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This Week In The Pac: Halfway Home

We're about halfway through the 2010 regular season, but little has been settled out west.  In the same week that first place Oregon played last place Washington St., the biggest blowout of the week was at Strawberry Canyon rather than Pullman.  Just another weird, exciting week in the most competitive conference in the nation.  Despite Cal’s 35-7 win, this week was characterized by incredibly evenly matched games that went right down to the wire.  Let’s start in the desert:

Oregon St. 29, Arizona 27

There aren’t many things you can count on in the Pac-10, but two multi-year trends played a prominent role in this game:  The annual Pac-10 surge by Oregon St. and upstart Pac-10 dreams taking a hit in Tucson.  But the twist this year is that it was Arizona’s own title hopes that were diminished, rather than the visitor like UCLA, Cal and Oregon in years past.

This game might be a bit of a hidden classic.  Adding to mounting evidence that Cal’s defense is shockingly legit, Nick Foles bounced back from a 25-39, 212 yard performance against the Bears to go 35-46 for 440 yards.  But he was matched by Ryan Katz’s breakout performance and the difference in an amazingly even game was probably a missed 37 yard field goal from Wildcat Ryan Zendejas.  Consider the similarities in this game:

Star-divide

-Both teams only had 1 turnover – a costly red zone interception to end a scoring chance.
-Both teams missed at least 1 extra point.
-Both teams ran for approx. 100 yards.
-Both QBs had at least 30 completions and ~400 yards.
-Both teams recorded 3 sacks.
-OSU had 25 first downs to Arizona’s 26

So maybe it’s not a shock that one field goal could make the difference.  Building the Dam tempers their happiness because James Rodgers suffered a serious knee injury:

The biggest one is any win against Arizona is a big one. The ‘Cats are one rough, tough bunch. It's the third year in a row Oregon St. has gone down to the wire against them, and only the costly trips to Tucson resulted in wins.

Costly because both times the Rodgers brothers have ventured down there, one has come away with a serious injury. Jacquizz saw his season end two years ago in Tucson, and James may well have encountered the same fate, after a second quarter knee injury that left him on crutches.

Meanwhile, AZ Desert Swarm makes a complaint many Cal fans have made over the years:

I am at a loss as to what happened last night.  The offense seemingly put enough points on the board, yet the defense was unable to stop the pass, allowing 393 yards and 2 TDs.  The run defense was stout, but that alone will not win a game.

The constant cushion around the Oregon St. receivers had me, and everyone in the stands around me, infuriated all night long.  The Arizona secondary is very good.  Why were we handicapping them all night by forcing them to play back off of the receivers?

With road trips to Stanford and Oregon still left on the schedule, do you think Arizona is still a Pac-10 title threat?

How much does James Rodger’s season ending injury impact the Beavers?


Stanford 37, USC 34


After a series of middling performances not in line with his talent or hype, Andrew Luck busted out against USC’s secondary to help earn a Cardinal win.  Meanwhile, both defenses showed that they are not quite ready for prime time.  Rule of Tree is pretty pleased with Luck:

How good was Andrew Luck last night? The Stanford quarterback completed 83 percent of his passes, led a game-winning drive in the final minute, threw for three touchdowns, no interceptions, and 285 yards, and made the hit of the night on USC's Shareece Wright following one of two Stepfan Taylor fumbles. Yeah, I'd say that's helmet sticker worthy.

Conquest Chronicles loves the offense, not the defense:

That we were even in this game at the end was surprising. I didn't expect it and I doubt that very many others expected it either. We exposed the Stanford defense tonight...just like Oregon did.

This was not a moral victory...but we saw the offense do EXACTLY what we expect out of them! There were very few miscues on offense. Barkley, RoJo and Woods were like a well oiled machine. The running game sputtered but when we needed it Allen Bradford got us the TD.

Once again the defense let us down.

Can Kevin Riley exploit an obviously iffy USC secondary, or will Cal again have to rely on Shane Vereen?

