The Toughest Places To Play Out West
Last week, Ted Miller ran a post ranking the toughest venues to play in the Pac-10, along with some brief exposition on why he rated the various stadiums where he did. It's a good list, and while I don't know that I would have come up with the same order if I started with a blank piece of paper, I can't really quibble too much with his choices. He certainly knows what he's talking about.
Rankings like this, however, are always rather subjective; a quality such as "toughest to play in" is a difficult thing to quantify. There are certainly a number of factors that may come into play in devising such a ranking: crowd noise level (both from the crowd's size/rowdiness and the inherent acoustics of the stadium), likelihood/severity of inclement weather, length/difficult of travel, and of course, the quality of the home team. I ranked each category on a scale of 1-10, except travel, which seemed less important, so I only ranked it from 1-5. Then I simply added up the points to see what I got. Here's how it shook out:
Autzen Stadium (Oregon)
Noise Level : 10 - I can't honestly say if Autzen Stadium is the loudest place I've ever been, because Tennessee's Neyland Stadium was also pretty freaking loud. It's certainly the loudest place on the West Coast, however. Everyone says this, but you should go experience it for yourself.
Inclement Weather : 5 - They say that "It Never Rains In Autzen Stadium." I don't know what they're talking about, but it sure can't be actual rain, which I've experienced the last two times I visited Eugene. Not the most hideous of conditions, but cold and precipitation can often make for an uninviting visit for Pac-10 teams.
Travel : 3 - Although not an awful trek, it's a decent drive down from Portland, unless you feel like trying to fly into Eugene itself.
Quality of the Opponent : 8 - The Ducks have been very good for quite some time.
Overall : 26 - A heck of a homefield advantage for a heck of a team. A tough, tough visit.
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum (USC)
Noise Level : 8 - Bowls make for the loudest stadiums, as do huge crowds of fans with no NFL team to root for. 'SC has both of these. However, the LA Coliseum does have a number of seats that can't really be filled in a football configuration, and this does have a dampening effect on the noise levels.
Inclement Weather : 1 - It can get pretty hot here in September, but it's a dry, Los Angeles heat. Rather pleasant, really.
Travel : 2 - Fighting LA traffic to get to the stadium may not be fun, but otherwise, this is an easy place to get to.
Quality of the Opponent : 10 - The Trojans consistently field one of the Top 5 teams in the country. There's no one tougher on the West Coast right now.
Overall : 21 - Does Sunny and 72° make up for getting 40 points scored on your defense?
Oh, sure, the weather's nice. Still a very intimidating place to play.
California Memorial Stadium (Cal)
Noise Level : 8 - A big bowl with lots of rowdy fans; this place can get pretty darn loud.
Inclement Weather : 3 - Outside of the occasional rainstorm, it's rarely too hot or too cold in Strawberry Canyon. A couple of torrential downpours the last two years certainly keep this rating from getting too low, however.
Travel : 2 - Nowhere to park, but otherwise easy access from two major international airports.
Quality of the Opponent : 8 - Under Jeff Tedford, Cal is a virtual lock to at least flirt with the Top 25.
Overall : 21 - Although I've yet to see any of the opposing locker room at other stadiums, I can't imagine any that are worse that those at Memorial Stadium. Most high schools would be ashamed of these facilities.
Reser Stadium (Oregon State)
Noise Level : 6 - Surprisingly loud, given the relatively small stadium - my guess is the artificial turf helps with this.
Inclement Weather : 5 - Like Autzen, there are nice days here. There are also not-so-nice days. On the not-so-nice days, you can still at least say, "At least I'm not in Pullman, WA."
Travel : 3 - Closer to Portland than Eugene, and not an awfully long drive from there.
Quality of the Opponent : 7 - Oregon State may not attract the highest-profile recruits, but Mike Riley can coach 'em up with the best of 'em.
Overall : 21 - This high of a rating will probably surprise people, which is what Oregon State has been doing for quite some time.
Husky Stadium (Washington)
Noise Level : 9 - Maybe it's the rabid crowds they used to draw, or maybe the opposing grandstands really served to amplify sound, but this place used to get LOUD! Perhaps not Autzen loud, but still quite imposing for the visitors.
Inclement Weather : 5 - Sure, it rains all the time in Seattle, but it rarely rains too heavily. Coastal waters keep the temperature relatively mild as well. Still no fun in November/December.
Travel : 1 - Easy access from Sea/Tac.
Quality of the Opponent : 2 - Am I being generous here? Jake Locker's gotta be worth at least a point, don't you think? Is ditching Ty worth a second?
Overall : 17 - If the Huskies were to field a quality team again, this road trip would be well worth fearing. Yeah, I'm giving the Huskies a bit of credit for the noise they used to generate, but that noise may certainly come back some day soon.
Martin Stadium (Washington State)
Noise Level : 4 - A small, open stadium, Martin Stadium kinda feels more like a mid-major field.
Inclement Weather : 7 - The Bears have been lucky to get this road trip out of the way early the last couple times; there's a reason that UW and WSU are the only Pac-10 schools not to push back their rivalry game to create more BYEs. Probably the most frigid spot in the Pac-10.
Travel : 4 - A flight to Spokane followed by a lengthy bus ride does not exactly say 'refreshing', now does it?
Quality of the Opponent : 1 - This team almost HAS to get better, simply because there's nowhere to go but up. For now, it's basically a gimmie win for most of the other Pac-10 teams.
Overall : 16 - Pullman will always be a rather tough place to play a football game, even if the victory is all but assured.
Sun Devil Stadium (Arizona State)
Noise Level : 7 - It can get loud in what was, until recently, an NFL stadium. It sure helps if they can fill all of those seats, however.
Inclement Weather : 3 - Extreme desert temperatures are about all you'll encounter in Arizona; the heat might get to you during the day, and it can get cold at night. Beyond that, though, there's nothing to worry about.
Travel : 1 - A short bus trip from the Phoenix airport gets you here. No problem at all.
