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Inside The Numbers - 2008 Football Season

Yes, I know exactly what you are saying.  What?  Another serious number-crunching, statistically-minded post from the California Golden Blogs?  When are they going to take things a bit more lightly?  Why always so serious?

Well, I apologize.  I'm sorry that yet again we've dispensed with the inane to bring you the hard-hitting internet journalissimo that you've come to expect from the California Golden Blogs.  I mean, as I always say, we are dealing with two of the most important, most sacrosanct entities out there:  college football and the internet.

Neither are laughing matters! 

So, if you want a few laughs, a few chuckles, a few guffaws, like usual, perhaps this isn't the blog for you.  Well, except for this joke here:

A tree walks into a bar.  The bartender, upset, asks it to leaf.

Were I knowledgeable about the sound one makes when enjoying a mirthful situation, I would make it here now.  I would make it out loud.  And were there an internet acronym for experiencing a mirthful situation audibly and loudly, I would use it. 

Failing that, let's just look at the season stats for the 2008 Cal football team.  With signing day tomorrow, we have 2009 on the horizon.  Time to close the books on 2008!

Star-divide

All stats are from here

 

             2008 California Football
CAL Overall Team Statistics (as of Dec 27, 2008)
All games

TEAM STATISTICS CAL OPP
--------------------------------------------------------
SCORING....................... 424 259
Points Per Game............. 32.6 19.9
FIRST DOWNS................... 230 229
Rushing..................... 97 95
Passing..................... 110 115
Penalty..................... 23 19
RUSHING YARDAGE............... 2421 1589
Yards gained rushing........ 2786 2056
Yards lost rushing.......... 365 467
Rushing Attempts............ 435 495
Average Per Rush............ 5.6 3.2
Average Per Game............ 186.2 122.2
TDs Rushing................. 22 16
PASSING YARDAGE............... 2467 2509
Att-Comp-Int................ 397-209-10 432-223-24
Average Per Pass............ 6.2 5.8
Average Per Catch........... 11.8 11.3
Average Per Game............ 189.8 193.0
TDs Passing................. 25 12
TOTAL OFFENSE................. 4888 4098
Total Plays................. 832 927
Average Per Play............ 5.9 4.4
Average Per Game............ 376.0 315.2
KICK RETURNS: #-Yards......... 43-877 66-1352
PUNT RETURNS: #-Yards......... 38-448 23-284
INT RETURNS: #-Yards.......... 24-419 10-184
KICK RETURN AVERAGE........... 20.4 20.5
PUNT RETURN AVERAGE........... 11.8 12.3
INT RETURN AVERAGE............ 17.5 18.4
FUMBLES-LOST.................. 16-9 28-10
PENALTIES-Yards............... 77-649 75-647
Average Per Game............ 49.9 49.8
PUNTS-Yards................... 74-3087 79-3190
Average Per Punt............ 41.7 40.4
Net punt average............ 36.0 33.2
TIME OF POSSESSION/Game....... 29:06 30:47
3RD-DOWN Conversions.......... 47/159 61/197
3rd-Down Pct................ 30% 31%
4TH-DOWN Conversions.......... 5/14 7/22
4th-Down Pct................ 36% 32%
SACKS BY-Yards................ 35-270 25-183
MISC YARDS.................... 75 4
TOUCHDOWNS SCORED............. 54 33
FIELD GOALS-ATTEMPTS.......... 15-21 10-17
ON-SIDE KICKS................. 0-6 2-6
RED-ZONE SCORES............... 84-102 82% 60-88 68%
RED-ZONE TOUCHDOWNS........... 60-102 59% 42-88 48%
PAT-ATTEMPTS.................. 53-53 100% 31-32 97%
ATTENDANCE.................... 862874 520594
Games/Avg Per Game.......... 14/61634 10/52059
Neutral Site Games.......... 2/42268

SCORE BY QUARTERS 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Total
-------------------- --- --- --- --- ---
CAL................. 108 124 81 111 - 424
Opponents........... 40 65 86 68 - 259

 

 

 

First thing of note.  First downs.

FIRST DOWNS...................          230          229

We average about 13 more points a game, but only had 1 more first down the entire year than our opponents?!?!?!?  Well, what does that mean?  Either we were scoring explosively or our D was bending, but not breaking.  Or both!  Methinks, its a little from column A, a little from column B.  Even with all of our offensive woes, we had a strangely explosive offense.  One Best run here.  One Vereen run there.  Then, our D would come in with Bob Gregory's classic Bend, But Don't Break.  That makes sense when you think about it, but seeing it in black and white was interesting.