When the Big Game rolls around do you think it will match up the conference's best offensive line (Stanford) vs. the best defensive front 7 (Cal)?  Or is that horribly premature?


Arizona St. 24, Washington 14


It’s still early in the season, but based on how these two teams have faired their matchup on Saturday was probably a virtual elimination game for eventual bowl eligibility.  ASU came in 2-3, and because they played two FCS teams they need 7 wins to go bowling.  A loss meant they would have to go 5-1 over the 2nd half of the season.  Meanwhile Washington knew that with a loss they could be staring 2-7 in the face with four straight games against ranked teams to follow the Sun Devils.

But in the end it was Steven Threet (21-34, 288 yards) who won the QB battle with Jake Locker (23-38, 209 yards), which pretty much everybody was predicting would happen at the beginning of the season.  UW Dawg Pound would like to see Locker throwing less!

It would have been interesting to see what Polk and Callier could have done combining for 40 or more carries. They could have controlled the ball, ran the clock, and limited ASU's time of possession. Running the ball more would have taken a lot of pressure off Jake. Sark didn't recognize it and it seems that running the ball is secondary to passing in his offense.

Arizona State isn't a bad team, but they certainly aren't a great team, or even necessarily a better team. They had a better game plan and adapted to the weather better than the Huskies did. They got ahead early, eliminated mistakes, and made the Huskies chase them.  On a rainy night in Seattle running the ball right at ASU was the right call. Sark needs to start relying more on his running game.

House of Sparky finally get to celebrate a win over an FBS team!

Steven Threet only threw one interception, Mike Willie caught five passes for 96 yards and a score, and Kyle Middlebrooks averaged 8.3 yards on seven carries.  Heck, Vontaze Burfict stepped up and played under control.

Washington is 2-4 with the following games left: vs. OSU, @ AZ, vs. Stan, @ Ore, vs. UCLA, @ Cal, @ WSU.  Will the Huskies be bowling?

Arizona has a bye week before they play Cal.  How terrified are you of Steven Threet and Vontaze Burfict? (Points scored by UW in 1st quarter without Burfict – 7.  Points scored by UW in next three quarters against Burfict – 7.)


Oregon 43, Washington St. 23


Perhaps the least interesting yet most shocking score of the week.  Everybody knew Oregon was going to win and they did, by 20 points even.  Yawn.  And yet, Washington St. was competitive and even got within 12 yards of cutting Oregon’s lead to 6 near the end of the 3rd quarter.  Everybody suspected that Jeff Tuel was talented, but he and his receivers have developed faster than most expected.  Cougcenter is pretty happy:

After being blown out in Stillwater and narrowly escaping Montana State at home, I was done. I was done with the team, done with the staff and had little hope for this year. Everything looked bleak and it was depressing to watch as a fan.

Then things started to change.

And then two players were caught growing marijuana.  Poor WSU fans can't catch a break.

Meanwhile, Addicted to Quack is just happy to get a win:

On a scale of one to ten on how sloppy this game was, if Stanford was a 10, this game was a -6538.  Offense with a lot of turnovers, penalties and missed assignments.  Defense let WSU bring the game to them, and when they did attack they looked slow and sluggish.  Well, a win is a win, let's take the "W" and get the hell out of Pullman.

As Avi pointed out, it's happening. Who's getting Coug'd?

Oregon @ Oregon St., December 4th.  Will the Civil War decide the Rose Bowl again?


Next week


Cal @ USC, 12:30, CSN
Arizona @ Washington St., 4:30, VERSUS
Oregon St. @ Washington, 7:15 ESPN

A pretty weak slate, as four schools enjoy off weeks (and Oregon and UCLA prepare for a nationally televised, Thursday night clash).  Cal @ USC has to be the headliner.  Get your picks in now!

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I'll be at the LA Coliseum . . .

Being from Southern California and growing up loathing U$C, I would love nothing more to roll into that place and wipe that smug look of superiority off of the fans’ faces.
GO BEARS!

