Golden Nuggets: Should Best Declare Early?
Gary Peterson says Best's decision to leave for the NFL should be an easy one. He would be shocked if Best didn't declare college football Sanchez.
It's an easy call all the way. Short-term, he hasn't practiced since his heart-stopping injury on Nov. 7, the one that left him with a severe concussion and a sore back. Best-case scenario, pun marginally intended, he'd have five days of practice to knock off 40 days of rust. That's an overly ambitious timetable.
It's especially overambitious in that Best's most concerning injury is the one to his brain. He fell from a height of more than six feet, landing on his back and head with enough force to cause his helmet to come shooting off like a cork propelled from a champagne bottle.
There are times when you can rush a guy back from a sprain, or a strain or even an arthroscopic procedure. There are times when doctors tell a player, "You can't make it worse. So if you can handle the pain, you're good to go."
None of that applies to what happened to Best. Trying to rush him back — and this would have been rushing him back — would have been a mistake. But, you say, it's the Poinsettia Bowl! Doesn't matter. Whatever the bowl and no matter the stakes, the timing isn't right.
But, you say, he has to come back to prove to the NFL that he's fully recovered! Not really. Doctors forecast a complete recovery, so ultimately his concussion should be no more worrisome to NFL teams than the hip injury that forced him to miss spring practice in 2008 or the foot and elbow surgeries he had last offseason. Whatever concerns they have can be alleviated at the scouting combine, where prospective draftees are weighed, measured, drilled and subjected to psychological testing. Even a personal workout would do the trick.
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Best has taken the first step toward a pro career, contacting the NFL advisory committee to gauge his draft prospects. Draft expert Phil Steele already has Best pegged as the No. 4 running back in next spring's draft. The fourth running back chosen last spring was LeSean McCoy, by Philadelphia late in the second round. According to reports, McCoy signed a four-year, $3.48 million contract ($1.73 million guaranteed).
No doubt Best will want to consult his inner circle on that as well.
Best: Do you think I could live on $1.73 million guaranteed?
Inner circle: That's more than you're making now, last time we checked.
Best: Yeah, me too.
After the jump we look at Tedford's pre-pre-bowl press conference, a strange list of the most exciting bowl games, an update from the last practice in Memorial in 2009, and more. Best of all, we have some comments from Bill Cosby on the EagleBank Bowl.
Cal Football
- At yesterday's press conference, Tedford talked about preparing for Utah, Best's absence, Vereen's role, and Syd's ankle injury.
- After yesterday's practice, Riley says there is no shortage of motivation to beat Utah. JO talked to Tedford, who is so comfortable with Ludwig as OC that he doesn't call any plays anymore. In previous years, Tedford used to call a handful of plays each game.
- Oregon St and Cal have a lot in common as they each ended the season with disappointing losses and both face tough MWC teams in their bowls.
- SFGate has a mind-boggling list of the most exciting bowls. I'm not saying it's a great bowl, but the Cal-Utah matchup came in at 29th. I don't know how any of these bowls were rated as high was they were: UCLA-Temple (19), Northwestern-Auburn (10), Kentucky-Clemson (9), Texas A&M-Georgia (5?!).
- I don't care if he was talking about UCLA, Oregon, or Washington St, there is no way I would pass up posting a link about Bill Cosby smack-talking a Pac-10 school (UCLA in this case). Puddin pops!
Cosby said he has watched Big Ten teams lose in the Rose Bowl, noting "those poor kids from Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, come to Southern California, and they load them up on steak. Then they take them to Hollywood and Vine and show them the stars. Then they take them to Disneyland to meet Mickey Mouse, Snow White, Dopey and Goofy, and then they lose."
...
"We're bringing reality to the California people coming to our East Coast, where they can sit in the stand at 26 degrees at RFK" Stadium, Cosby said. "The little avocado people can go to Ben's Chili Bowl to warm up."
And just because I had the opportunity:
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21 comments
Comments
Or don't! That's cool too!
"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.
It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0
by AERose on Dec 18, 2009 6:00 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You really want him to go, don’t you?
"Today's weather, excessively violent with a chance of dismemberment. Tune in later for our 5-day forecast!"
~ Three Dog - Fallout 3
by Swamphunter on Dec 19, 2009 12:52 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I want it to be January 16th, so the discussion can end completely. Other than that, I’m not especially a partisan.
"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.
It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0
by AERose on Dec 19, 2009 2:19 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I've been to Ben's Chili Bowl
… and it sucked. Chill place to hang out and look at celebrity pictures on the wall (a la Pink’s in LA), but that’s it. If I want a good chili dog, it won’t be there.
… It’ll be at Tommy’s. I haven’t had chili as good as the heart-stopping thick stuff from Tommy’s in LA. If it ain’t from the shack, take it back.
/chilirant
by EchoOfSilence on Dec 18, 2009 8:15 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I don’t think it would surprise any of us if Best jumped to the NFL. But from a strictly financial point of view, I’m not sure it’s as clear-cut as Peterson suggests.
Following Peterson’s reasoning, let’s for the sake of argument say Best enters the draft this year and gets selected sometime in the second round. Based on this year’s crop of rookies, Best could then expect to get roughly $2-3 million guaranteed. If he has a bunch of good workouts for the scouts and moves into the latter part of the first round, then maybe he’s looking at significantly more money, in the $6-10 million range, a la our own Alex Mack. In short, by returning for his senior year, Best would put potentially several million dollars on the table at risk of being lost to a career-threatening injury.
