More Hype for our beloved Golden Bears

by SoCal Oski on Sep 2, 2009 8:06 PM PDT Comment 12 comments

So, it appears that What If? Sports has done this thing where they've simulated every game of the FBS season 10,000 times and have come up with some interesting predictions. Some good, some bad for the Bears.

The good: Cal gets a win at Oregon, Tedford gets his first win in LA, we keep the axe . And, can you say BCS? Cal goes 11-1 on the year and takes on Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl.

The bad: $C still beats us. Even at home. Even in October. Even with a freshman at QB.

The ugly: Cal loses to Oklahoma.

Of course, that is still a pretty great season.

The opinions expressed in a FanPost are, in every way, reflective of the opinions of every California Golden Blogs Marshawnthusiast. Moreover, they are reflective of every employee of SBNation, including Tyler "Blez" Bleszinski.

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You know what? I’d take it. I really, really would

So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!

by ragnarok on Sep 2, 2009 9:07 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

Totes agree

Where do I sign up to take this?!?

Praise be to Tedford!

by Ohio Bear on Sep 3, 2009 6:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

agreed.

"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark

by carp on Sep 3, 2009 7:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Their predicting winning % for Cal:

vs. Maryland – 95%
vs. Eastern Washington – 95%
@ Minnesota – 92.4%
@ Oregon – 72.1%
USC – 6.6%
@ UCLA – 95%
vs. Washington State – 95%
@ Arizona State – 92.4%
vs. Oregon State – 87.7%
vs. Arizona – 88%
@ Stanfurd – 90.7%
@ Washington – 95%
vs. Oklahoma – 9%

I dunno, these percentages just don’t pass the smell test. Too extreme — too many on one side of 90% or the other.

So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!

by ragnarok on Sep 2, 2009 9:17 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

One thing I didn’t see (or just didn’t read close enough to see), was what criteria or what platform these guys used to simulate the games.

That being said, the only games on that list that really seem too extreme to me are Oregon. SC, Ucla, and Oklahoma.

Yeah, well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.

by SoCal Oski on Sep 2, 2009 9:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

completely agreed. the percentages would have more credibility if they were in the 65%-85% range.

Interesting concept though.

by chowder on Sep 2, 2009 9:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

6.6 and 9% are insane. We have a 95% chance of winning at the Rose Bowl? Seriously?

I think I remember being bored and simulating Cal vs USC 2004 fifteen-twenty times. Cal won once. By a point. So I’m not totally sold on the veracity of this simulator.

Contact if you want to chat: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash on Sep 2, 2009 10:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs

Agreed Rags

The simulator seems to think that Eastern Washington in Berkeley is just as difficult (easy?) as UCLA on the road. As much as I would love for that to be true, I’m not expecting UCLA to have a I-AA type season.

The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS

by norcalnick on Sep 2, 2009 10:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs