciate that you and your blog exist, MrPac10, but please please update sooner in the week, and please give more in-depth analysis.
Stand the whole game, stay to the end, and start yelling while they're still in the huddle. GO BEARS
by JerrottWillard45 on Sep 16, 2010 9:27 AM PDT up reply actions
the website
has linking issues, that’s why I created my own annual “home” page that links to articles, since it’s so hit and mess on the main site. I think it’s just got technical problems, it used to be better, but it is what it is unfortunately.
Thanks for the kind words and support. I usually do picks Thursday or Friday, partially b/c I let others do some of the research (esp. injury reports), and partially b/c it takes a bit of a while to think through the games (esp. in OOC season where there are so many more games, frequently involving teams I don’t have as much familiarity with). The level of analysis varies game by game; usually I’ll do more on the “highlight” type games (and Cal’s first two games were anything but). I’ve got a bit more on Cal-Nevada, which should be up tonight (preview piece is almost done).
I also do various other pieces from time to time (wrote a lot about expansion over the summer, for instance), as well as Compu-Picks (CFB and NFL separately), starting week 8.
Cal vs. Nevada
If Cal fans think Nevada’s defense has any hope of stopping your offense, well, then you just don’t know Nevada football at all. We are the originators of the “score-more-points-than-your-opponent” defensive philosophy. Chris Ault has never met a defense that he liked, or understood, or thought was necessary, for that matter.
BUT… wit that said, QB Kaepernick is gonna run those rubber-band legs all over the field while RB Taua runs right up the middle again and again and again until Cal cries uncle.
And don’t forget Dontay Moch, one of the best defensive players in the country. He’s probably gonna hurt Riley. Bad. He has 4.19 speed and is as fearsome as they come (that is not a misprint. 4.19. Look it up).
For once, Nevada will be on the winning end of this lopsided series, and maybe renew a rivalry worth having every year.
Reno is a blast for visiting fans, don’t forget to hit up an “Awful Awful” burger @ the hole-in-the-wall Nugget Casino downtown (the burger is “awful” big and “awful” good) and have a blast! Best gambling casino? Stay away from the corporate places and visit the Cal-Neva or John Ascuaga’s Nugget in Sparks. You can win in Reno. Just not on the football field.
In the immortal words of Jean Girard: “Hakuna matata, bitches!”
lol
You do have a proficient offense, but we have a superbowl defense.
We will stop you to under 300 yards total offense, and as for your laughable “4.19” we have all seen that.
It isn’t true.
Tell him to get a REAL test, the real fastest players in football, are from Cal-Desean Jackson 4.28
Cal 47-28
Don't Tread on Me.
by THESeymoreBear on Sep 16, 2010 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions
You do have a proficient offense, but we have a superbowl defense
Not so fast there yet. Our defense has not yet faced a proficient offense. Sure, Colorado’s problems on offense had a lot to do with what Clancy dialed up. But it’s tough to say how much of Colorado’s performance was due to our defense vs. how much was due to Colorado just not being good offensively. Nevada will be a very good test for our D.
Yes, I am an Old Blue. Now get off my lawn.
And this is why I bet the over.
I wouldn’t have cared if it was 6.02 * 10^23.
by SeattleDucks on Sep 16, 2010 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions
LOFL a *superbowl defense*....
Really?!? A superbowl defense??!? LMFAO….(BTW it’s Super Bowl, 2 words with caps, like Wolf Pack).
My bad, the 4.19 was not official, so I’ll retract that, but his official 4.25 is still faster than Desean.
I’d bet anything that Oregon has 2X as many fast players as Cal + we all know it’s not how fast you are, but whether you can hold onto the ball that matters (yeah, I’m talking about you, Desean) …
Should be a highly-entertaining game and a close contest, IMO… Nevada 34 Cal 32.
http://rob-rang.blogs.cbssports.com/mcc/blogs/entry/13682485/22523668
It’s not that DJax couldn’t hold onto the ball, he’d just do his damn cartwheels 1 yard too early. Ask the Eagles how that went. My friend grew up in Long Beach and would see him play in high school; needless to say, the problems were there in high school too. Not gonna guess how this game goes and jinx Cal. If Mike Mo isn’t playing, we can always send in Oski.

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