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2010 Cal Football Offense Trimester Report Card

Kevin Riley has had a better start to 2010 than most people will give him credit for.

Quarterbacks
It took him awhile, but Kevin Riley has got the offense down. He's making his reads. He can make throws to most places on the field. He can step up in the pocket and deliver with confident. His footwork is more precise. His mechanics, after being erratic most of last season, are looking more solid. You see it when he delivers slant routes over the middle to Marvin Jones, or when he steps out of the pocket and delivers a throw on the run to Michael Calvin for a first down, or when he goes through his progressions and finds an open receiver when his first options are covered. His feet are up and straight, facing the receiver, and the throw is usually in the immediate vicinity for a receiver to catch. 

Unfortunately, his decision-making is still a little sketchy, which is why I knock this grade down a letter. He forgets the play at times, and has to take timeout or gett called for the delay of game. He audibled into a pick-six against Nevada, a mistake even he admits to screwing up on. I was shaking my head when he threw the ball on 3rd down in Arizona rather than running for it and getting the easy first down, or that he still leads with his head when he does run. His throws go a little too high as a result, which led to crucial picks against Nevada and Arizona. But he doesn't force balls as much as he did the last two seasons. When he doesn't find anyone, he throws it away. A lot of his incompletions (so many drops, a bad offensive line), and two of his interceptions (the first one against Nevada, the game-clincher against Arizona) aren't all his fault, and seem to be just as much on his receivers as they are on him. 

Nevertheless, this is the strongest I've seen Riley play. No one's going to mistake him for a great quarterback, but he can be good, which is fine enough.  I suspect he'll get the things he struggled with the last two weeks down as the rest of the offense comes together, and he'll have a solid final two-thirds.

Grade: B

Star-divide

Running backs
Not much I can say about Shane Vereen you don't already know
. He fights for those extra yards and picks up first downs, even when the blocking in front of him fails. He protects very well. He can catch out of the backfield or line up as a receiver and catch from there. We're riding him on way too many snaps though--I'd like to see us split the carries around a little more. Vereen was completely gassed at the end of the Nevada and Arizona games. It's the common Tedford pattern of showing too much respect for the senior guy on the depth chart (okay, he's not a senior, but the most senior of our running backs...).

In terms of splitting carries though, it seems we're approaching the 2007 Justin Forsett/Jahvid Best mode; Forsett gets the bulk while Best comes on in relief. Granted, Isi Sofele is no Jahvid Best, but I'd feel more comfortable if we gave Sofele more touches, or spread the wealth with Covaughn Deboskie-Johnson and Dasarte Yarnway. Tedford mentioned this being a priority after the Arizona game.  Sofele works hard and is incredibly tough in pass protection, using a really nasty cut block he uses to take out edge rush blitzers. However he might be dependent on good blocking, an issue that remains completely variable.  Deboskie-Johnson looked pretty good, but he was facing the second units of Colorado and UC Davis. Yarnway is impressive-looking, but he still isn't quite trusted yet.

Reason I downgrade this from an A is because of fullback play. Eric Stevens is physical, but he still misses a lot of blocks. Improved performance by Stevens could go a long way to improving the team's running game, which still feels slow off the blocks.

Grade: B+

Receivers
Marvin Jones has been our guy, perhaps the best player on our offense. He's on pace for 72 catches and about 1100 yards, which would put him up right there with Hawk '07 and DeSean '06 in terms of memorable receiving campaigns in the Tedford era.  Jones is incredibly versatile, taking slants, posts, screens, shallow routes, adjusting to off-target throws, blocking downfield, everything. He's the complete package, and could have some more big games ahead of him against Pac-10 defenders.

Keenan Allen's health is a concern. Allen wasn't at full strength the last two weeks and it might've limited our vertical passing attack--Jones and Allen are the only two guys who seem to get a lot of separation against good defensive backs. With Allen limited the past two weeks it's forced Riley to look at Jones too much, which has allowed defenses to sag in on their coverage and break things up. Basically, the threat of Allen doing something spectacular with the ball is enough to give the defense pause at playing us straight up, and could open up our offensive arsenal. One promising sign is that Michael Calvin finally seems back on track after some big catches against Arizona, playing in the slot and in the split end side and notching some big plays. If he can get back on track, Calvin is an ideal third receiver for this team.

Jeremy Ross remains a good senior option in the pass-catching game. Although he lacks the hands to be steadily relied upon, he's a good enough change-of-pace guy who can handle reverses and sweeps and catch the defense off-guard. Alex Lagemann has been called into duty the last few weeks, but due to his limited skill-set, he's probably best used as the fourth or fifth receiver in empty sets. With Coleman Edmond not getting any significant minutes up to now, I suspect we're riding the first five guys I mentioned and see how far they can take us. A pleasant surprise has been wide receiver blocking; Jones, Allen and Calvin are very good blockers and great in run support at keeping defensive backs away from the ball carrier.

The worrying thing is Anthony Miller has yet to be a significant factor in the passing game. The first time I saw him this season I was like, "Whoa, he's bulked up." Whether it's for better or for worse remains to be seen, but he hasn't been utilized as much as he was last season as Riley's safety valve, and we're past the point where we're just "saving him". He also seems to have developed a rather nasty streak, which is pretty good for blocking, but sometimes he takes it too far (like when he got called for a personal foul in Arizona long after the play was dead).