 

More indication of that interesting situation:

TIME OF POSSESSION/Game.......        29:06        30:47

Sort of speaks for itself there.  Strangely explosive, yet at times mediocre offense with a staunch bend, but don't break D.

Two more notes.  One, we actually gave up more yards through the air than we had.  Considering our staunch D, especially aerially, for most of the year (save a few games like MSU and Arizona), this reflects poorly upon the passing offense.

 

Also, we only had 3ish more yards of air attack than ground attack per game.  Another sign of a great rush attack and a not so good air attack.

 

RUSHING         GP  Att Gain Loss  Net   Avg  TD Long Avg/G
-----------------------------------------------------------
Best, Jahvid 12 194 1653 73 1580 8.1 15 86 131.7
Vereen, Shane 13 142 754 39 715 5.0 4 81 55.0
Slocum, Tracy 11 22 132 7 125 5.7 1 24 11.4
Ross, Jeremy 13 10 72 10 62 6.2 0 41 4.8
Geurts, Peter 3 7 48 1 47 6.7 0 27 15.7
Ta'ufo'ou, Will 13 4 26 0 26 6.5 0 21 2.0
Mansion, Brock 2 3 13 0 13 4.3 1 7 6.5
Young, Sean 10 1 2 0 2 2.0 0 2 0.2
Boateng, Nyan 13 1 0 0 0 0.0 0 0 0.0
Tyndall, John 11 1 0 1 -1 -1.0 0 0 -0.1
WILLIAMS, W. 13 1 0 2 -2 -2.0 0 0 -0.2
TEAM 12 11 0 24 -24 -2.2 0 0 -2.0
Riley, Kevin 11 30 86 142 -56 -1.9 1 27 -5.1
Longshore, Nate 13 8 0 66 -66 -8.2 0 0 -5.1
Total.......... 13 435 2786 365 2421 5.6 22 86 186.2
Opponents...... 13 495 2056 467 1589 3.2 16 59 122.2

What do we take away from here?  Jahvid Best is good.  I mean really good.  I am sort of stunned at the low average that Vereen had.  Only 55 yards a game?  I could have sworn he would have more.  Especially considering he started the ASU game when Best was out.  He only had 50 fewer carries than Best.  And he has a lower average rush per game than Slocum.  This is not to speak ill of Vereen, he is clearly a great back.  And Slocum is talented.  And comparing Vereen to Best is not fair, considering how amazing Best is.

I could see Slocum transferring.  He is clearly very talented.  He has 2 stud backs ahead of him.  He has a lot of talent coming up behind him, like Deboskie and Yarnway.  Montgomery saw the same situation and gtfo'd.  Could Slocum do the same?

 

PASSING         GP   Effic Cmp-Att-Int   Pct  Yds  TD Lng Avg/G
---------------------------------------------------------------
Riley, Kevin 11 117.85 112-221-6 50.7 1360 14 59 123.6
Longshore, Nate 13 125.78 93-164-4 56.7 1051 10 74 80.8
Mansion, Brock 2 86.40 3-6-0 50.0 26 0 10 13.0
TEAM 12 0.00 0-4-0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0
Vereen, Shane 13 0.00 0-1-0 0.0 0 0 0 0.0
Ross, Jeremy 13 682.00 1-1-0 100.0 30 1 30 2.3
Total.......... 13 120.59 209-397-10 52.6 2467 25 74 189.8
Opponents...... 13 98.46 223-432-24 51.6 2509 12 63 193.0

 

I was excited to see the stats here, until I actually saw the stats here.  I mean this is the big thing, right?  Nate v. Kevin!  Kevin v. Nate!  How much money, how much time, has been spent on this.  And, looking at the numbers, Jeremy Ross should be the QB!  Efficiency rating of 682.  Now, that is impressive!

Learn more about the efficiency rating here.    Here is the list of the Top 100 QBs by rating.

Kevin Riley is 79th behind Chris Turner at Maryland.  Longshore is not listed, oddly.  It says you have to have played in 75% of games with minimum of 15 snaps per game.  I feel like he did that, but perhaps not?  His 125 rating would put him at 60th right behind Riley Skinner of Wake Forest and before the QB at Akron!  Akron!  These aren't exactly luminaries of the QB world. 

