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CBKWitness - Cal splits against evil schools to the south

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It's tough to call last week's slate a success, since A) ucla sucks & B) they beat us.  Cal rebounded nicely from the absolutely brutal loss to the bruins by beating a more formidable opponent, usc, on Saturday, but you only get so many home games against the bottom of the conference.  On paper, the home game against ucla was the easiest on our conference schedule, so Wednesday's loss hurts beyond the visceral, I can't believe we lost to these ass-clowns again! reaction.  It's Cal's first real blemish of the season, and when you don't have a marquee win (sadly, beating Iowa State at home does not qualify), you need to avoid bad losses.  One loss probably won't keep Cal out of the tournament, but this one will hurt our seeding.

If you are a masochist and want to relive that loss, here's Avinash's recap, and here's Avinash's breakdown with a ranty podcast from yours truly.  I really recommend not clicking on either of these links, though Avinash gets points for the perfect caption for this photo: "Oh, kill me now."

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not at all relevant, but better than that picture of Michael Roll

Star-divide

You can point to many reasons for ucla coming up with their miraculous victory against our bears, like their ridiculous second half shooting (7-9 from three!!), our terrible shooting (2-18 from three for the game), our terrible defense, and our lack of Jorge.  All are valid, and correcting any of them would have given Cal the victory.  A lot has to go wrong in order to lose to a bottom dweller (and it does feel good to call ucla a bottom dweller) at home.

The greater issue was Jerome Randle not playing like himself, because he was throwing up during the game.  Simply put, without Randle playing at an all conference level, and without Harper Kamp and Jorge Gutierrez, Cal is not a very good team.  We should have beaten ucla despite these problems, but the team Cal fielded on Wednesday night probably wouldn't finish much better than the middle of the conference.

Missing Harper Kamp has been a bigger problem than many realize.  At the pregame party (hosted by your Cal Alumni Association), Jay John called Kamp "one of the two best defenders at his position I've ever seen".  Now, Jay John coached some pretty terrible OSU teams, so he's not saying that much, but Harper's absence has created a serious void on this team.  That was painfully evident against ucla as freshman Reeves Nelson had plenty of room in the paint against Cal's front line.  Boykin is a good shooter, but Harper is a better passer, rebounder, and defender, and he's way ahead of everyone on the team at interior defense.

As an aside, the last time Jay John spoke at the pregame hoops party was before the OSU game last year.  Jay, you're a great and hilarious speaker, but don't come back.

The refs did Cal no favors on Wednesday (aside from a generous charge drawn by Jerome Randle on Malcolm Lee, under the Cal basket), which is typical of playing against ucla.  In the second half, Cal was whistled for some pretty harmless touch fouls while ucla was free to body check Cal players in the paint.  Howland's "physical" defense is predicated upon a lot of body contact against opposing shooters, which is less obvious (and just as much of a foul) but more effective than reaching in.  As a result, ucla gets away with a lot more than they should, as when Randle was sent sprawling during a successful lay in during the second half but not awarded the "and one", while Christopher was called for a block when he simply used the baseline to force Jerime Anderson out of bounds.

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Good physical defense by the Ben Ball warriors

The crowd at Haas was pretty terrible on Wednesday.  There wasn't much noise or energy, and Randle and Montgomery said as much in interviews following the game.  During overtime, I was standing and yelling when a thirty something guy behind me said "Can you sit down?  My boy [his similarly aged friend, not his son] can't see the game."  I responded "It's overtime against ucla!" but they were unimpressed, so I sort of crouched for the remaining few minutes.  I don't want to get into the "alumni suck and don't make noise" debate, particularly because I am an alumnus, but I understand when 70 year old donors don't stand for three hours at a football game.  When you and your boys are 30 years old, and Cal is in overtime against one of their biggest rivals, stand the fuck up and make some noise!  We, as a Cal community, need to figure out how to make Haas as loud and intimidating as it (and Harmon) used to be.

Following the loss, I was lamenting that we always seem to be on the wrong side of these games when I remembered last year's triple overtime victory over UW in Seattle, highlighted by DJ Seeley's "old fashioned" three point play with one second remaining in the second overtime.  Recalling that game is about the only positive I can find from our latest heartbreaking loss to the small, dickless, bears.

The usc game was much better, because we didn't lose to ucla in crushing fashion, and because we won.  It wasn't going well, with Cal down 50-43 midway through the second half.  Usc is a great defensive team and they had longer, bigger, and more athletic players than Cal at every position except point guard.  The easiest way to score against a great defense is to get points in transition, but in order to do that, you have to stop the other team from scoring.  Usc scored on 9 of their first 10 possessions in the second half.

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Cal's high scorers from Saturday's game.  Theo played all 40 minutes, Jerome's stomach was "still bubbling".