Yes, I know with the O-line struggles we need to keep him back to avoid blitz situations, but it usually means one less receiver downfield and more blanket coverage of our receiver options. I'd like to see more Miller time, because the tight end has always been an integral part of a successful Tedford offense. Spencer Ladner hasn't really done much as the second tight end catching, so Miller's involvement would be good to see.


Grade: B

Offensive line
Slow start, but they're steadily improving. Still, you have to wonder how far a unit can progress if they still don't look all that great after four games. Yes, Matt Summers-Gavin being gimpy hurts, but these guys still don't look like they're getting maximum push and opening up the right holes, in the run game.

Mitchell Schwartz is our rock at left tackle--we ride him a lot during games and seem to have the most success in the run game when he's leading. It's not the most convenient thing for your best downfield blocker to be the left tackle, but we've managed to make it work a couple of times. Justin Cheadle is playing better at right guard than he did last season, emerging as fairly competent in keeping defensive tackles from swarming into the backfield. Brian Schwenke, although young, is very physical at left guard. Chris Tompek-Guarnero is not overwhelming anyone at center, but he's showing his effort and making it hard for any defender to get past him and plug up the run. 

Seniors Richard Fisher (as the primary backup guard) and Donovan Edwards (MSG's replacement at right tackle) have stepped in with yeoman efforts. Edwards (due to lack of athleticism),  and Schwenke (due to lack of experience) probably makes the most errors. These guys don't seem to do anything wrong by themselves. It just has the feel of a unit that seems to always be out of place and reacting to a faster defensive unit, especially in terms of run blocking. The edge rusher always seems to get into the backfield too early.

The pass protection looks better in terms of not getting blasted like they did on several occasions last season.. Riley has only been sacked 4 times this season, and Arizona's fierce pressure didn't get to him as much as it should have. However, they're not doing enough for their stout but short quarterback--the pocket is often too small for Riley to throw out of because defenders are getting great push at the line of scrimmage. This forces Riley to improvise by rushing outside the pocket or go ahead toward the line of scrimmage to evade outraised hands by the defenders. Although the tackles have faced some stiff tests the last two weeks, they need to give their quarterback a solid pocket to throw out of rather than getting pushed back into his throwing trajectory. 

People are very quick to bring out the torches on Steve Marshall (hell, I was one of them), but let's not forget that our beloved Coach M was part of the problem too. For all his ability to develop the Alex Mack's of the world, he did not recruit well enough, and left the cupboard pretty bare (neither the 2007 & 2008 offensive lines were that strong outside of maybe one or two guys).

A promising note is that the line has been executing their assignments a little better with each passing week. Will these little additions be enough to get the Cal offense rolling again?


Grade: C+


Offensive playcalling

(Take this with a grain of salt. I'm pretty good at spotting execution errors, but not too good at understanding how to develop a gameplan outside of a two minute drill on Madden.)

To my novice eye, this is really the biggest weak spot to me. Some people like him, but I'm still not sold on Andy Ludwig. Oregon and Utah fans warned us against his predictability, and I'm starting to openly wonder after that uninspiring Arizona gameplan. I know the Wildcats have a good defense, but we should have put up more than 9 points and five field goal attempts on the board. The Bears had the ball for 60% of the second half and came away with three points.

It all starts for me with not testing the ball downfield. Yes, it was a defensive game, and yes Arizona's secondary is fierce, but we should've tested them at least a LITTLE bit, just to see if they would bite. There was barely any downfield action. Our offense was limited the game to ten yards beyond the LoS. Instead of stretching the defense with deep throws or keeping the Wildcats off balance for much of the game, we tended to rely on our defense to hold the fort the entire way and didn't try to make any plays. Here was the playbook for most of the second half.

Inside run (lot of inside run)
Outside run (very little)
Play-action bootleg
Rollout throw

Not much variety. Hard to keep the ball moving for much of the game. Arizona stacked the box for most of the second half (sometimes eight or nine), and I don't think we made them pay that much. We didn't make Arizona pay for using single coverage downfield and the offense eventually stagnated. It has the feel of a Tedford offense, but lacks the flow.

Maybe it's because of the personnel issues on the line and in the receiving corps that are holding us back, but I've seen Ludwig offense put up some dud performances the past year and a third to totally discount offensive predictability. Hopefully the rest of the season proves me wrong.

Grade: C

Poll
Give your approximate grade of the Cal offense through 4 games.
A
2 votes
B
78 votes
C
233 votes
D
60 votes
F
18 votes

391 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 59 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I voted C, but in reality, I put us at a B-. Dropping 108 in two games, regardless of who it was isn’t easy.

Then we had an. . . up and down game against Nevada. And a horrible game against Arizona. That’s Two As, a C and a D. Sounds like a B-/C+.

by LeonPowe on Oct 1, 2010 5:42 AM PDT reply actions  

Well, one of them was UC Davis, and the offense really didn’t play nearly as well as the score indicated against Colordao. 14 points came from the defense, one of the offensive TD’s was on a 19 yard drive, another on a 31 yard drive, a FG came on a 7 yard drive…..we only actually had 3 scoring drives where we started on our own half of the field.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 7:42 AM PDT up reply actions  

Riley – C- and no he cannot make all the throws. He struggles with the 3rd down completion and anything short or requires some touch. He’s still scatterbrainy and has had several numnut penalties. I’m not even sure I can say he’s improved over last year. I started him off with a C+, but by the time I got to the end I’m down to a C-. He’ll be just good enough that a backup will not throw a pass all year (nearly going 2 years in a row here).

