Cal Women's basketball @ Oregon St. Open Thread


Time: 7:00 PM PST
TV: None
Radio: calbears.com audio
Streams: osu beavers.com stream - requires registration and payment

The Cal women (9-8, 3-3 Pac-10) travel to Corvallis to take on Oregon St. (9-7, 1-5) after securing their most important win of the season in Eugene against the Ducks.  Cal played their most complete, well rounded game on Thursday - four players scored in double figures, four players grabbed at least 7 rebounds, they shot 46% from the field and nearly 80% at the line while holding Oregon to arguably their worst offensive showing on the year.  Oregon St., meanwhile, has lost 5 straight games and 4 straight by 9 or more points.  Hit the jump and check out a quick preview of Oregon St. and what Cal will have to do to keep the win streak going!

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Is everybody prepared for another game against the orange menace?

Oregon St. is led by Talisa Rhea, one of the highest scorers in the Pac-10.  The junior guard scores 17.4 points per game but doesn't do it in the most efficient way possible - she's only shooting 35% from the field and takes about 30% of OSU's total shots.  She does have the ability to get hot from 3 point range, and considering the success Washington St. and Oregon had at times with the 3 point shot, Cal must play aggressive perimeter defense.  Guard Haiden Palmer and forward Kirsten Tilleman are the other main threats.

Four Factors:

Shooting:  Cal and Oregon St. both have similar shooting percentages with the exception of Cal's weaker 3 point defense.

Turnovers:  Cal's turnover percentage is 18.76, while OSU's is 21.2.  Cal's defense forces a turnover percentage of 21.45 while OSU forces a percentage of 22.28

...Wow, we might actually have a marginal advantage in the turnover category for the first time!

Rebounding:  Somewhat shockingly, OSU's rebounding percentages are slightly higher than Cal's!

Free Throws:  Cal does a slightly better job of getting to the line and making their shots when they get there.

Critical caveat:  In all of the four factor categories, Cal and OSU are very close - perhaps close enough to be statistically insignificant.  BUT.  While Cal was playing Baylor, Ohio St., Texas A&M and Boston College, Oregon St. was busy playing Houston Baptist, Northern Arizona, UC Santa Barbara and Seattle.  Cal has a huge strength of schedule advantage that would help explain why two statistically similar teams have different conference records and trajectories. 

This is a game that Cal should win, but it's on the road and OSU has played a few teams close.  This is as close to a must win as a road game can be.  If the Bears can continue their impressive defensive performances and build on the offense they showed off against the Ducks they should leave Oregon with a huge sweep.

Comment away and Go Bears!

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