There’s another sort of risk, though, in not returning to Cal. It’s entirely possible that Best’s NFL career never takes off, due to injury and/or ineffectiveness. He certainly wouldn’t be the first college star to not shine on Sundays. Thus his rookie contract might be his one big pay-day as a professional. What he potentially gives up, then, by not returning for his senior year is the chance to boost his draft status. There is no guarantee, obviously, that would happen, but a healthy, Heisman-worthy campaign in 2010 might be enough to lauch him into the upper half of the first round of the 2011 draft, where he’d be looking at $15-20 million in guaranteed money—maybe even more.
With all the uncertainty involved, there is no correct answer. If one is highly risk averse, then take the money this year and run—“a bird in the hand …” and all that jazz. But if one is looking to maximize total career earnings, then returning for a senior season can make sense if you think there’s a good chance you’ll boost your draft status the following year. By doing so, the payoff can be huge.
It seems to me that if Best is confident he’d be picked in the first round, then he should declare for the draft this year. But if thinks he might slip into the much less lucrative second round, then the smart decision—even from a purely financial point of view—might actually be to return for his senior year. I’m hardly the first person to make this argument, but as long as columnists such as Peterson continue to think so myopically, the argument bears repeating.
Go Bears!
by California Pete on Dec 18, 2009 8:22 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
I don’t want him to be injured and lose out on potential millions. He’s been our marquee big time player these last two years and kept us in the national spotlight.
I think it might be better if Best’s stock has dropped a bit. Being a late first rounder, or rather not an immediate pick, makes him more likely to be taken by a team not in need for a complete season changer. If Best is taken by a team that has a good O-line and looking to add to an arsenal of good players, then he’ll be hitting home runs in no time.
On the Cal side of things, Vereen is more than capable of stepping in. The O-line might still be questionable next year, so it’s important to have big guys like Deboskie and Langston Jackson step in too. Not to mention a new fullback, but a Kapp on the field for Cal is always a good thing.
18 to Cheeseboard
by JrBear on Dec 18, 2009 8:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
makes him more likely to be taken
ugh still brain cramping from finals
18 to Cheeseboard
by JrBear on Dec 18, 2009 8:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
How does the restructuring of the rookie contracts affect his decision? WOuldn’t that make it more prudent for him to come out this year?
President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on Dec 18, 2009 10:27 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I have no clue. But I’ve been hearing that argument, too, for about 20 years, and the divide between first- and second-round just seems to keep growing and growing. Personally, I blame it on all you lawyer types. :-)
Go Bears!
by California Pete on Dec 19, 2009 7:12 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
This.
He won’t make nearly as much next year after the re-structuring. That said, it’s not purely a money issue, and i think he should go now.
Also, I think it might be better for him to be drafted in the second round – it might give him more of a chance to learn the game instead of just being thrown to the wolves on day one. Maybe it’ll allow him to emerge like Michael Turner, spending time as a backup, building up skill and strength, and ready to pop on the scene when he’s ready. We don’t want him to flame out like so many have, or to end up like Reggie Bush, who is still a sizeable part of his team, but mentally suffered when his expectations didn’t meet up with real life in the NFL.
CGB: Wasting Your Potential, Your Time, & Your Life Since 2006.
by BearStage on Dec 22, 2009 12:57 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
29. Poinsettia Bowl, Utah (9-3) vs. Cal (8-4), Wednesday, 5 p.m.: Two teams coming off bad losses. One likely won’t show up. This can’t possibly measure up to other fine offerings on the tube like “So You Think You Can Dance” or “Bad Girls Club.”
This is what is known as ‘a bad joke’ and ‘mailing it in.’
If their college football writer actually prefers So You Think You Can Dance to a bowl game the Chron need to find a new writer.
The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS
by norcalnick on Dec 18, 2009 10:37 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
To be fair
Those dancers are pretty crazy.
Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com
by Avinash on Dec 19, 2009 1:33 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And those girls are pretty bad!
President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on Dec 19, 2009 8:06 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
And their club is especially full of girls.
by sec119 on Dec 19, 2009 8:40 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
They’re not a real CFB fan if they say dumb stuff like that.
"Today's weather, excessively violent with a chance of dismemberment. Tune in later for our 5-day forecast!"
~ Three Dog - Fallout 3
by Swamphunter on Dec 19, 2009 1:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently not dancing fans, either, because the show’s finale was last week.
Go Bears!
by California Pete on Dec 19, 2009 7:13 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
cal pete for the win!
Go Bears Go
by Rocksanddirt on Dec 19, 2009 8:07 AM PST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Ahaha, pwnt.
"Today's weather, excessively violent with a chance of dismemberment. Tune in later for our 5-day forecast!"
~ Three Dog - Fallout 3
by Swamphunter on Dec 19, 2009 1:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
thought it was just me
glad others had the same reaction to that stoopid list….didn’t even rise to vaunted mailing it in level…it made me look at the byline to see who the writer was…new name to me, but then I don’t really track activity at the Titanic, er, Chronicle much…sheesh
"It's on the ROOF, oh yeah, one hundred PROOF, oh yeah....."
by TKE Prytanis 79 on Dec 19, 2009 8:08 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Ridiculous quote from the Cosby article
Comparing Cosby to Mark Harmon:
The two celebrities are arguably near-equals. Cosby has had television success (“The Cosby Show”) and movie duds (“Ghost Dad”). Harmon has had television success (“NCIS”) and movie duds (“Beyond the Poseidon Adventure”).
Really? Bill Cosby is on the same level as Mark Harmon? The man was one of the most influential and successful comics of his time. He was the first Black actor to star in a television drama. He created and starred in the television show of the 80’s.
Electric Company.
A Different World.
Fat Albert and the Cosby Kids.
I Spy.
Picture Pages.
…and he’s equal to Mark Harmon???
Yeah, ok.
CGB: Wasting Your Potential, Your Time, & Your Life Since 2006.
by BearStage on Dec 22, 2009 1:19 AM PST reply actions 0 recs

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