Stevens deserves a D-; Miller a C-

Pass protection’s been surprisingly OK, tho back to back sacks started The End in the Nevada game.

Run blocking – C

Vereen A-

Playcalling C. WAY too much shotgun, no creative packages that work. The whole offense feels “too complex.” Playmakers like Sofele and Allen need the rock more. Would love to see a package where Mansion runs a little pistol or zone read or whatever. No idea why the WIld Grizzly stopped either. Riley’s a great run blocker.

"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark

by carp on Oct 1, 2010 6:38 AM PDT reply actions  

I’m actually going to downgrade the playcalling to a D.

And I like Ludwig.

"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark

by carp on Oct 1, 2010 8:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

Riley has improved mechanically. If you compare his game from last year to this year, he is a far more technically sound quarterback.

If you’re not as sold on him because of his decision-making, I understand. But he has improved.

I always wonder if the shotgun is to get Riley into a quick three step drop (he’s more comfortable when he releases the ball early) and quick-hit against the defense by exploiting mismatches. It worked well against the Furd. Hasn’t really done well this season.

Riley is not a great run blocker. He can take guys out on the move when he goes low on a cut block or improvises on the move, but if you ask him to lead block or grapple with a cornerback he’s going to get pushed aside.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

As of right now I think the offense has earned a C – but it’s very shaky and poised to drop fast.

Honestly, it seems as if the OL is completely imploded this year, and right now I simply have no faith in it at all. Sure, we put up 50 on the first two opponents, but UC Davis was just less talented across the board, and Colorado played like they’ve never seen a football before, and were still trying to figure out what pads are. Even in those games, I was very underwhelmed by the OL. Too many missed or incomplete blocks – particularly in the running game.

I agree that Riley has stepped up his game a lot. But it still seems as if he holds on to the ball too long. Whether it’s lack of trust in his receivers or himself, that extra half-second to second takes away any advantage the receiver has.

The playcalling has been abysmal. But I wonder how much of that is due to the OL not performing so Ludwig has to adjust to things they can handle.

Hopefully things start to get better against Ucla.

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 1, 2010 7:29 AM PDT reply actions  

Wayyyy too high a grade. You can point to 52 points against Colorado, but I can point to only 356 total yards of offense. The defense played a huge part in that, scoring, creating turnovers, putting the offense in favorable field position all game long. Davis was, well, UC Davis – I-AA and not a particularly good I-AA at that. I don’t think the offense played that well against Nevada (Nevada is supposed to be bad defensively and as much as they were scoring – that’s a lot of possessions for Cal to rack up yards/points – I just tried to look at the drive summary on ESPN but it’s clearly wrong as it has Cal down for 5 TD’s ), and they were the reason Cal lost against Arizona. I gave the offense a D, and thus far, I think that might be a generous rating. The offense has not been good. I don’t think Vereen has given an A worthy performance, I think Riley has been straight up bad, I don’t think the receivers have been anything better than average, the offensive line has been ok at best.

Simply put, they haven’t gotten it done. To give them a B is some pretty huge grade inflation. If you want to break it down by game, I’d give them a B for UC Davis (can’t get an A, competition level just isn’t high enough), a C+ against Colordao, a C+against Nevada, and an F against Arizona.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 7:37 AM PDT reply actions  

(As an aside, I don’t like to judge playcalling without someone breaking down film or giving us details about what the playcalling actually was. Watching the game, I feel my skills in judging playcalling go as far as “that play worked/didn’t work”, which just isn’t enough to make any judgment on the playcalling)

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 7:39 AM PDT up reply actions  

I don’t think Vereen has given an A worthy performance

Not to argue, but how much of that do you think is due to the OL failing to help him, and how much is Vereen just not playing well?

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 1, 2010 8:56 AM PDT up reply actions  

Couldn’t tell you, I definitely think it’s a combination, and more the o-line than Vereen….I just don’t look at his performance and see an A. An A is the best you can get. An A- is close to that. I don’t think Vereen has looked as good as the best backs we’ve had when they were at their best. Some of it is definitely the offensive line….but some of it’s Vereen. He’s done some very nice things in the passing game, I will say that.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 10:38 AM PDT up reply actions  

Let me tell you this son.

Vereen might be the sixth best Cal running back that Ron Gould has coached, and he’s still better than at least 100 of the other starting tailbacks in D-I.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Vereen is good, but I don’t think he’s played as well as he’s capable of thus far. I’ve seen a lot of runs where he’s seemed indecisive in hitting the hole. I’ve seen him do better than that (and as you say, he’s still good), so I’m not worried or anything, just don’t think his performance has been A level thus far.

How many tailbacks in the Pac-10 do you think he’s outperformed so far?

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Everyone except James. He’s on par with Franklin, and has outperformed Quizz, Polk, Tyler/Bradford. The numbers back me up.