Quality of the Opponent : 5 - Given a few more years, Dennis Erickson could make the Sun Devils scary-good. Not sure they're there yet, though.
Overall : 16 - If you can stand the heat, a trip to ASU isn't so bad at all -- and the student body sure is nice to look at.
Rose Bowl (UCLA)
Noise Level : 7 - Classic bowl stadiums are my favorite: nowhere for the sound to travel.
Inclement Weather : 1 - Like the LA Coliseum, the weather is going to be an afterthought. It will be a nice day for football; count on it.
Travel : 2 - A bit of a drive from the airport through LA traffic, but otherwise not a problem.
Quality of the Opponent : 5 - There are too many good football prospects in the Los Angeles area for UCLA to stay bad; even the dastardly Karl Dorrell couldn't ensure that.
Overall : 15 - Why hasn't Cal been able to win here since 1999? I can't figure it out.
Arizona Stadium (Arizona)
Noise Level : 5 - A medium-size, open-end stadium. Not exactly quiet, but not terribly loud either.
Inclement Weather : 3 - Like Tempe, the only thing to watch out for is the heat.
Travel : 2 - Tucson can be a long flight from some Pac-10 schools, and that's if you can get a direct flight, which you may not be able to.
Quality of the Opponent : 5 - The Wildcats can be a dangerous, if not yet consistently good, opponent.
Overall : 15 - There's really nothing remarkable about Arizona Stadium -- except that there are bats in residence.
Warning signs of bats include guano, utility belts, and protruding plastic nipples.
Stanford Stadium (Stanford)
Noise Level : 3 - Perhaps shrinking the number of seats and enclosing the stadium will help Stanford down the road, but only if fans actually start showing up.
Inclement Weather : 3 - Sometimes rainy, sometimes cold, more often the warm and sunny California that we all know and love from TV.
Travel : 1 - A nice drive down 101 from SFO to The Farm. Nothing to worry about.
Quality of the Opponent : 5 - The fightin' Harbaughs may not be the deepest, most talented bunch, but an enthusiasm unknown to mankind fuels a surprisingly tough out.
Overall : 12 - Better football (and better fans) could make this a more formidable place to play. For now? Not so much.
Overall, my rankings do look a lot like Ted Miller's. It seems that I rank the Washington schools as tougher places to play, as I seem to put more weight on inclement weather than Ted does (admittedly, cruddy weather does affect the home team as well; the thought is that they've been practicing in that weather and are used to it), but I think we have more agreement than differences. You can also see how the rankings might change should teams get better (or worse) in the future.
So what do you think? Agree with me? Am I totally off base on one of these stadiums? Do I have the criteria all wrong?
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The rankings seem about right, though I would have liked to see facilities as a component. That would, I suppose make Cal tougher than USC, though, the proof is in the home record. As tough as Autzen is, they lose way too much at home for them to be first. 1. USC, 2. Cal, 3. Autzen.
It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.
Facilities
Yeah, those could easily be a component, although until I’m granted press access and start following the team every week, I’m really going to be unable to comment on them.
And when I looked it up, I was surprised to see that Oregon hasn’t managed an undefeated season at home in the last 5 years. Granted, they do play a tough schedule, and they only seem to lose to other good teams there, but it’s still curious.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
Not sure how much of that has had to do with the crowd
And more so with our team playing like dogs.
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 10:54 AM PDT up reply actions
I'm not sure I agree with your USC ranking
on the "Noise Level : 8 " USC really isn’t all that loud at all. As you recognized, there are many seats that don’t get filled. Also, the empty seats on the torch side of the stadium, plus the whole torch configuration allows any noise generated by the large crowds to escape. Take a look:

That allows for some serious noise escape. Noise which doesn’t escape closed bowls, like Cal’s.
Granted, LA Memorial is a tough place to play, but only because of the team on the field. The fans aren’t much of a factor at all IMO.
As for your knock on Cal’s facilities, I know that is legit, but what does that have to do with being a “tough place to play?” A touch place to get dressed? Maybe, but I don’t see that as much of a factor in the analysis.
In any case, thanks for the post.
"Stanford has no fear of losing versus Cal, as they have done so every year but one for the last 20 years. They are, however, very afraid to get injured and indeed fear for their safety." - Furd Rugby Coach on forfeiting 2001 Rugby game vs. Cal
Wasn't Cal-USC 2004 one of the loudest games ever?
I remember that last drive. REALLY LOUD. When it’s a big game Trojans fans get up for it.
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 10:55 AM PDT up reply actions
Based on stadium construction alone, the LA Coliseum should probably switch rankings with the Rose Bowl. But based on my personal memories of attending games in both facilities, the LA Coliseum is just louder. Maybe it shouldn’t be, but it is. Perhaps the sheer number of people makes up for some sound escaping on the North end, I don’t know. All I know is that when the game is on the line, that place is rocking.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
I don't know
I’ve gone to several SC games over the past few years and while it does get loud, it never really impressed me as a really loud place. But then again my wife says I’m deaf and that I play the TV and radio on too loud, and I like loud punk music . . .
"Stanford has no fear of losing versus Cal, as they have done so every year but one for the last 20 years. They are, however, very afraid to get injured and indeed fear for their safety." - Furd Rugby Coach on forfeiting 2001 Rugby game vs. Cal
by oaktownmario on May 29, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions
I think it also depends upon where you are seated in any particular stadium, significantly so in the coliseum. In 2004, I was ~25 rows up from field directly behind the goalpost at the closed end side of the stadium. At the end of the game, during the last drive that ended poorly, the team was driving into that endzone, and I’ll tell you, it was really, really loud. So loud that I kinda laughed to myself and contemplated how freaking hard it would be to perform under those conditions. Perhaps on the other side of the stadium it was not so loud, but down low on that end it was a joke.
Honestly, the only time I’ve ever heard crowd noise louder was during the 2006 Oregon game (first time in gold jerseys – holla!). I sit in QQ, low 20’s, and when OU was knocking on the door in the 1st quarter (got to the 4 or 5 yard line, but we held them to a field goal) it literally became deafening. I mean . . . my ears were ringing for over a day. I suspect the dude behind me was yelling directly into my ears, because all I was able to hear was a drone of muted sounds, and my own voice yelling became muffled like I was under water.
I guess my point is, the closer to the field, generally the louder it gets. I know I’ve sat with friends in QQ up in the 50’s, and it’s practically a wake up there unless something really big happens – and even then its a roar but not really loud. Down low you are hearing all the people behind you make noise so it really adds up. And since the east half of the stadium makes almost all the noise, It really seems like we could be doing A LOT better in the noise department. IMO that’s why Oregon is so damn loud: practically all their fans actually yell – all the time when they are on defense – as opposed to in most stadiums its like 30-40% unless its a 4th down and the game is on the line. Even then the old blues on the alumni side still may not do more than just idly clap.
"The trees on the [Student Athlete High Performance Center] are not protected -- and cannot be 'saved' -- by any law."
This is a very good point
I remember from my days in the Cal Band that I was always surprised at how loud the crowd was when you were down on the field. Because everyone is yelling directionally, you may not realize just how loud the very crowd you are in is for the players on the field.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
Rose Bowl vs Coliseum
I agree that the Coliseum is usually louder. My theory is that when we go to the Rose Bowl to play fUCLA, a very large chunk of the crowd is made up of Cal fans. I’m not just talking about the crappy seats in the corner—our fans are spread out throughout the stadium. Plus, it’s huge and away from campus, so filling every seat for a mediocre team can be tough. Still, the place can get loud.
Cal fans seem much less likely to attend u$c games, partially because tickets are becoming so hard to get. Therefore, most of the Coliseum is filled with the home team crowd. Since they now consider Cal to be a worthy opponent, my guess is that the crowd gets more into our game than others.
As for the poor facilities at Memorial, I didn’t really consider them in my analysis; that was more of a throw-away line to fill out the prose. Still, it’s all part of making the visiting team uncomfortable, whether it’s a long bus ride, cramped facilities, noisy fans, or bone-chilling cold.
For what it’s worth, I think having to dress and shower in cramped quarters and in a number of shifts adds to the ‘uncomfortable’ factor for visitors to Memorial Stadium.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
Autzen = overrated.
Loud, yes. However, nowhere near the intimidation factor of Neyland – that place was a mad house.
Autzen would be crazy, thereby living up to the hype, if they were to build up the home sideline of the stadium as they have the visitor sideline of the stadium. However, with half of their stadium reminding me of a high school field, I do not find Autzen overly impressive.
On another note, the rose bowl might be the most quiet collection of 100k+ people on the planet earth. Talk about the home crowd being a non-factor.
by 33SwisherSweet on May 29, 2009 10:51 AM PDT reply actions
Even at first glance Neyland was clearly in a higher division of stadium power than anything we visit regularly. It was Any Given Sunday to our assortment of Rudys and Waterboys. A conference rivalry game at Neyland when they are running on all cylinders must be off the charts awesome. L.A. Memorial Coliseum is the only thing around here with even that potential, but they’d have to move the field back to the center, slap some folding chairs on the sidelines and endzones, sell out every last seat, then get every fan to show up early wearing a solid t-shirt of one of the two team colors to make significant noise unprompted throughout the game. Not going to happen with those twits, sorry.
Our Memorial clearly has the potential to be really tough for the West Coast but, like everything else around here, it will require a consistently great team for more than a season or two for a true college football fan base to grow into the building. Husky Stadium had it and lost it, so I know it’s at least theoretically possible for us to become a place more imposing than Autzen is now. Until then, overdrive will be continue to be limited to wild situations and occasional meaningful matchups.
by zoonews on May 29, 2009 5:49 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
If cal is number 3, then the pac-10 has weak home field advantage.
As diehard of a Cal guy as I am, Memorial is a pretty weak home field advantage.
by 33SwisherSweet on May 29, 2009 10:56 AM PDT reply actions
Cal has lost four games at home in the past five years though
I’d say it’s getting progressively better.
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 10:57 AM PDT up reply actions
Exactly, you have to look at the results. Cal has been VERY good at home. And, while it isn’t consistently hostile, for big games, memorial gets pretty loud.
It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.
I feel the same way about USC
Usually their crowd is pretty laid back, but the Trojans are always up by 40 at halftime. They have only a handful of close games at the Coliseum.
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions
again, well done. A few comments:
Bowls make for the loudest stadiums
I think in Maisel’s book he said bowls aren’t as loud as they should be (see the Big House). I think he cited Autzen as the ideal place to trap in noise. Decibel levels have been recorded in the “unhealthy” range. In Game 5 of the ‘03 A’s-Red Sox series (before Uncle Lew tarped that shit off) the Coliseum was rockin in night playoff games. In this rare instance, I think it actually helped to have Mt Davis there to help keep in the noise. Nonetheless, the Bowl shaped football stadiums are my favorite and they get plenty loud for me.
Husky stadium can get mighty nasty with a cold breeze in off the shore. Also, The dry heat factor, imo, has been a minor issue with Cal in the desert. Fat guys don’t like heat. Ever. Perhaps it’s worth a few more Inclement weather points?
Heaps and Hinder...come on down!
Question
Anyone have any idea as to the demographics of home games vs. bowl games? I’m sure they’re different but curious as to what the breakdown would be.
by HolmoePhobe on May 29, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions
demographics? like the race/gender of the crowd?
CGB: Our points are reliable. Our logic is infallible. Our past records are illogical. And our ham is dynamite!
by Spazzy Mcgee on May 29, 2009 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions
Like students vs. alumni, young alumni vs. older alumni, etc.
by HolmoePhobe on May 29, 2009 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions
I have no idea, but I’m sure the demographics shift depending on how far the game is from campus, how much the tickets cost, what the travel expenses are, and when the game is played (over Christmas Day?). It also probably depends on the schools involved and what their alumni fan demographics are like, as well as how many alums they happen to have in the local area.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
yeah, Autzen is by both a) the field being artificial turf, which reflects sound better, and b) the field being like 8 feel below the first row of seats.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
I wonder if the field’s crest has anything to do with it. Oregon has the only field I’ve seen with a noticeable crest. Perhaps, the varying angle deflects noise back into the stadium rather than into the sky.
I doubt this is true, but a theory nonetheless.
We all dream of being a child again, even the worst of us, the worst... perhaps... most of all.
Let's do the math...
The wave equation
Main article: Wave equation
The wave equation is a differential equation that describes the evolution of a harmonic wave over time. The equation has slightly different forms depending on how the wave is transmitted, and the medium it is traveling through. Considering a one-dimensional wave that is traveling down a rope along the x-axis with velocity v and amplitude u (which generally depends on both x and t), the wave equation is
In three dimensions, this becomes
The velocity v will depend on both the type of wave and the medium through which it is being transmitted.
A general solution for the wave equation in one dimension was given by d’Alembert. It is
This can be viewed as two pulses traveling down the rope in opposite directions; F in the +x direction, and G in the −x direction. If we substitute for x above, replacing it with directions x, y, z, we then can describe a wave propagating in three dimensions.
The Schrödinger equation describes the wave-like behavior of particles in quantum mechanics. Solutions of this equation are wave functions which can be used to describe the probability density of a particle. Quantum mechanics also describes particle properties that other waves, such as light and sound, have on the atomic scale and below.
Heaps and Hinder...come on down!
I would like to echo the sentiment that the Rose Bowl was pretty freakin quiet.
And Memorial is definitely the most schizo crowd of everyone. I have heard that place so quiet you could hear Tedford fart, but I’ve also heard it loud enough to hurt.
CGB: Our points are reliable. Our logic is infallible. Our past records are illogical. And our ham is dynamite!
I’ve also written sentences with garbled syntax and unclear subjects and modifiers.
CGB: Our points are reliable. Our logic is infallible. Our past records are illogical. And our ham is dynamite!
by Spazzy Mcgee on May 29, 2009 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I wish we could channel ourselves from the Oregon 2006 game
That was unbelievably loud.
I have an unhealthy obsession with that game
In other words, Go Bears!
Wasn't it your first game at Memorial?
My first game was some clunker versus New Mexico State. Great performance, but it was New Mexico State. Nothing I’ll be telling my grandkids.
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions
No Cal v. Minnesota in 2006 was
The first game that made me love Cal was Oregon
In other words, Go Bears!
this may have already been noted, but the Ohio State website actually lists Cal on their 2012 schedule.
It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.
So far away, wish it was sooner. Those rumors of Texas home-at-home probably wouldn’t be until 2014 at earliest.
It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.
sweet.
Oakland—>Austin is a direct flight on Southwest. Should be well attended by both sides for both games.
Heaps and Hinder...come on down!
Haha, you’re planning a flight to Austin in five years that theoretically might not even happen?
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 3:35 PM PDT up reply actions
no, I just did a Oak—>Austin—>Houston flight and was impressed you could actually fly to Austin without a layover. I was just sort of pasting it all together. Certainly this must help visitor attendance for both games since you can get a cheap ticket and a nonstop flight, no?
Heaps and Hinder...come on down!
I am trying to convince my dad to go up to Eugene for the game this year with me. He isn’t buying it.
Unleash the Honk! Train. Honk Honk.
He isn’t buying you plane tickets, or he isn’t going?
Bork bork bork!
by Avinash Kunnath on May 29, 2009 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions
He isn’t buying the idea of going to Eugene. And that means that I don’t get to go to Eugene.
Unleash the Honk! Train. Honk Honk.
by rollonubears on May 29, 2009 3:38 PM PDT up reply actions
I believe we are starting a highly unofficial CGB Rideshare for that game. We’d probably need Twist to draft a few thousand legal documents basically saying (a) no, we will not let rollonu drive, (b) we will not take him to gentlemen’s clubs, and © we will not by hurricane or other beverages of that ilk.
Heaps and Hinder...come on down!
To be honest, I probably would be a better driver then all of you guys after the game. No I have never driven before.
Unleash the Honk! Train. Honk Honk.
by rollonubears on May 29, 2009 3:39 PM PDT up reply actions
Home Field Advantage
IMO, the only measure of “toughest” place to play is the actual results, in which, case Autzen Stadium is the fifth most difficult venue in the Pac-10 since 2002:
Team (Home Winning PCT)
USC (97.6%), Cal (79.6%), OSU (75.6%), ASU (73.9%), UO (73.3%)
Being loud doesn’t necessarily mean more difficult. In fact, it could be the opposite. If players expect a hostile environment, it could keep them more focused leading into the game (no one overlooks playing at Autzen).
Also, I have a problem with places like Husky Stadium which, in terms of difficulty, is considered a “has-been” (my term) even though all the elements that make that particularly stadium and location difficult has remained intact since the early 1990s.
BUT THE QUALITY OF THE TEAM MAKES THE DIFFERENCE… DUH! I completely understand, and not only that, I would argue that the quality of the team is the number one reason for making a team tough to play at home, it’s just that it’s difficult to dissociate home team from stadium. So the challenge really is to somehow to control that variable and, working backwards, analyze how and why a location-place-stadium is particularly “tough” to play. In this way, I will reconcile the difficulty of Husky Stadium in spite of recent losing records.
The following are records from 2002-2008, with “home field advantage” calculated as the percentage difference between overall record (the quality of the team, as an aggregate of performance on all sites— road, neutral, and home) and home record, so that the result is a reflection of how much a performance boost a given team gets from playing at home:
Team – Stadium – Location – Home Field Adv.
Arizona State – Sun Devil Stadium – Tempe – + 27.54%
Washington – Husky Stadium – Seattle – + 24.17%
UCLA – Rose Bowl – Pasadena – +23.40%
Oregon State – Reser Stadium – Corvallis – + 20.08%
Arizona – Arizona Stadium – Tucson – +19.63%
California – Memorial Stadium – Berkeley – +14.60%
Stanford – Stanford Stadium – Palo Alto – +14.29%
Oregon – Autzen Stadium – Eugene – +13.93%
Washington State – Martin Stadium – Pullman – + 9.52%
Southern California – Coliseum – Los Angeles – + 7.03%
Looking back at Cal’s own record vis-a-vis these teams at home and away, it seems to reflect actual performance (with the notable exception of Oregon State). Doesn’t it always seem like we clobber ASU, UCLA, Arizona, and to a lesser extent, Washington, at home but we hit the road and seem to struggle? With the bottom four, the results between our games with Stanford, Oregon, Wazzu and USC at Memorial compares favorably to our performance against these same teams on the road.
And if you are so inclined, you can choose to ascribe any or none of the following reasons to explain the results above:
More difficult: players are distracted by bikini-clad babes in Tempe, weather conditions in Seattle, the aura of Rose Bowl, desert heat in Tucson
Less imposing: 40% capacity at Stanford Stadium, teams amped up to play at Autzen, 30,000 seat stadium with temporary bleachers insufficient for home advantage, and quality of USC as strong home and road team potentially masks any advantage of playing in L.A.
What do you guys think?
by ttgiang15 on May 31, 2009 6:16 AM PDT reply actions 3 recs
Okay, So USC doesn’t really have a home field advantage so much as the fact that teams lose because they’re just playing USC who is really freaking good. That makes sense, but I think it really does hide the fact that USC and their fans in the Coliseum can get ridiculously loud when the game is actually on the line (not too often).
www.californiagoldenblogs.com
I think what I’m really trying to get away from is conventional fan wisdom that states louder equals tougher. There are numerous other factors for players that goes unnoticed by fans, which can include field conditions, sightlines, etc. I think there’s a universal opinion that, on average, the crowd + acoustics at Oregon makes the place louder than all the other stadiums in the Pac-10. However, fifth best home record in the Pac-10 suggests that correlation between loudness and difficulty is a bit overrated.
for players that goes unnoticed by fans
Humidity :[
Unleash the Honk! Train. Honk Honk.
by rollonubears on May 31, 2009 5:39 PM PDT up reply actions
Not all games are created equal though. Arizona State stacks their home games with some gimmes (they’ve played some pretty garbage teams at home), while Oregon has played some pretty tough OOC opponents (Oklahoma, Boise, Fresno). I think they draw Purdue this year?
I dunno. I feel there’s a reason we never won there for, what, 20 years before 2007?
by Avinash Kunnath on May 31, 2009 6:06 PM PDT up reply actions
OOC Losses at Home
ASU: (LSU, Georgia, North Carolina, UNLV) > Oregon: (Boise State, Indiana)
Conference Losses at Home
ASU: (Cal 2x, Oregon 3x, UCLA, USC 3x) >>> Oregon: (Arizona, ASU 2x, Cal, OSU, UCLA, USC 2x, UW, Wazzu)
BTW: I recalculated the home records and noted another ASU loss, which makes UO’s record marginally better than Sun Devil Stadium.
Hmm, damn
The only other thing I can think of is that ASU coeds are more distracting than Oregon coeds.
by Avinash Kunnath on May 31, 2009 7:53 PM PDT up reply actions
An interesting viewpoint
and definitely a point of view I’d be interested in taking off and doing more research on. I think you have a definite point that home/road splits are probably the most important real measure of a home-field advantage. Off the top if my head, here’s a couple improvements to your method that I might suggest:
- Widening the search parameters. Instead of going back 7 years, go back 30 or 40. Really see how these things play out over the course of different coaching tenures, different decades, different eras in football. Of course, even the small sample size you chose doesn’t differentiate between Stanford Stadium pre-2006 and Stanford Stadium 2006-present, or the fact that Memorial Stadium went from grass to turf back to grass and then back to turf again. Beyond these concerns, however, there just aren’t that many football games in any given season, and to really get a quality data set, you need to cast a very wide net.
- Controlling for scheduling. Winning percentage, especially in college football, is often a function of the opposition as much as it is a function of the quality of the team under scrutiny. Non-conference schedules will vary greatly depending on the team and how ambitious they are.
- Looking beyond simple wins and losses. Winning percentage is important (winning the games is why we play them, after all), but they also mask all of the flukey reasons why teams win or lose. What about looking at the home/road splits of the number of points a team scores/gives up, or the number of yards gained/allowed? If you were a bookie, trying to adjust a line score based on the venue a particular game was being played, what sort of data would you look at?
Anyway, these are just a few suggestions that came to mind. I do think you’re on to something, though, and perhaps I’ll look into this topic further sometime this summer.
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
The seven-year period is due to three reasons: (1) the extent of data from ESPN, (2) corresponds to Coach Tedford’s tenure at Cal, and (3) because I had the data readily available for research on other topics. As far as how far back one should take this research, it will obviously be no more than the 30 years or so since the Arizona schools joined the Pac-10, but if it’s still in the context of what makes a location/stadium difficult, then I would suggest the year 1982 when UCLA moved from the Coliseum to the Rose Bowl.
For home/road splits, I looked at the point differential between average scoring margin at home versus away against the same opponent. For simplicity and clarity, I preferred the percentage difference data above because it is holistic in nature and reduces the results to a single number. On the whole, I found that a team-by-team analysis correlates pretty well with the data presented above. For example, teams that Cal played better on the road include OSU (#4), WSU (#9), and USC (#10); and teams USC played better on the road include UofA (#5), Cal (#6), Stanford (#8), and WSU (#9).
One thing that I should point out is that as much as my data is intended to reflect home field advantage, it could very well be representative of how good a team plays on the road. Examining the data among BCS schools (well, so far it’s just Pac 10, SEC, ACC, and Big 12), there is a strong correlation between bowl record (netural site performance) and my “home field advantage.” For teams with HFA below 12%, their combined bowl winning record is 78.43%, as compared to teams wtih HFA above 12%, whose bowl record is 49.32%. Of note, there are two teams with negative HFA’s, meaning their road record is actually better than their home record. They are Georgia and Ole Miss, whose combined bowl record is a stellar 9-1.
One thing that I should point out is that as much as my data is intended to reflect home field advantage, it could very well be representative of how good a team plays on the road.
This is a very, very good point, and one that I’m not sure quite how to resolve (for most teams, bowl performance is so sporadic and full of outlier conditions that I hate to use it as any sort of ‘control’ group).
So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!
I found this view point also interesting, and in many ways, I’ve got to agree.
However, I think there is a distinction that needs to be made. You aren’t talking about home field advantage. You’re talking about “Team A > Team B; While Team A is at home.”
A team’s record doesn’t directly make a venue difficult to play in. Just because a team is 9-0 doesn’t mean they inherent some sort of advantage. That makes no logical sense. Boise State touts a VERY impressive home record. They’ve also have never hosted a ranked team outside of the WAC.
You’re going along the same logic of, turnovers, yards, TDs – they don’t matter. What is important is the score at the end of the game, and getting the big W. That isn’t incorrect, but it is nearsighted. Defenses that prevent the most yards, generally have the lowest points allowed, but not always. Teams that have the best turnover ratio are usually the winners, but not always. Defenses win champions, except for the few times they don’t.
Why is sound such an acknowledge factor in football? I agree, it is overrated, but don’t underrate it either. It is a contributing factor to problems for an offense in loud conditions. It makes it more difficult for audibles, communicating plays from the sideline and the ability to hear the snap count. These difficulties can result in burning timeouts, executing incorrect play, or penalties. All these problems can stall the team’s momentum, and their drive. But regardless all this shows a rather small statistical impact. Not enough to ever give a gimmie.
Some of you might remember the game when Barry Sanders broke 2000 yards, and Reggie Brown’s career ended in a spinal injury. Prior to the injury, the Silver Dome was so loud, that the QB couldn’t hear the offensive coordinator’s play calling – and ended up burning a vital timeout and got a couple of delay of game penalties, the referee even stopped the game clock and asked the crowd calm down.
Last year, Oregon @ Purdue, the DJ was continually playing sounds and music as Oregon was snapping the ball. He apparently wasn’t accustomed to no huddle offenses. This caused a false start, and the referee ended up asking the crew to stop with the sounds while the teams were on the field.
If you guys really want to study the effects of home field advantage, viewing records isn’t the way. Correlation does not equate causation. Look at what the stadium nose could impact, like False Starts, Delay of Games, burning time outs in inopportune times, miscommunication on routes/plays. Those are your gauges, not records.
Oregon had a 23 home game win streak that ended in 2001 against Stanford.
As for your formula for figuring out Home Field Advantage, I would be interested in seeing how that is calculated. Someone else has already calculated the average home field advantage, and for a conference game, it was only a measly 3.3 point advantage. Bill Connolly is a pretty sharp guy, with some amazing statistics. He has spearheaded the “sabermetrics of college football” I would recommend anybody to check out his work.
"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"
by JShufelt on Jun 1, 2009 5:20 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I definitely think that home field advantage is a much bigger thing in basketball. At my school, we had a great basketball team this year that almost went to state, and we had great crowds. There were intense games against the 2nd best team in our league this year where we completely got into the head of other players. To the point that punches were almost thrown. That doesn’t happen as much in football because the crowd is farther away and its less of an intimate setting. While there are more fans at a football game they don’t have as big an impact as those at a basketball game.
While the rides on the Pain Train and Brock Mansion Party Yacht have been fun, I think its time I hop on the BakBakcycle.
With how wavelengths are, it’s easier to get loud with less in a smaller venue, but in a larger one, you need a lot of people all yelling, though the result of that can achieve a higher level of volume.
That’s why Autzen is louder than the Big House. More screaming per capita.
"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"
However, I think there is a distinction that needs to be made. You aren’t talking about home field advantage. You’re talking about "Team A > Team B; While Team A is at home."
A team’s record doesn’t directly make a venue difficult to play in. Just because a team is 9-0 doesn’t mean they inherent some sort of advantage. That makes no logical sense. Boise State touts a VERY impressive home record. They’ve also have never hosted a ranked team outside of the WAC.
I think you are misunderstanding my post, because while I completely agree with your sentiment, I’m not sure that was suggested at all. Washington, which is rated #2, actually has the second-worst home record in the seven-span (and even then, only marginally better than Stanford in last place). There is no apparent advantage for ‘SC, which has the best record of them all by any standard. What I sought to do was find out how much better a given team performs (wins or loses) at home based on the actual outcome— I refer to this as “home field advantage.” The more I think about it, the more I stand by my methodology. Take for instance, Oregon State and some BCS school X. Playing Oregon State at a neutral site would be akin to playing Missouri (a comparable team in terms of overall winning percentage), but if you were playing Oregon State at home, that would be like playing Florida (at a neutral site, given that the Gator’s overall winning percentage = OSU home winning percentage)— that’s the “performance boost” I was referring to; it’s a measure of relative advantage, not absolute. Now, what one directly attributes that advantage to, which varies from place to place, team to team, is entirely their own opinion…
IMHO, looking at performance based on yards, scores, etc. is close to meaningless, because the only common objective that ALL teams share— regardless of team strength or quality of opponent— is winning; does anyone care that Cal racked up more total yards (461) than Maryland last season (297)? I am not sure what’s so illogical about that. The # of turnovers or whatever is inconsequential if you lose. The “loudness” of a stadium is irrelevant if your team loses. As I have posed elsewhere, how loud was the Oregon crowd two years ago after Cal beat them?
If you guys really want to study the effects of home field advantage, viewing records isn’t the way. Correlation does not equate causation. Look at what the stadium nose could impact, like False Starts, Delay of Games, burning time outs in inopportune times, miscommunication on routes/plays. Those are your gauges, not records.
This is problematic, because you are once again situating home field advantage— like the initial post, like Ted Miller, like every other fanpost— with stadium nose, as if that were the only (or main or primary) factor (note that noise represents 1/3 of the formula in ragnarok’s post). I do not believe this is necessarily true until I find research that equates decibel levels to actual field performance; heck, I even suggested that loudness could potentially have the opposite effect (see below). Noise is just one of many factors, but it’s the most widely debated because it’s most evident to the common fan from the stands or on tv; too bad we’re not the ones playing the game. In regards to what I was trying to accomplish, I have been very explicit:
I think what I’m really trying to get away from is conventional fan wisdom that states louder equals tougher. There are numerous other factors for players that goes unnoticed by fans, which can include field conditions, sightlines, etc. I think there’s a universal opinion that, on average, the crowd + acoustics at Oregon makes the place louder than all the other stadiums in the Pac-10. However, fifth best home record in the Pac-10 suggests that correlation between loudness and difficulty is a bit overrated.
I think it’s only common sense that there isn’t any attribute to noise that makes one team better, or the other team worse. But it’s also ignorance (Or stubbornness) to not put some value that noise can have on the visiting team. For reasons I already listed.
The # of turnovers or whatever is inconsequential if you lose. The "loudness" of a stadium is irrelevant if your team loses. As I have posed elsewhere, how loud was the Oregon crowd two years ago after Cal beat them?
Agreed, but the “loudness” of the stadium IS a contributing factor. Maybe not much, but it is a factor. To think otherwise is incredibly shortsighted.
What I sought to do was find out how much better a given team performs (wins or loses) at home based on the actual outcome— I refer to this as "home field advantage."
Do you care what type of defense Cal runs? Its irrelevant if they lose.
Do you care that Florida and Oklahoma both led the nation in turnover ratio? Oklahoma lost the MNC game, so is that irrelevant? Is it somehow MORE relevant to Florida?
What you’re talking about is hardly related to the original post. The fact is that noise can be a contributing factor (I already gave two examples, I can undoubtedly find more). At least Wikipedia agrees with my definition of “Home Field Advantage”.
What I sought to do was find out how much better a given team performs (wins or loses) at home based on the actual outcome— I refer to this as "home field advantage."
I find this to be fairly arbitrary. I see no “advantage” in this study. It’s correlations of teams and their performance. Teams aren’t better solely because they happen to play in a stadium. There are several other circumstances, primarily, the quality of the teams playing.
In the late 90s – 2001, Oregon had one of the longest home winning streak. Now maybe Oregon hasn’t sported a team as good as their 2001 team (Which I don’t agree with), but as a program, they’re much better today. It also was the 2001 team that saw the streak break – and it wasn’t the 2001 team that started the streak.
Miami has the most impressive home streak in NCAA football. That ended in the mid 90s. They continued to be a strong power through the early part of the century. But, teams didn’t hate going to Dolphin Stadium because it was Dolphin Stadium. They just hated playing Miami. But the Swamp – that was a destination every team dread to make. Their record isn’t nearly as impressive though.
How about the perspective from a player?
“It was like some sort of crazy torture in the movies,”– Adrian Peterson (Source)
Players enjoy playing in hostile places. “Us Vs. Them”. It can create a new focus for some of them, but as a team, they’re still going to have problems. They enjoy it, because it’s an 56,000+ people they have to overcome. The only thing they enjoy more than playing in a hostile stadium, is shutting them up.
I’m not afraid to see my team take the field in Husky stadium. I would be singing a different tune if they had a team like they did in 2000. It’s the same field, same stadium, same location – nearly every variable is the same except for 1. The quality of the teams, and 2. The attendance.
I’m waaay beyond my bed time, so I hope you can make sense out of it all.
"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"
"hope you can make sense of it all..."
…with evidence based upon a one-source wikipedia entry, and a stunner-of-a-quote from the illustrious archives of ESPN the Magazine(!). Congrats.

Hmm… your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter.
These metrics do not work at all
Do you know why teams have higher win percentages at home? Not only because performance is increased to some degree (marginal at best), but because that’s where they play better teams. They play all their gimme games at home. Measuring home field advantage simply on wins and losses alone is asinine. There are so many factors that go into a football game, that trying to distill what happened from the outcome alone rarely works.
This is why the best teams don’t always have the best records, why teams outperform what would be assumed. For the most part, the best teams have the best yards per play on offense and defense, as well as success rates and points per play. Now, again, a lot of things go into football, so teams that perform very well can have bad breaks hit them, in the forms of turnovers, etc. Most real analysts believe turnovers to be random, so very poor teams can do well if they get lucky and get a lot of turnovers, or vice-versa.
Now, you’ll probably disagree with this, since you stated below that…
IMHO, looking at performance based on yards, scores, etc. is close to meaningless, because the only common objective that ALL teams share— regardless of team strength or quality of opponent— is winning.
But, in my opinion, this view is incredibly naive. It takes out all context of the various situations, and makes everything absolute. This doesn’t work in pretty much any sphere of life, and it most definitely doesn’t work with football.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
Damn
The Ducks are very sensitive about Autzen!
Perhaps a better metric would’ve been to factor in strength of opponent and score differential?
by Avinash Kunnath on Jun 2, 2009 9:08 AM PDT up reply actions
the result of a game
is the cumulative effect of all the factors in a game. That’s all I have to say about that.
Performance at home compared to road is significant. For the same period (2002-2008) in the Pac-10, the difference between average scoring margin for teams at home versus the road is 9.91 points, or roughly a touchdown and a field goal. Oregon is actually below the conference average at 9.24 points (11.64 points at home, +2.41 points on road), well behind Oregon State at 17.36 (14.40 points at home, -2.95 points on road, equals = + 17.36 differential, improvement at home).
I’m not sure what I’ve done to activate the Oregon fanbase. I fully recognize any limitations in the data and have already expressed that earlier in the comments section, but I stand firm on my methodology. However, rhetoric like calling my view “ignorant,” “stubborn,” “incredibly shortsighted” and now “naive” is not effective strategy to either advance criticism or encourage healthy debate.
