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Roll On: I Have No Idea How Cal's Defense Will Stop Oregon State's Offense

Watch this. Then cry.


Trojan Football Analysis's of Sean Canfield's game against USC is as follows.

That is most of the damage by Oregon State in the passing game. Just 12 of Canfield’s 43 passes resulted in 231 yards of gain or 70% of his total throwing yardage. One was a lucky pass and several plays exhibited uncharacteristic poor reads and tackles by USC.

Poor reads and poor tackles. Finding the soft spots in the zone. Throws down the middle against the linebackers. Does this sound familiar?

A lot of talk around Oregon State has been centered on the Rodgers brothers, and deservedly so. But Sean Canfield has grown up since the last time we played him. And now he scares the ever-living crap out of me. To me, the key to beating the Beavers lies through somehow stopping him.

If you were the defensive coordinator, how would you gameplan against Oregon State?

After the jump, more on Canfield, and enter the Rodgers brothers.

Star-divide

What you see from Canfield is a natural ability to read and react to what the defense is giving him. He's become particularly adept at breaking down 

This might sound familiar to Cal fans because this is exactly what happened in 2007, when the Beavers came into Memorial struggling, and Canfield considered . Although he only threw 18 for 33, he did lead OSU on two second half scoring drives via a similar style of offense, albeit sans Quizz.

If there's any issue, it's that he has taken a lot of sacks. While you might be quick to fingerpoint the offensive line, The VD Special disagrees and lays the blame on the shoulders of the quarterback himself for getting decked.

Our sacks are up this year, but if you watch our games, its due more to Canfield holding onto the ball than line break down. We only replaced 2 starters from last year. Our Center, Right Tackle, and Left Guard are all the same. And our new starting left tackle was considered one of the top offensive lineman as a senior last year.

I think our stats are again misleading at this point due to our annual Oregon State early struggles. Things should even out by the end of the year.

Now this leaves an interesting dilemma for Gregory. Canfield's "holding-onto-the-ball" tendency leaves you wondering whether the Bears will dial up the blitz. He seems like the perfect candidate for some delayed blitzes, or maybe some stunts if Gregory isn't comfortable sending extra men. Anny sort of pass rush generated could be huge in stalling the Beaver offense, and Canfield did show in several games this season (especially against Cincinnati's 3-4) that he does not seem comfortable throwing out of the pocket.

On the other hand, from watching the video above, Canfield also doesn't seem intimidated by the pass rush and can rip off some HUGE throws to the usual "unknowns who will in 3 years become prized NFL starters". Plus Cal's personnel lacks a single strong pass rusher to get at the quarterback. So you're stuck in a dilemma--if he sends the blitz and the offensive line can stand in there long enough, the Bears are vulnerable to getting burned deep and losing control of the defense early. If you don't send additional men for pressure and keep guys in coverage. What would be your choice, death by slow burn or firestorm?

Interestingly, due to the threat of the Rodgers brothers, Canfield has been put into a similar position as Kevin Riley. Like Riley, Canfield is being dared to throw by most defenses due to the threat of his running back. Like Riley, Canfield has had to throw a lot more than you'd like for him to do. Like Riley, Canfield is good at getting the ball away, having thrown only 4 interceptions this season. But unlike Riley, Canfield has had little difficulty connecting with his receivers, both short and medium (although he doesn't have quite the arm to throw it much deeper). Obviously, Cal fans would like to see at least a comparable effort from Riley this week, at least something akin to what he did against ASU.

Now, onto the badass midgets...

Edfe3c88-9b64-11de-93b6-001cc4c002e0

via bloximages.chicago2.vip.townnews.com

Because the Beavers are already well out of the Pac-10 race, Jacquizz Rodgers's second season in the trenches has gone unnoticed. That sucks, because his 2009 campaign has been even deadlier than his 2008 one. As AERose notes, the big danger in Jacquizz is he can kill you both ways. Not only are his running numbers on pace with last season's, they're more efficient yards (5.36 as opposed to 4.84 yards per carry), and he's racking up all-purpose.