Vereen is not the problem here, even if he has struggled out of the gate. He has been injured, you know.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 2:51 PM PDT up reply actions  

I do like numbers. I’d still like a better Y/A. That said, I’m not trying to say Vereen is the problem. He’s not. I think he deserves the highest grade on the offense. I just don’t think he’s played like an A – even by his own standards, I think he’s performed better in the past.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 9:46 AM PDT up reply actions  

An F against Arizona is presumptuous

A top 20 ranked Iowa team only put up 13 points on Arizona offensively (the other 14 points came off a pick six and a muffed punt). To get 9 and to have the position to score 15, maybe even 23 is a solid C at worst. Arizona might have one of the best defenses in the conference, right up there with Oregon.

Cal struggled to put points on Arizona last year at home. I thought the same thing would happen this year. We’re not a good matchup for them. If we struggle the next two weeks, then I’d be inclined to agree with your grades, but I think we’re doing better than what the stats indicate.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

And Iowa lost. 13 points, 12 points, 9 points….that’s losing football. Of course we have to realize the competition level and take that into account, but being in “the position” to score a TD doesn’t really count if you don’t score that TD. And like I said in another comment, I think 12 is a reasonable expected outcome. 12 is bad.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 2:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

And Iowa is a top 20 team. Arizona is too. Which is why I’m not as down as you are about our offense. I don’t expect us to rack up big numbers against Arizona. I’d have been happy with 15 points and a win, which was well within our capabilities if the field goals are hit right or if Loggy doesn’t screw up at the back of the end zone.

Black and white judgments about how good a football team is always seem to color the perception of what actually happens on the field. There are as many positive things to look at as there are negative things. We can’t be entirely driven by outcomes.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

[former O-line Coach M] did not recruit well enough, and left the cupboard pretty bare

Wasn’t the recruiting class in 2008 (or 2007?) an absolute monster class, at least on paper? I remember at the time thinking, “our O-line is going to DOMINATE come 2010.” What happened?

Is this just further evidence that recruiting is a crap shoot, and it’s the biggest waste of time in sports to pay attention to rankings by the likes of Rivals and Scouts, Inc.? Is this poor talent evaluation by the Bears coaching staff? Is this poor player development on campus at Berkeley, in the weight room and/or on the practice field? Is this poor game-planning in general, failing to put our guys in a position to succeed? Is it just bad luck, through untimely injuries and the like? Or all of the above?

I’m hardly an expert about offensive-line play and what it takes to make a consistent run game tick. Nonetheless, it strikes me that Cal has drifted from its old power-based attack featuring pulling weakside linemen and lead blocks by the fullback—a concept that is now being so well executed by none other than the fighting Harbaughs. (Gah!) Thinking back on the last ten years, I wonder if the losses of the likes of Craig Stevens (TE) and Chris Manderino (FB) might be just as significant as the loss of guys such as Alex Mack, Marvin Philip, and Ryan O’Callaghan.

Go Bears!

by California Pete on Oct 1, 2010 8:26 AM PDT reply actions  

What happened?

Riley didn’t turn out as expected, Oline has been subpar, and MARSHAAAAAAALLLL

CGB: Come join the LOLigarchy

by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 1, 2010 8:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

Coach M was a good developer of technique

But I’m not sure if he evaluated talent that well. It’s very hard to run a power attack if you don’t have the bruisers to do it. Once we lost Philip and O’Callaghan, our run game has been on a slow but steady decline because we don’t have any beasts upfront (outside of Mack) who could spring free our running backs. 2008 was a good uptick, but we still only had a few competent blockers on that team.

The 2006 class
Gibson (JC transfer, gone after 2007)
Costanzo (at least he’s a good DJ)
Guarnero (adequate)
everyone else busted out

The 2007 class…

Schwartz (nice)
Summers-Gavin (nice)
Cheadle (converted from a DT)
DeMartinis (eh)
Huber (nope)

The 2008 class…
Galas (he should be good)
Rigsbee (to be determined)

The new classes have been better, but ultimately this is way too thin a group of guys to expect great things from running a pro-style offense.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions  

It was 2007 that I had in mind, which was hyped as a Fab Five type of haul. See, for example, Scout’s gushing at the time:

Sam DeMartinis, rated #2 OT in the state: “One of the most decorated and polished lineman to come out of the Southland in years.”

Matt Summers-Gavin, #1 OG in the state: “Carried team on his back to their first WCAL title in 39 years.”

Justin Cheadle, #3 OG in the state: “One of the most athletic lineman in the nation.”

Mitchell Schwartz, #4 OG in the state: “No longer in brother’s shadow, Schwartz made a name for himself with excellent senior year.”

Todd Huber, #2 center in the state: “It was in Bay Area that he first made a name for himself and now he’ll return there for college.”

So only 2 out of 5, arguably, have lived up to the hype. Is that good? Par for the course? A mild disappointment? A big disappointment? And there was a time early on when Guarnero was believed to be much more than “adequate”; so much so that the coaches were thinking about moving Mack to guard or tackle to make room for him as the starting center.

I guess I’m still wondering: over-rated talent, or less-than-sufficient coaching?

Go Bears!

by California Pete on Oct 1, 2010 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

big disappointment?

CGB: Come join the LOLigarchy

by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 1, 2010 3:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

It's a little of both

O-line recruiting is an inexact science. There aren’t many great O-line blockers that come straight out of high school and burst onto the scene. It’s a gradual learning process that takes years to develop. And oftentimes it depends on genetics, and how well a linemen grows into his body. Which is why we usually ran the power play at Cal—it was simple and effective.

We’re in this weird transition phase with our blocking schemes, so it’s very hard to tell how much of it is on Marshall and how much of it is on Coach M. But you need good guys regardless, and I’m not sure how many we have right now. There’s good talent in the pipeline (Galas and Brazinski are two guys who should be good), but we’re riding the starting five right now because I don’t think there’s much behind it.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 4:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

Our offense is like a BMW with no chassis: good QB, good RB, good Oline, good TEs, good WRs, nothing holding them together.

CGB: Come join the LOLigarchy

by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 1, 2010 8:48 AM PDT reply actions  

nothing holding them together

would this mean your biggest grievance is with the offensive coaches?

"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark

by carp on Oct 1, 2010 8:55 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’d disagree with you a bit. How do you conclude that we have a good OL? Seems to me that we have a slightly above average (or servicable, if you prefer) QB, a better than average RB, pretty good WR & TE corps, but a weak OL.

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 1, 2010 8:57 AM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, you’re right.

CGB: Come join the LOLigarchy

by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 1, 2010 9:03 AM PDT up reply actions  

I gave a C

The offense has been serviceable, and USUALLY they play at the B level, but the mistakes are so bad and egregious that it has screwed everything up: Riley’s Pick-6, his failure to run on the third down at Arizona, Ross’s deflection, Loggy’s foot positioning, Vereen’s drop, Riley throwing behind KA, offensive line failures at key points of the Arizona game…….what IS encouraging is that there doesn’t seem to be as much confusion on what the play is, the exchanges are generally clean, Vereen is pretty solid, and I’ve always liked the strategy of using our running game to wear the other side down (with the caveats mentioned in the article that it would be nice if more RBs were involved).

by ososdeoro on Oct 1, 2010 9:04 AM PDT reply actions  

QB:

I’d agree that this is the best that we’ve seen Riley play. I’m not as down on him as some. Does he still make some head-scratching passes and decisions? Yep. At least 2-3 per game. However, he’s gotten a lot better at shaking those off and not carrying his yips, demons, or frustration into the next series. I also think that his arm mechanics and footwork have been more consistent even under duress. Last year, he’d revert back to bad habits when pressured. The fact that he seems to have re-trained his muscle memory speaks to a lot of hard work during the off-season. I think that his play is improving. Quite frankly, I thought the Zona game was one of the best games I’ve seen him play in a long time. A healthy KA and improved blocking up front (O-line + TE/FB’s) will go a long way towards helping him fulfill his potential. He’s never going to be that guy that can carry a bad team, make something out of nothing, or make the players around him better. But, those guys are few and far between – and would probably have left early for the NFL anyway. Even so, before this year is done I think he’s going to have a signature drive which will make us all appreciate how far he’s come.
Grade B:

RB: Vereen (A-), Sofele (B), Stevens/Kapp©

Vereen still looks a little rusty at times when picking holes. And, he looked really gassed at the end of the Zona game. I think Sofele has done okay with the limited opportunities given to him. He needs more carries before we can say that he’s not getting it done. In NV, his three carries were against stacked boxes and run blitzes. In AZ, his three carries were against a base 7, and he made good yardage. He’s our best blocking back. I hope they use him more in space and to spell Vereen.
Stevens showed improvement against Az. His blocking has been up/down all year, but he’s got good hands and wheels as a receiving threat. I think he’ll keep getting better.

TE: Miller© Ladner(B)

Ladner has done alright with limited opportunities. He’s been pretty solid as a blocker. I’d like them to use him as a receiver more. Miller hasn’t been that bad, but I’m downgrading him based on his potential. Now that he’s bulked up, he’s not nearly the threat that he used to be in the receiving game – I just don’t see him getting open. Although he holds up well on the point of attack, he’s whiffed on his fair share of blocks in pass pro.

WR: Jones(B+), others ©

Jones had a rare off-game against AZ. It happens. KA needs to get healthy. I think it’ll really open things up for the passing game and the playcalling because of his versatility. Ross has shown improved hands. Calvin struggled last game, but had a breakthrough game against AZ. The big problem is that besides Jones and KA, the other guys have struggled to get separation and get open against better CB’s.

O-line (C+)

I was hesitant to be too down on these guys earlier in the year when it was clear that teams were loading 8/9 in the box or just selling out to stop the run. I thought they played a pretty good game against a tough AZ D. If Giorgio makes that kick, we’d be talking about what a dominating performance the Oline had in the 2nd half when we pounded it down their throats. There’s plenty of room for improvement, but I’m hoping that the 2nd half vs. Zona is a springboard towards better play.

Playcalling (B):

I don’t know enough about the playcalling and formations to be overly critical here. If you have an inconsistent QB, WR’s/TE’s that can’t get open, best playmaker hobbled, and an O-line that can’t dominate the ground game while also struggles w/ inconsistent pass pro – well, what magic combination of plays do you call to fix all that?

I saw sweeps and reverses, slants, and rollouts, draws, counters…Lots of things designed to slow down or take advantage of an aggressive/fast D. I saw a lot of spread in the 1st half vs. AZ when they were stacking the box – more power runs in the 2nd when they were playing deep zones. Looked like a pretty diverse selection of calls. My one quibble is that we have a lot of slow-developing runs. However, maybe we lack the road-graders up front to effectively use more quick-hitters.

Old Toothwrangler

by Kodiak on Oct 1, 2010 11:21 AM PDT reply actions   1 recs

I find it curious that you’re so optimistic about our offense in general, especially with regards to the Arizona game. Giorgio needed to make kicks, sure, and had he made them we would have won, but the win would have been completely on the defense. The offense did it’s best to lose that game, and in my opinion, has a whole lot more responsibility for the loss than Giorgio. The bottom line is the offense did not score a TD, and I think at best you could have expected 12 points (80% FG% is pretty darn good for a college kicker – NFL kickers have made 79% of FGA’s this year, though I’m guessing their average distance per attempt is significantly longer) out of them. That’s a losing performance. You can’t expect to win games by scoring 12 points. That the defense played awesome doesn’t change how poorly the offense did. 262 total yards. I’m not going to pretend I can pinpoint exactly who was at fault, but come on, that’s not an offensive performance deserving of a good grade. That’s an offensive performance where you knock everyone’s grade down. Kevin Riley had 4.5 Y/A. That’s TERRIBLE. Whether you want to blame that on the playcalling, QB, oline, WR’s….there is blame to be had, and shared.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions  

Shouldn’t some credit go to the Arizona defense? They played very well. Right now they’re in the top 5 in yards allowed per game, and that includes Iowa.

Based on the things we can control, I feel there’s reason to be optimistic. We’re fighting back this season instead of laying down against good opponents.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

I dunno, we’re grading Cal’s performance, right? Of course we should look at it within the context of the competition level, but I just don’t see 12 expected points and 262 total yards as good regardless of who the D is, and I also don’t necessarily believe AU is good enough on D to make that acceptable – if they really are that good on D, with their solid and possibly much better than that offense, they should be thinking Rose Bowl and/or National Championship right now and nothing less. I don’t think they’re that good (by “that good” I mean that those two are likely, as opposed to just being possible).

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

Fair points.

I didn’t think I was all that optimistic about the whole offense, just Riley and the playcalling. I’m actually very concerned w/ the Oline, WR depth, and the TE position.

I suppose I would be more worried if the AZ defense just plain dominated us. 3 and out’s all day, etc. Instead, we were able to put together some drives and didn’t get TD’s because of execution errors. (Vereen misses Riley, Loggy takes an extra hop-step backwards) Our yardage numbers and Riley’s completion stats look a lot better without all of those drops…not to mention most of those drops came on 3rd downs.

Execution errors worry me less than being physically beaten or out-schemed because they are correctable. My assumption is that you won’t see normally see Marvin Jones drop two key balls that hit him in the hands.

Old Toothwrangler

by Kodiak on Oct 1, 2010 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

If Giorgio makes that kick, we’d be talking about what a dominating performance the Oline had in the 2nd half when we pounded it down their throats.

I haven’t seen the game, but this statement runs directly counter to everything I’ve read/heard about what happened. Did the OL finally find some rhythm in this game? Is this just Missing Barry’s opinion, or are there others here who agree?

Inquiring minds, and all …

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 1, 2010 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

The oline played definitely well in the 4th quarter and put Cal in a position to close out the game. I don’t think they played well overall, though.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions  

Can back up MB here. They were opening big holes in the 4th. It looked like they had worn Zona’s front 7 down.

by boomtho on Oct 2, 2010 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’m not going to pretend I can pinpoint exactly who was at fault, but come on, that’s not an offensive performance deserving of a good grade. That’s an offensive performance where you knock everyone’s grade down.

Whether you want to blame that on the playcalling, QB, oline, WR’s….there is blame to be had, and shared.

I don’t think it’s fair to blame the whole offense for something when it’s not entirely on everybody. Blame individuals for screwing up. Bad passes. Dropped balls. Missed Blocks. If it weren’t for Lagemann jumping in the air in the endzone, the offense would have scored a TD. If it weren’t for Edwards and Stevens missing their blocks on the toss sweep on 3rd and 5, Shane would have had a first down and maybe even a TD. If Tedford went for it on 4th and 1, the offense would have likely scored a TD since they ran the ball down UA’s throat the whole drive. There is plenty of blame to go all around and to share like you mention, but in terms of the optimism Kodiak is expressing in his grades, I can see why he has that opinion. The offense is closer than many may think but they are still oh so far away.

Kevin Riley had 4.5 Y/A. That’s TERRIBLE.

UA plays a ton of Cover 3 and that can help explain why Riley’s yards/attempt was so low.

by Cali49a on Oct 1, 2010 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

UA plays a ton of Cover 3 and that can help explain why Riley’s yards/attempt was so low.

Add in drops and throwaways, too.

by Cali49a on Oct 1, 2010 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions  

Yeah, I wasn’t necessarily trying to blame everyone equally or anything, just trying to make the point that we all might have equal (and equally valid) opinions on which individuals were to blame and it could have been a variety of guys. In the end, the offensive performance was weak, and it’s on someone, whoever you think that may be. I sure don’t have all (or maybe even any) of the answers for who’s to blame specifically. Also, I’m specifically talking about what the offense has done so far, without trying to figure out what that means about our future performance.