Rather than languish on my failures, I would suggest Duck fans to come up recommendations on how to find a better methodology and, here’s the key, actually simulate the data and post your findings. Actions speak louder than words.
BTW, a parting shot, I have established several other methods for finding relative home advantage. Oregon is nowhere near the top in any of them. Part of the reason is explained above, because for all of Oregon’s recent success, the critical factor has actually been road performance, which ranks third in the Pac-10 (USC +19.1, Cal +7.54, UO +2.41, also winning percentage: USC 85.7%, Cal 58.5%, UO 54.8%) compared to fifth at home (USC +24.9, Cal +15.05, OSU +14.40, ASU +12.04, UO +11.64).
First, this has absolutely nothing to do with Oregon vs. any other schools. I just think that this is an incredibly poor way to measure home and road performance.
Next, you say that all the factors in the game go into winning and losing. They is very true. But then you try to equate a fairly meaningless factor in the grand scheme of things, such as home field advantage, and equate that directly to winning and losing, or point differential. This just doesn’t work, statistically or logically.
Take for example, OSU. It is simply laughable to think that OSU is 17 points different on the road and at home. While home field advantage is important, it isn’t even close to that important. Someone much smarter (and with more time) than any of us attempted to do a statistical analysis of this by taking into account strength of schedule, (which Avanish talked about above), and noting the fact that most patsie games are played at home, came up with the number of 3.3 points, right around where Vegas puts it. This sounds incredibly realistic to me. The whole article is worth a read.
But really, without any factor for strength of schedule and other vitally important variables, these numbers are essentially meaningless. They do not provide a good basis to make a conclusion. There is nothing in the data that makes it sound to compare the home/road records of one team to another. You need to adjust the data so that it is comparable from one team to the next, just like you have the OPS+ and ERA+ in baseball to compare between ballparks. Now, I sure as hell am not gonna do that research, because I don’t want to use that time. But if your data is to be taken seriously, this needs to be addressed. But just because I don’t have an answer to this question, doesn’t mean my questioning of your methodology is unfounded.
In my mind, home field advantage is almost entirely intangible. It’s also mostly psychological. I think that noise and fan excitement are the two most important factors, because they can energize a home team, and can hamper the other team. But that said, good teams can use that as motivation of fighting against the world. It’s fun to think that we as fans make a difference, but it’s really not that big a difference.
--AddictedToQuack, SBNation's Oregon Ducks blog
I’d like to meet this Avanish fellow someday. Seems like a smart guy.
by Avinash Kunnath on Jun 2, 2009 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Rather than languish on my failures, I would suggest Duck fans to come up recommendations on how to find a better methodology and, here’s the key, actually simulate the data and post your findings. Actions speak louder than words.
I’ve already described a better methodology, and you immediately dismissed it because it was to centric on noise. To simulate the data would simply be too time consuming, and would require too much time, as it relates to information that is not statistically tracked, and one would have to watch every game, and track the data independently.
Advantage implies something one team has over the other. Sightlines aren’t applicable. Weather conditions aren’t applicable. So many factors aren’t applicable because both teams share the same field, and swap. Oregon @ Cal last year, the field conditions were awful, both played one of their worst games of the year. So what is it about a place that gives the team the advantage? I’m willing to be told what these variables are.
Cal went 7-0 at home last year. Now they have home field advantage? Why? What is it about 7-0 that gives them a home field advantage? From your methodology, the reason why they have a home field advantage is because they went 7-0 at home. What is the advantage? HOW is 7-0 an advantage?
The impact noise has in game is relatively small, but it can create situations can that make it difficult for the other team. Advantage? Home team. However, these situations are nothing a team cannot overcome. It’s nothing any team shouldn’t be able to over come. But if I can cause a false start, or make the QB burn a time out midway in the 3rd quarter – I’m game.
However, rhetoric like calling my view "ignorant," "stubborn," "incredibly shortsighted" and now "naive" is not effective strategy to either advance criticism or encourage healthy debate.
From my perspective, it is intentionally no slight to you. You’ve described some things very clearly, and are well written. Your view/opinion/methodology is where the problem lies, and how you have handled the discussion. You’ve refused to refute points with some sort of basis, that’s stubbornness. To refuse the impact noise has in a game when examples have been given that it DOES have an impact, is shortsightedness. I mean no offense, but from my perspective, you’re sticking your fingers in your ear and going “la la la la la” when it comes to addressing our points.
"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"
Quack!
With Oregon you forgot to mention those horrible quackers that everybody is blowing into. They’re much louder and more obnoxious than a person yelling… which really pisses me off. I can’t remember if it was last year or 2 years ago, but do you guys remember when the Pac-10 wouldn’t allow us to hand out plastic megaphones for one of our games, calling them “artificial noisemakers”? Funny, cause every UO fan seems to have an artificial noisemaker.
Also, I think you’re understating the horrible Oregon weather. Does anybody remember the 1996 road trip to Eugene? I have never been so soaked in my life. And those bastards wouldn’t even let the band stand up because we were blocking some peoples’ view.
From the rulebook:
Rule 9; Section 2;
Unsportsmanlike Acts
ARTICLE 1. There shall be no unsportsmanlike conduct or any act
that interferes with orderly game administration on the part of players,
substitutes, coaches, authorized attendants or any other persons subject to
the rules, before the game, during the game or between periods.
6. Persons subject to the rules, including bands, shall not create any
noise that prohibits a team from hearing its signals (Rule 1-1-6).
PENALTY—Dead-ball foul. 15 yards [S7 and S27] from the succeeding
spot. Flagrant offenders, if players or substitutes, shall be
disqualified [S47].
Nothing about artificial noisemakers specifically, though I personally think they are dumb. This is kinda funny though, as I remember hearing rules about noisemakers. A while ago, they stopped giving out those plastic tubes that you slap together.
"It’s spelled S-H-U-F-E-L-T-M-E-U-P"

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