My Picks:
Arizona will beat Wazzu (no shocker there)
Washington will beat Oregon State
Cal over U$C (praise the gods if we can pull off a road win)
And once we get to the following Thursday, Oregon will murder UCLA

LOS ANGELES ANGELS . . . ANAHEIM DUCKS . . . CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS

by AndyHogan14 on Oct 12, 2010 3:33 AM PDT reply actions  

See you there!

"Remember the Maine! TO HELL WITH STANFORD!"

by CruzinBears on Oct 12, 2010 9:59 AM PDT up reply actions  

where is everyone sitting???

and where’d you get your tix?

no cal bear? no care

by EchoOfSilence on Oct 12, 2010 10:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

Cal Ticket Office

2223 Fulton Street

If you get tickets through them, you will be able to sit in the visiting section.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS . . . ANAHEIM DUCKS . . . CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS

by AndyHogan14 on Oct 12, 2010 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions  

1. Is Zona still a contender?
Sure. Pretty much everyone except Ucla and Wazzu. Even UW if they can put a run together.

2. Big Game line matchup
Well, I’m not convinced that either the Furd OL or the Cal DL are the best in the conference yet, so this question is completely and utterly pointless. Why did you put it here, just to aggravate me?

3. Huskies in a bowl?
Nope.

4. The Threet & Burfict show.
Of course ASU scares me. We just whipped Ucla like a runaway slave – we’re doomed!

5. Who will get Coug’d?
I vote for us. Pullman in November? Eek!

6. Civil War for Roses?
Sure — why not.

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 12, 2010 7:24 AM PDT reply actions  

1. Meh, I guess.
2. Did you see what happened last year?
3. Outlook murky
4. Cal fans will be sufficiently scared enough for us to take away a comfortable win
5. I…uhh…I don’t want to talk about this right now.
6. Nope.

Cal Football: Embrace the Horror

by Thoroughbred on Oct 12, 2010 8:40 AM PDT up reply actions  

Why do you hate me so much?

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 12, 2010 8:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

Q. With road trips to Stanford and Oregon still left on the schedule, do you think Arizona is still a Pac-10 title threat?

A. I don’t think so. I think Arizona beats stanfurd but loses at Oregon, which would mean Oregon would have to lose three games for Arizona to win the Pac10. While I can see Oregon losing one game this season, I really can’t see them losing two, let alone three. Plus, Arizona really hasn’t had to prove itself on the road, as their schedule was set up real nice to begin the season with four of their first five games at home.

Q. How much does James Rodger’s season ending injury impact the Beavers?

A. They lose a talented playmaker on offense, dangerous return man, and proven team leader. While I was impressed with Katz spreading the ball around to various WR’s and the play of Marcus Wheaton, the loss of James Rodgers is going to be felt somewhere down the line. James Rodgers did so much for OSU and could impact a game in so many ways. Remember when he took that kickoff back against Cal in 08? He had a big punt return against BSU to get OSU back in the game a few weeks ago. Against Arizona he had 100 yards and a TD in 18 minutes of football! He will be missed.

Q. Can Kevin Riley exploit an obviously iffy USC secondary, or will Cal again have to rely on Shane Vereen?

A. As Fox Mulder once said, “I Want to BELIEVE” that Kevin Riley can exploit that iffy SC secondary. Can Kevin Riley exploit that defense? He has the talent and the playmakers on offense to do it but as we all know it is just a question of whether good or bad Riley shows up. Good Riley shows up, he will exploit it and put up good numbers. I felt like Riley was well on his way to exploit an average SC defense last season as he marched Cal down the field on his first drive, then he threw Taylor Mays the only interception he would record for the year and it was all downhill for Riley. Regardless of which Riley shows up, we will have to rely on Shane Vereen to get those tough yards and first downs late in the game to close out SC.

Q. When the Big Game rolls around do you think it will match up the conference’s best offensive line (Stanford) vs. the best defensive front 7 (Cal)? Or is that horribly premature?