UA plays a ton of Cover 3 and that can help explain why Riley’s yards/attempt was so low.

Why would Cover 3 reduce Y/A? If it’s because it’s a conservative D, Y/A should still be high by completing a high % of shorter passes. Think of Y/A as kind of like a game theory (conservative v aggressive approach by the D) in equilibrium. The D can’t really reduce it by changing strategy. Y/A is not yards per completion, which IS significantly affected by whether you’re taking shots downfield or not, I’m pretty sure it tends to be a pretty good reflection of talent regardless of offensive and defensive scheme. Also, drops and throwaways happen to all QB’s. Even if we had too many this game, it doesn’t explain that low a Y/A (and it means we should be putting blame on the WR’s, oline and/or playcalling). That Y/A is really, really bad. To the point where you really, really can’t explain it away.

by Missing Barry on Oct 1, 2010 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions  

Total passing yards divided by total pass attempts = yards per attempt.

Y/A should still be high by completing a high % of shorter passes. Also, drops and throwaways happen to all QB’s. Even if we had too many this game, it doesn’t explain that low a Y/A (and it means we should be putting blame on the WR’s, oline and/or playcalling).

The numerator stays the same while the denominator increases each time there is an incompletion or throw away, resulting in a lower output number. Going by Kodiak’s analysis and numbers in a different post, I believe he listed 5 drops. Let’s just say those passes are caught and go for an average of 5 yards/catch. If that’s the case, that’s 25 more yards gained and the Yards/Attempt jumps to 5.2

Cover 3 does a good job of taking away deep passes and forces the offense to throw more underneath passes for less yardage unless there is a busted coverage or a missed tackle on a play that results in a long gain. That will drop yards/attempt.

That Y/A is really, really bad. To the point where you really, really can’t explain it away.

I can but I don’t have the time to explain it in depth. Sorry, man.

by Cali49a on Oct 1, 2010 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

The numerator stays the same while the denominator increases each time there is an incompletion or throw away, resulting in a lower output number

Thanks. I very much understand the math, I don’t need a lesson in 4th grade math. The point is they happen to all QB’s, you don’t just ignore them for one guy because you’re trying to make him look more favorable.

Cover 3 does a good job of taking away deep passes and forces the offense to throw more underneath passes for less yardage unless there is a busted coverage or a missed tackle on a play that results in a long gain. That will drop yards/attempt.

Not necessarily, because the QB also completes a high % of passes. It drops yards per completion. It doesn’t necessarily drop Y/A.

I’m still standing by the “you can’t explain it away” line. You might be able to explain a little of it away. It’s so far from acceptable, though, that there just aren’t good excuses. It’s a reflection of a poor passing performance.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 9:54 AM PDT up reply actions  

Not necessarily, because the QB also completes a high % of passes. It drops yards per completion. It doesn’t necessarily drop Y/A.

Demonstrate that with some numbers.

I’m not too sure you understand the point I was making. If that’s the case, that’s fine. I’m not going to push it and you can continue beating your chest how you are right.

by Cali49a on Oct 2, 2010 11:33 AM PDT up reply actions  

I’m trying to have a conversation. If I’m wrong, I enjoy discussing the reasons why with other people. If you don’t think I understand the point, I would appreciate if you elaborated on it.

One guy completes 53.4% of his passes. His average yards per completion is 12.5. His Y/A is 6.7. Another guy completes 66% of his passes. His average yards per completion is 12.3. His Y/A is 8.1. The first guy is Kyle Boller. The second is Aaron Rodgers. Or let’s compare Montana to McNabb – in 89 Montana completed just over 70% of his passes. They’re shorter throws, though (West Coast offense!) – 13.0 yards per completion. In 06, McNabb lead the NFL with 14.7 yards per completion. Only completed 57% of his passes, though. More of a vertical passing game type attack. Montana posted a 9.1 Y/A to McNabb’s 8.4. They might not be perfect examples of the concept, but I was just going for real life examples (and they were the first things I thought of) to highlight the concept.

The defense is attempting to minimize a teams Y/A. The more they take away the deep ball, the more easy underneath passes will be open, so there are tradeoffs, and Y/A reflects that.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions  

The more they take away the deep ball, the more easy underneath passes will be open, so there are tradeoffs, and Y/A reflects that.

Which is basically what my point has been since my first response. I explained to you why Riley’s yards/attempt was so bad against UA. I was specifically talking about Riley’s yards/attempt vs UA – ONE SINGLE GAME.

by Cali49a on Oct 2, 2010 11:35 PM PDT up reply actions  

…except my point is Y/A reflects both the negative aspect of completing short passes and the positive aspect of completing more passes. It should remain mostly unchanged overall. It reflects the tradeoff. Riley’s Y/A wasn’t bad because UA, in one game, was taking away deep passes. It was bad because the passing game was ineffective.

by Missing Barry on Oct 3, 2010 9:20 AM PDT up reply actions  

Also, for some more evidence, Ricky Stanzi averaged 8.4 Y/A passing against Arizona. It’s not Arizona’s scheme.

by Missing Barry on Oct 3, 2010 10:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

Citing a statistic and making a generalization is not the way to go in this case. Teams do not use the same scheme every week. They use the same philosophy but the schemes in the game plan vary depending on how a team decides to defend the opponent.