If I had to choose who was better, its tough.  Riley had more opportunities, so he racked up more counting stats.  But his completion percentage is 7% worse.  Ai!  His average yards per game is better, tho, by a healthy margin.  So, there are conflicting numbers all over the place.

Long story short, I think it's safe to say that Cal didn't obtain the QB play that it would have liked.  Perhaps some of it stems from youth and inexperience at WR.  But not ALL of it can be attributed to that.  Some of the blame has to fall squarely on the shoulders of Nate and Kevin.  Hopefully, the QB next year (most likely Riley) will improve.  Honestly, it'd be tough not to.

 

 

RECEIVING       GP  No.  Yds   Avg  TD Long Avg/G
-------------------------------------------------
Boateng, Nyan 13 29 439 15.1 5 53 33.8
Morrah, Cameron 13 27 326 12.1 8 50 25.1
Best, Jahvid 12 27 246 9.1 1 42 20.5
Vereen, Shane 13 27 221 8.2 1 59 17.0
Tucker, Verran 10 21 362 17.2 3 74 36.2
CUNNINGHAM, L. 13 18 276 15.3 1 35 21.2
Ross, Jeremy 13 17 210 12.4 2 29 16.2
Young, Sean 10 17 192 11.3 1 42 19.2
Calvin, Michael 4 8 103 12.9 0 23 25.8
Ta'ufo'ou, Will 13 7 27 3.9 1 5 2.1
Smith, Tad 12 3 23 7.7 1 9 1.9
Slocum, Tracy 11 2 0 0.0 0 2 0.0
Smith, Zach 9 1 10 10.0 0 10 1.1
Glover, Drew 2 1 9 9.0 0 9 4.5
Jones, Marvin 5 1 8 8.0 0 8 1.6
Stroud, Alex 1 1 7 7.0 0 7 7.0
Riley, Kevin 11 1 6 6.0 0 6 0.5
Miller, Anthony 10 1 2 2.0 1 2 0.2
Total.......... 13 209 2467 11.8 25 74 189.8
Opponents...... 13 223 2509 11.3 12 63 193.0

 

 

 

Anthony Miller.  1 Reception.  2 yards.  1 TD.  Nice!

But besides that delightful footnote, you know it's not promising when 3 out of the top 4 receivers are not wide.  Morrah, a TE, and the RB double headed attack are 2,3, and 4.  Only Boateng is ahead of them.  And he averaged 15 yards a game.  Our #1 receiver averaged 33 yards a game.  Tucker did average 4 more a game, but he came on later in the year, so his overall year stats are not as strong.  There really isn't a lot to say here, the numbers (or lack thereof) speak for themselves.  And, are not, in any way surprising.

 

 

I am going to discuss the Defensive players here, because the D tables sometimes create odd situations for the text below them.  Not sure why.

The top guys are about what you'd expect for tackles.  3 LBs.  That's solid.  In 2007, our top tackler was DeCoud, a S.  Not as good.  I am a bit surprised at how far down Worrell Williams is, but there were a lot of great players playing around him.  Gobbling up tackles and the ilk. 

BTW, check out Pain Trains numbers.  23 TFLs!  As a linebacker. And 10.5 sacks.  He had more sacks than Jordan and Alualu combined.  Crazzy!  Thats about 240 lost yards from Pain Train alone!  Speaking of cartoonish numbers, SydGOD only had 4 interceptions on the year (tough to pick a ball when nobody is throwing to you), but had 128 yars on those 4 ints.  And 14 pass break ups.  He'd always seem to get a hand in on the last second there.

Some great numbers down there.  Hopefully, things won't drop off too much next year.  What numbers intrigue and interest you?  Tell us below!  And Go Bears!

             |--------Tackles--------| |-Sacks-| |---Pass Def---| |-Fumbles-| Blkd
DEFENSIVE LEADERS GP Solo Ast Total TFL/Yds No-Yds Int-Yds BrUp QBH Rcv-Yds FF Kick Saf
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 Felder, Anthony 13 37 56 93 5.5-14 0.5-3 1-15 1 2 . 1 . .
56 Follett, Zack 13 58 29 87 23.0-138 10.5-99 . 4 4 1-0 5 . .
18 MOHAMED, M. 13 51 36 87 6.0-22 3.0-16 3-30 2 3 2-3 1 . .
5 THOMPSON, S. 13 41 29 70 7.5-26 2.0-17 4-128 14 . . . . .
29 Ezeff, Marcus 13 36 30 66 1.0-1 . 3-78 6 . 1-0 . . .
1 WILLIAMS, W. 13 25 39 64 5.0-20 1.0-10 1-50 6 . 1-0 . . .
44 Alualu, Tyson 13 21 41 62 11.0-66 6.0-51 . 2 6 . 2 . .
26 Hagan, Darian 13 38 18 56 2.5-4 . 3-12 15 . 1-0 1 . .
97 Jordan, Cameron 12 26 21 47 11.0-29 4.0-17 1-3 . 2 2-7 1 . .
25 Johnson, Brett 12 25 18 43 . . 2-62 3 . . 1 1 .
9 Young, Eddie 12 18 22 40 1.5-4 0.5-3 1-17 . . . 1 . .
76 Hill, Derrick 13 4 25 29 2.5-4 0.5-1 . 1 . . . . .
17 Conte, Chris 12 15 13 28 1.0-5 . 1-0 7 . . . . .
2 Hicks, Bernard 6 14 9 23 . . 1-0 1 . . . . .
94 Davis, Rulon 9 8 11 19 5.5-33 4.0-28 . 2 3 . 2 1 .
30 KENDRICKS. M. 13 8 7 15 1.0-10 1.0-10 . . . . . 1 .
98 Kane, Mika 13 4 10 14 0.5-1 . . . . . . . .
0C Holt, D.J. 12 9 5 14 1.0-1 . . . . . . . .

 

Poll
Were these numbers surprising to you or about what you'd expect?
Not surprising.
57 votes
Very surprising, I thought they'd be better.
4 votes
Very surprising, I thought they'd be worse.
9 votes

70 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 21 comments |

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Some individual stats are high on the all-time single season list

Pain Train’s 23 TFLs ties the 3rd best single season total in CAL history (Sekou Sanyika, 1998); Ron Rivera had 26.5 in 1983 and Duane Clemons had 26 in 1995. We could asterisk the Pain Train, saying his 23 came in 13 games while Rivera, Clemons, and Sanyika posted their numbers in 11-game seasons. But Pain Train might hurt me if I did that.

Pain Train’s 10.5 sacks are T-8th highest single season total (Clemons also had 10.5 in 1995).

The “passes broken up” numbers of Syd’GOD and Hagan are pretty good. Hagan’s 15 and Syd’s 14 rank as the 3rd and 4th highest single season totals in CAL history (behind Harrison Smith’s 18 in 2004 and Jemeel Powell’s 16 in 2000).

Jahvid’s 15 rushing TDs tied for the most in a season in CAL history (Arrington 2004, Forsett 2007). And his 1,580 yards are the 2nd highest all time total for a single season (behind Arrington 2004, obviously).

One more thing on Best — if I’m remembering them all correctly, he had 7 runs of 60 or more yards this seasons. SEVEN. I haven’t seen a record kept on that, but I suspect there haven’t been many to post a stat like that in CAL football history.

Jahvid Best for Heisman, Doak Walker, and Party Yacht Captain!

by Ohio Bear on Feb 3, 2009 6:09 AM PST reply actions  

Thanks for the information. It’s odd how people were so down on this team at times, yet we had some amazing players performing at amazing levels on it.

TYRANNICAL KING OF UC EUGENE! BRING ME THE HEAD OF SEATTLE QUACKER!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Feb 3, 2009 7:35 AM PST up reply actions  

Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore Riley-Longshore…

Not really that amazing.

by BearsNecessity on Feb 3, 2009 11:46 AM PST up reply actions  

I think I consumed 5.3 beers/pregame and 1.2 different types of meat cooked/pregame.

Tedford...if you're reading this...I'LL WORK FOR FREE! I'll fill out your Coach's Poll!

by carp on Feb 3, 2009 7:30 AM PST reply actions  

and posted 3.7 NSFW pictures a dbd

the Maharg is above catch phrases

by Maharg on Feb 3, 2009 9:59 AM PST up reply actions  

of which, 1.4 were of Allison Stokke…..which leads the team

I left my heart at the Durant Food Court

by dballisloose on Feb 3, 2009 1:11 PM PST up reply actions  

Thanks, Twist

Can’t really complain about the defensive numbers. Very solid all around, if not necessarily spectacular.

And the offensive numbers don’t look too bad either, except for one thing: third-down effiiciency. Thirty percent stinks, and that is directly related to the low numbers for first downs and time of possession. It likewise is tied to the mediocre passing game: better quarterback (and receivers) play next year is an absolute must if Cal is going to compete for a conference title. But it’s not like we didn’t know that already.