A. I think this is a bit premature. I want to believe that when the Big Game rolls around it will indeed feature the best DL and OL in the Pac10 and they will both be wearing BLUE and GOLD!
 
Q. Washington is 2-4 with the following games left: vs. OSU, @ AZ, vs. Stan, @ Ore, vs. UCLA, @ Cal, @ WSU. Will the Huskies be bowling?

A. Much like our QB position, this will depend on whether good or bad Jake Locker shows up. I can see Washington losing 3 of their 4 away games and splitting the OSU/stanfurd games, which would leave them at 5-7. However, if good Jake Locker shows up for the majority of their games then I can see them getting to 6-7 wins on the year.

Q. Arizona has a bye week before they play Cal. How terrified are you of Steven Threet and Vontaze Burfict? (Points scored by UW in 1st quarter without Burfict – 7. Points scored by UW in next three quarters against Burfict – 7.)

A. I am planning on going to this game so I am hoping to see Cal coast to victory. I will admit to being surprised at how well the new ASU spread offense has worked. If Threet is feeling very generous at Strawberry Canyon and starts handing out treats to our defense in the form of interceptions, we win in a rout. If he Threet can minimize the turnovers then this game will be close going into the 4th before the Bears finally start pulling away.

Lastly, who is going to lose to Washington State? Well IMO, the top three candidates in order are: vs. Washington, vs. Cal, and @ ASU. I can see WSU beating Washington in the Apple Cup; it is a rivalry game and it is in Pullman (atleast I think it is in Pullman this year or are they playing at Qwest field again and calling it a Cougs home game?) They can beat ASU if ASU turns the ball over the way they did against Wisconsin, Oregon, and OSU.

by SDBear on Oct 12, 2010 9:44 AM PDT reply actions  

I like these write-ups, Nick. Thanks!

As a proper Cal fan, I’m appropriately terrified of all upcoming games.

ASU and WSU scare me more than they did at the beginning of the year because their offenses appear stronger than advertised.

Old Toothwrangler

by Kodiak on Oct 12, 2010 11:19 AM PDT reply actions  

This

Am I known as Cugel the Clever for nothing?

by Cugel on Oct 12, 2010 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions  

With road trips to Stanford and Oregon still left on the schedule, do you think Arizona is still a Pac-10 title threat?

Yes, very much so. Will Arizona win? Not necessarily. But they’ll contend.

How much does James Rodger’s [sic] season ending injury impact the Beavers?

Quite a lot; but hey, at least it’s not Quizz.


Can Kevin Riley exploit an obviously iffy USC secondary, or will Cal again have to rely on Shane Vereen?

Doubtful, and yes.

When the Big Game rolls around do you think it will match up the conference’s best offensive line (Stanford) vs. the best defensive front 7 (Cal)? Or is that horribly premature?

Yes, and no it’s not horribly premature.

Washington is 2-4 with the following games left: vs. OSU, @ AZ, vs. Stan, @ Ore, vs. UCLA, @ Cal, @ WSU. Will the Huskies be bowling?

No, they won’t be bowling.

Arizona [State] has a bye week before they play Cal. How terrified are you of Steven Threet and Vontaze Burfict? (Points scored by UW in 1st quarter without Burfict – 7. Points scored by UW in next three quarters against Burfict – 7.)

I am concerned, but not quite “terrified” yet. Well, I’m terrified of Burfict personally, but that’s a different story.

As Avi pointed out, it’s happening. Who’s getting Coug’d?

UCLA, and perhaps Washington as well.

Oregon @ Oregon St., December 4th. Will the Civil War decide the Rose Bowl again?

Yes, in that it will decide whether Oregon goes. I don’t think there will be roses on the line for Oregon State, though.

by atomsareenough on Oct 12, 2010 4:37 PM PDT reply actions  

Oh wait, UCLA played the Cougs a couple weeks ago. Um… I’ll say Washington and maybe [sigh] us.

by atomsareenough on Oct 12, 2010 4:41 PM PDT up reply actions  

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