Did you watch the Iowa and Cal games closely? Arizona’s goal was to stop the Iowa run game and force Stanzi to beat them through the air. Iowa tried running on 1st down and were stuffed early on their first drive so they started passing the ball on 1st down. They had moderate success in the air in the first half but UA stuck with their game plan having given up only 7 points. What did UA in in the 2nd half? Bad field position and huge gains on passes on 1st down. UA’s game plan was to stop the run and they did but they sacrificed coverage to do so.

Your point is understood, though. I’m not trying to make excuses for the bad yards/attempt number but there are reasons why that stat for Riley in that game was bad.

by Cali49a on Oct 6, 2010 5:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

How does it not explain a low Y/A?

More completions—>More yards—>Higher Y/A. If Riley had gotten one or two more completions from those drops it’d have been a yard jump in Y/A. Three or four more and it’s back to normal.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Oct 1, 2010 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions  

Three or four would not get it back to normal. Again, the point is drops and throwaways happen to all QB’s. You can’t just throw them away for one guy.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 9:50 AM PDT up reply actions  

We weren’t throwing it away just for one guy but were including it to show you how yards/attempt drop. You seem to be disregarding that in order to make your point.

by Cali49a on Oct 2, 2010 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

My point is that Y/A is a relative measure – that is, “good” or “bad” is really defined by how you do compared to everyone else. Obviously drops or throwaways lower Y/A. The question isn’t whether they do or not, it’s whether Riley, and the passing attack as a whole, has performed well or not. I cited Y/A as evidence it is not, because 4.5 is really, really bad. Other teams do much better than that. Not that Andrew Luck is necessarily a good measuring stick, but he’s averaging almost 9 Y/A. He has throwaways and drops, as well. Maybe he has less, but the point is….that’s a huge difference in Y/A.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 1:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

I’ve always looked askance at Y/A since it really doesn’t paint a good picture of how the QB played.

Hypothetical case 1: QB attempts 5 passes. Four are bad/uncatchable/all on the QB. One is a one yard slant that the receiver makes a miracle play to beat 10 defenders and goes 99 yards for the TD. Y/A = 20

Hypothetical case 2. QB attempts 5 passes and all of them are on the money, but the recievers drop all but one, which is complete for 25 yards. Y/A = 5

In this situation the Y/A are equal, but the QB play in each is drastically different. Y/A should be a measure of the overall offense, not of QB play.

Hey, Ucla -
1. Get your own colors
2. Get your own fight song
3. GET A REAL BEAR!

by SoCal Oski on Oct 1, 2010 3:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Y/A should be a measure of the overall offense, not of QB play.

Agree completely. And my point still stands, the passing game performance was really bad.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 9:49 AM PDT up reply actions  

That’s fair. The passing game is a combination of QB + WR/TE/RB’s + Oline.

They just didn’t get it done as a team. I wouldn’t condone putting it all on Riley – after all, subtract the drops and throwaways and he’s completing 76+% w/ significantly increased yardarge.

But as a collective offense, 5 drops + 2 throwaways is poor execution.
The throwaways could either be poor pass pro or the receivers not getting open.
The drops were clearly an issue w/ the WR/TE/RB’s. So, do you rake the coaches over the coals, are is this just an unfortunate case of young men making mistakes under pressure?

My feeling is that the coaches at least put the guys in a position to make plays. They didn’t make them when it counted – but that troubles me less than if you simply saw futility.

Does that let the coaches off the hook? No. Someone needs to be responsible for calling the plays, teaching the players technique, and practicing it until it’s automatic. But, to simply call out one guy or one coach is overly simplistic – it’s a multi-factorial issue. Bottom line: get KA healthy + get things ironed out over the bye week, and let’s go kick ucla’s *ss.

Old Toothwrangler

by Kodiak on Oct 2, 2010 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also, sometimes throwaways could be a result of just a bad playcall matchup. What I mean is the defense gets lucky and calls the perfect play to defend what you’re running. It’ll happen on occasion, and it’s nobody’s fault. I know enough about football to tell you when the whole unit is doing well or poorly, but assigning blame to individuals is a lot tougher and something I don’t feel I know enough to do a good job of doing, so when I cite Riley’s Y/A, I just want to say I realize it’s a team effort and I’m not trying to necessarily blame it all on Riley, but I do think at least some of it is on him.

by Missing Barry on Oct 2, 2010 9:36 PM PDT up reply actions  

To critique playcalling you have to know what the defense is doing. Saying that Ludwig should have tested Arizona down the field because Riley didn’t throw any passes down the field seems completely logical and reasonable in theory. But what if Arizona was playing Quarters? Then suddenly, the fact that Ludwig wasn’t passing down the field isn’t stupid, but completely genius!

My point: You can’t just look at what Ludwig is doing or not doing, you also have to look at what the defense is doing or not doing.

www.californiagoldenblogs.com

by HydroTech on Oct 7, 2010 8:47 AM PDT reply actions  

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