One mild surprise above: Bryan Anger didn’t give the Bears much of an advantage in the punting game. After quarterback-receivers play, Cal’s kick coverage (and returns) is the area most in need of improvement. That, and the 3rd quarter.

Go Bears!

by California Pete on Feb 3, 2009 7:59 AM PST reply actions  

35 sacks…that has to be like 3x what we had last year.

Loves both the ambiance and the decor.

by Spazzy Mcgee on Feb 3, 2009 12:17 PM PST reply actions  

Same with INTs

You ain't got it like Marshawn got it

by Thoroughbred on Feb 3, 2009 12:52 PM PST up reply actions  

I think we could run a zillion stat analyses and basically just come up with 2008 DEFENSE EQUALS MORE GOODER

Loves both the ambiance and the decor.

by Spazzy Mcgee on Feb 3, 2009 12:55 PM PST up reply actions  

Cal was quite a bit more dominant then I had thought this past year

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Feb 3, 2009 5:28 PM PST reply actions  

Well, in some cases, yes. But then you look at the air numbers and it doesn’t look good. So, it was a mixed bag.

TYRANNICAL KING OF UC EUGENE! BRING ME THE HEAD OF SEATTLE QUACKER!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Feb 3, 2009 6:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Very few close games

Cal’s 9 wins were generally not close games, which made the stats perhaps seem more impressive. At the same time, the loses were not all that close either (at least in the sense that it didn’t seem like Cal was going to win in those games).

by norcalnick on Feb 3, 2009 7:53 PM PST up reply actions  

Maryland was never that close. Arizona was close for the first half. USC was close the entire game. OSU was fairly close up until the end there. So, I felt like we had chances in 3 out 4 of those losses.

TYRANNICAL KING OF UC EUGENE! BRING ME THE HEAD OF SEATTLE QUACKER!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Feb 3, 2009 7:55 PM PST up reply actions  

close in the sense that I never felt like we were going to win

at least against OSU, USC, Maryland, and the last 20 minutes of Arizona.

Maybe I’m just cynical!

by norcalnick on Feb 3, 2009 8:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Considering that you picked out the exact same stats that I did below and both went to Campo and are both terrible, terrible mandolin players (most likely), it frustrates me that you disagree with me now. What went so wrong, NorCalNick? What went so wrong?

TYRANNICAL KING OF UC EUGENE! BRING ME THE HEAD OF SEATTLE QUACKER!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Feb 3, 2009 8:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Not cynical

Just a seasoned Bear fan, like me. Sigh.

by LovinBlue on Feb 3, 2009 9:24 PM PST up reply actions  

Fun with strange stats!

Scoring:
Cal: 424
Opponents: 259

First Downs:
Cal: 230
Opponents: 229

Turnovers, big plays, and bend but don’t break for the win!!!

by norcalnick on Feb 3, 2009 7:55 PM PST reply actions  

Kind of predictable...

…QB roulette + only 8 catches from the entire WR corps coming into the year = craptastic 3rd down performance. The biggest automatic improvement will come with the more experienced wideouts catching a veto majority of passes from one QB. More experience breeds consistency, which combined with working with the same passer should improve those 3rd down numbers. And they have to, otherwise everybody in America will stack 9 in the box to stuff Best.

by VandyImport on Feb 3, 2009 9:42 PM PST reply actions  

In my limited exposure to Cal football this year it was the lack of a 3rd down threat

It seemed like any 3rd and long situation (basically, a situation where logically handing off to Best wasn’t the best option, even though realistically it probably was) the Bears were in was almost a guaranteed 4th down/turnover. And you’re right, if Cal can find ONE starting QB and one backup QB this year, the returning experience at WR (and I hear you may have a good freshman signing tomorrow, I can’t quite pull the name though), and this will improve.

I will go on record right now saying I expect Cal to finish 3rd in the Pac10 next year, maybe 2nd given the question marks on Oregon’s defense

I support Takimoto in his effort to support Roger Kieschnick in his quest to becoming the best Kieschnick ever to play professional baseball.

by The VD Special on Feb 3, 2009 11:31 PM PST up reply actions  

The fact is that...

In the latter half of the season giving Best the ball on 3rd and 15 was a 1st down at least 70% of the time. And if not 4 and 10 was also doable by Best.

It’s amazing when you think about it

In other words, Go Bears!

by royrules22 on Feb 3, 2009 11:55 PM PST up reply actions  

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