Out of a timeout, Cal went to a 3-2 zone for one possession and forced Dwight Lewis into an off-balance jumper, which he missed.  On the next usc possession, star guard Nikola Knezevic took over the assignment on Dwight Lewis.  Lewis had been quite hot up to this point, shooting 6-9 against a pretty hapless Patrick Christopher.  Lewis shot only 2-7 for the remainder of the game, and one of his buckets came when Christopher was switched back onto him.  Knezevic has his limitations - namely, he can't score - but he was absolutely the key to the game.  He face guarded Lewis to prevent him from getting the ball, he hounded Lewis when he received the ball - at one point, he forced a travel when Lewis jumped and was unable to shoot or pass.  Without his defense on Lewis, Cal loses this game.

As the Cal defense started to get some get some stops, the Cal offense found easier shots and better chances.  This spurred on the crowd, which was truly loud for this first time in two games, which spurred on the defense, and etc.  Even Monty was fired up; after Theo took a charge on Leonard Washington, Monty stomped around the sideline doing the first down gesture.  Cal went on a 16-1 run to take a 59-51 lead and coasted to victory.

This was Nikola's best game since leading Cal to a comeback win against Missouri a few hours after Cal lost Big Game back in 2007, which he mentioned in the post game interview.  That game was the subject of my first post as an author on the old blogsome site, so it holds a special place in my heart.  As a sophomore, Nikola led the charge in that game both offensively and defensively while Randle, also a sophomore, turned the ball over a lot.  Randle will finish his career as one of Cal's all time leading scorers, while Nikola's best game in more than two years has a line of 14 minutes, 2 points, and 1 rebound.  Those stats do not nearly do justice to the impact that Nikola had on Saturday's game, but it's a pretty large understatement to say that Randle has been the better player throughout his Cal career.  Someone watching that Missouri game two years ago would have had difficulty predicting how their careers played out.

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George-Michael Bluth, what could have been!

via graphics.fansonly.com

With the not too surprising news that Jorge will miss this week's Washington trip, Nikola will again have a chance to be a major contributor.  He's certainly earned some minutes, and as long as he avoids things like shooting or dribbling the ball, he'll be an asset.

Go Bears, Go George-Michael, sweep Washington.

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I posted this in Avinash’s recap, but it’s important enough to post here: someone needs to reach out to Nikola, tell him to grow a mustache like Michael Cera in Youth in Revolt, and become a complete badass.

by boomtho on Jan 12, 2010 11:24 PM PST reply actions  

i mentioned this to californiabone and oskisunbear during the sc game. niko was definitely more of a francois than his usual harmless self.

Remember, the enemy's end zone is DOWN!

by GoldBlooded on Jan 12, 2010 11:26 PM PST up reply actions  

No bigs inside to break it down; only Amoke’s pretty good at getting the rim and cutting the baseline. And our slashers have real trouble breaking it down one-by-one, opting to go one-on-one and look for open jump shots instead of attacking the rim and getting to the foul line (to Theo and Jerome’s credit, they both attacked the pain with ferocity against USC, and Theo was alone getting to the line against UCLA.)

More importantly it slows the pace down, which gives opponents a fighting chances against Cal’s usually up-tempo offense. It limits the number of possessions and keeps the score down.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Jan 12, 2010 11:49 PM PST up reply actions  

To add to Avinash: there are a few weak spots against the zone:
(a) 3 pt line: “Soft” zones (where the defense doesn’t extend out past the 3pt line) can be broken by good outside shooting. Quick ball reversals and back screens can free guards on the perimeter. However, any team that plays a good zone, like Syracuse, extends out 3-5 feet beyond the 3 pt line. This leaves:
(b) High post: Around the free throw line at either elbow is another hole in the zone. When teams extend, this hole gets even bigger. The high post is a tricky position to play, however. When you catch and face the basket, you have two defenders behind you (one may even be on your hip), and you’re facing bigs. Usually the high post can catch and shoot, catch and swing the ball to a shooter (it helps if they flare down from the wing to the corner), drive and kick, or pass down to the short corner (Brandon Smith did this multiple times to Amoke). This is probably the biggest hole in the zone, but it is tough to exploit since the person who catches must make very quick decisions, be a good shooter and passer, and be strong with the ball.

Our biggest problem with the zone is personnel. An ideal team would have 3 excellent shooters (which we have), one high post presence (Boykin is close, but he’s probably not quick enough nor strong enough with the ball), and a guy who can catch the ball on the block and make a power move. We struggle with the high post aspect the most. Theo is probably best suited to play the position, but we need him to stretch the defense along the perimeter. I honestly feel Boykin, with a little (lot?) coaching, can play the high post effectively. Hopefully we’ll have our issues ironed out by the time we face OSU.

by boomtho on Jan 12, 2010 11:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Kamp is our best weapon against the zone. Too bad he’s out. He is a pretty good passer from the spot, can make a 15’ (or maybe 12’) foot jumper and is smart with the ball.

I don’t think Boykin is bad either – I think one of our main issues has been missing Theo for substantial amount of time this year – and having Amoke as our only baseline guy.

I was thinking I’d like to see us try a two high set against the zone with Jorge Nikola and Randle playing at the same time to try and get open shots for PChris and Theo in the corners with diagonal passes.

by LeonPowe on Jan 13, 2010 12:10 AM PST up reply actions  

OSU plays 1-3-1, not so?

The weak spots of that zone are the spaces in between the arms of the cross formation, i.e. the wings and the baseline.

The last time Cal played OSU they had a truly ridiculous number of open threes; they just inexplicably missed most of them.

Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."

by PaulThomas on Jan 13, 2010 4:29 PM PST up reply actions  

Christopher and Theo are not good penetrators into the lane in traffic. That leaves Randle as the only player who can get into the lane, and he’s so short that it makes it tough for him. Yes, we see him do all sorts of floaters against bigger guys, and he’s much improved on his assists from penetration, but the man can’t do it all himself.

PC and Theo are more spot up shooters on the perimeter. Theo is also good with a body on him in the paint, but not slashing and athletically rising above players. When he slashes, he likes to go all the way and that doesn’t work in a zone where there are trees waiting for you.

And I would think PC would have the athleticism to do this but he fumbles the ball sometimes and has generally been a disappointment to me with his limited in between game. At the rim, quick jump and lay in. Outside, smooth shot. In between – eh.

Finally, a zone can be broke with high post passing. But we don’t have the “bigs” personnel for that.

by concordtom on Jan 13, 2010 8:41 AM PST up reply actions  

Cal did fine against the zone of UCLA

I mean, granted, a bunch of that was Nikola Dragovic’s idea of “defense” (viz. get picked off by the same interior screen like five possessions in a row) but still.

Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."

by PaulThomas on Jan 13, 2010 4:23 PM PST up reply actions  

I also asked this earlier, and I didn’t a response, so here goes: is there a reason MSF continues to start? Against USC he did hit two long jumpers, but he commits so many fouls (early in the game especially) that the other team usually ends up in the bonus. Plus, he’s not a great defender OR rebounder, doesn’t really have a low post game, etc…. I’m not trying to bag on the guy, but why not start Amoke or Zhang?

by boomtho on Jan 13, 2010 12:12 AM PST reply actions  

I think he starts because he’s still a better option than Max at this point (who started against Kansas, picked up 2 quick fouls and didn’t play the rest of the way).

He’s actually a pretty capable passer and is a better rebounder than Max.

However, as we see smaller Pac-10 teams, there’s no reason that Boykin couldn’t play the nominal 5 position and start Amoke at the 4. I think since none of the match-ups are ideal, we could keep that spot rotating between Max (need shot blocking) MSF (need rebounding or the other team is playing zone) or Amoke (need rebounds and want to play more up-tempo)

by LeonPowe on Jan 13, 2010 1:21 AM PST up reply actions  

Regardless, we’re going to lose every tip-off the rest of the way, aren’t we?

So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!

by ragnarok on Jan 13, 2010 8:34 AM PST up reply actions  

good question. I think he starts b/c Monty likes having an option to switch it up with Max. Neither can last long on the floor without fouling, and Max changes the game a little, gets the guys surprised to see him when they drive the lane. I dunno. That’s probably a lame reason. I’ve asked the same question, frankly.

by concordtom on Jan 13, 2010 8:35 AM PST up reply actions  

Jay John called Kamp “one of the two best defenders at his position I’ve ever seen”. Now, Jay John coached some pretty terrible OSU teams, so he’s not saying that much,

Jay John was also an assistant at Arizona under Lute Olson before getting the OSU gig, right? However fundamentally sound they may have been, Arizona has had some incredible athletes over the years.

So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!

by ragnarok on Jan 13, 2010 8:35 AM PST reply actions  

Simply put, without Randle playing at an all conference level, and without Harper Kamp and Jorge Gutierrez, Cal is not a very good team.

This is what we fans have come to realize! Plain and simple, to the point, honest, and hard to accept.

by concordtom on Jan 13, 2010 8:47 AM PST reply actions  

I am going to assume that if you took away 2 of the better players on any Pac10 team and then dinged their best player some, they’d appear bad, too!

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by TwistNHook on Jan 13, 2010 3:40 PM PST up reply actions  

Try "any" team

I mean, maybe not Kansas or Kentucky. But basically, anyone. 13 scholarships is not very many when you consider that the typical high-level team is short one or two anyway from guys leaving early and transferring, and that 3-ish of the remainder are going to freshmen who aren’t ready to be major contributors.

Shawn Spencer: "I’m receiving a transmission from your husband. Really more of a voicemail, if I'm being honest. A status update. Perhaps a twitter."
Burton Guster: "I believe it’s called a tweet."
Shawn Spencer: "There’s no way I’m saying that."

by PaulThomas on Jan 13, 2010 4:21 PM PST up reply actions  

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