He’s second in catches with 49 and third in yardage with 371. For comparison, Quizz has more catches than Cal’s top two pass catchers (Marv and Best) combined. OSU’s been chucking it more than Cal and at a better completion percentage whereas Cal has more options to spread the ball around, but still, Mike Riley obviously believes he can use Quizz on every down and it looks like he’s right.

(Also btw Quizz is the second leader in the Pac-10 in rushing yardage, so he hasn’t disappeared though if you look at the rushing stats it’s wild that Rodgers provides 90% of Oregon State’s rushing yards whereas Best provides more like 60% of Cal’s ground offense. Interesting to see that through 8 games Cal is outrushing Oregon State by 500 yards and 1.5 ypc.)

Even worse, between the tackles, there's nothing more formidable than Quizz. Although the Beavers O-line deserves a good deal of the credit for disguising exactly where he is behind them, Jacquizz is the one cutting through the blocks, slipping off tackles and finding a hole to bust through. Check out those touchdowns against the Furd and see the Cardinal front seven aim to tackle, bounce off him and FAIL.

Stanford at Oregon State '09 (via thomasg86)

Brett Johnson talked about the difficulty of trying to take the little man down.

"(Jacquizz is) hard to tackle, because he's fast, shifty and low to the ground," Bears safety Brett Johnson said. "I'm kind of a taller guy, so I practically have to get down on my kneecaps to tackle the guy."

You can imagine the issue most defenders have. Trying to reach down and tackle a running back of his size. Does anyone know the best way to properly tackle him (and by proxy, his brother) down?

While Quizz is the outside threat, James is the one guy on the outside to look at. Obviously Syd'Quan will be playing him on conventional receiver plays, but what about when they run the fly sweep? Oregon surprisingly ran little outside zone against us last year and ditto USC; a lot of their big running plays went straight up the middle or via inside zone. Oregon State will probably not deviate as much from inside, since they don't want to run Quizz into the ground like they did last season. It'll be interesting (and by interesting, I mean excruciating) how well the Beavers can attack us with any outside rushes.

Cal's defensive line needs to be stout again and try to find ways to penetrate into that Beaver backfield. Unfortunately, with Derrick Hill not likely to play, I'm not exactly sure how good a job they can do in the middle. You just feel the linebackers will try to play close up in support....that'll leave the middle open for Canfield to throw to Halahuni or Adeniji and the flats open for screens to James or dumpoffs to Quizz...ugh.

Indeed, this season the Rodgers brothers continue to do more and more for this team than even last season, which might make you fret as a Beaver fan going down the stretch--an injury to one of these guys and OSU's offensive production gets nearly cut in two. But for now, they are a looming danger, and depending on what happens between now and December, could be ready to spring a trap on Oregon's celebration plans in the Civil War.

I said a few weeks ago that I didn't really feel Gregory and the defense had underachieved. This would be the perfect week for them to start overachieving.

 

Bonus: Wild Beaver.

For all the hullabaloo about Cal's Wild Bear formations, Oregon State's Wild Beaver formation has quietly been adapting the strongest version of this particular strand of offense. Moreover, like Vereen, Quizz can throw in the end zone! Except he does it in the first quarter, when it's not insane to try a running back throw.

Jacquizz Rodgers throws TD pass from the WildBeaver formation (via OSUBeaverTV)

And here he is taking the direct snap.

OSU's Jacquizz Rodgers runs for 61 yards out of the WildBeav formation (via OSUBeaverTV)

So if you look at an all-around football game, although Jahvid runs better, because he can't break tackles as well as Quizz, because he's a step behind Quizz in the receiving game, and because he can't pass, on the college level...*gritting teeth*...Quizz>>Best. In that sense. Ugh.

Poll
I feel ___________ at facing Oregon State's offense.
Excited
22 votes
Calm
25 votes
Belligerent
27 votes
Depressed
36 votes
Scared shitless
109 votes

219 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 48 comments |

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Comments

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Well, USC did give up 47 to the Ducks. And we only gave up 42 while the defense was on the field much longer!

::grumbles::

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 5, 2009 1:22 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I think I read Ulysses in a shorter time period

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 5, 2009 1:38 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not sure why you want to cry after watching the highlights of Canfield. Much of the yardage comes after the catch. It seems like they do three thing: 1. Throw to the player in motion; 2. Throw to RB/TE on delayed release; or 3. Screen passes.This isn’t a team that will beat you throwing to the outside. On the one hand, that should be disconcerting because of the inconsistent play by our LB’ers. On the other hand, we know what’s coming. And, as I’ve stated elsewhere, the main reason I am not worried about our defense is that our offense is going to tear them apart.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 1:44 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I hope that our offense tears them apart. Oregon State always has players, no matter who they lose.. and they always have excellent gameplans + coaching.

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 5, 2009 1:51 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

the main reason I am not worried about our defense is that our offense is going to tear them apart.

How much do you wanna bet OSU fans are thinking the exact same thing?

by atomsareenough on Nov 5, 2009 1:52 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I fully expect a shootout.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Okay. What are three of the things that have killed us the most this season in the passing game?

Exactly. I’ve gotta go shed some tears.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash on Nov 5, 2009 1:55 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No reason to shed tears when we already go into almost every game thinking our defense will get shredded.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

the main reason I am not worried about our defense is that our offense is going to tear them apart.

I’m curious as to how you came to this conclusion? Not challenging, just want to see your thought process

Defending Jacquizz against Jahvid since 2008.

by The VD Special on Nov 5, 2009 2:07 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

1. Weak pass rush (10th in Sacks)
2. Weak penetration in the run game (8th in TFL)
3. A pass defense even worse than Cal (9th in Passing Defense)

If a defense can’t get in the backfield to stop Best/Vereen/Sofele, our rushing game is going to get going.

If a defense can’t get pressure on Riley and has a tough time stopping the pass, that also bodes well for our running game.

As I said above, I fully expect a shootout.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:12 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Their running D only allows 108 yards per game though.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash on Nov 5, 2009 2:13 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

My point is Cal’s run game is based on speed backs, if you don’t get them at the point of attack, you’re in for a long day. Along the same line, if they have to respect our passing game, that makes it even more difficult to contain our speed backs.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:15 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The stats don’t lie here. They are also 9th in Red Zone Defense, Tied for 7th in 3rd Down Defense, and 8th in 4th Down Defense.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You're assuming/forgetting some huge things

Rush D: 108 YPG, 3.76 YPC
Avg time of possession: 31:17 compared to 29:10 for Cal— we control the ball better

Defending Jacquizz against Jahvid since 2008.

by The VD Special on Nov 5, 2009 2:16 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

TOP is completely meaningless. Nothing you said counters the obvious conclusion that your defense is porous.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Moreover, your rushing numbers are the result of shutting down weak rushing teams, when matched up against teams that can run the ball, OSU gave up 134 to Arizona, 149 to Stanfurd, and 227 to USC.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:21 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Why do people keep using time of possession

instead of the rather obviously more useful “number of plays run”?

A running play doesn’t tire out the defense 5 times as much as a pass just because it runs 40 seconds off the clock instead of 8 seconds… out of bounds plays aren’t magic anti-fatigue wands…

Sorry, this is just a real pet peeve of mine. Time of possession is a really bad proxy for what people actually want to measure, which is dominating the number of snaps in a game and wearing down the other team.

Linda's in the cold ground, won't see her anymore
Somewhere out on the highway tonight, the drunken engines roar
It's just one of those things, one of those things
-- Al Stewart, "Accident on 3rd St."
In memory of Nick Adenhart and all victims of drunk driving

by PaulThomas on Nov 5, 2009 7:43 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m just glad that we know Best can peel off some nice runs against an OSU D.

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 5, 2009 2:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

*based on last year’s game

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 5, 2009 2:17 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Let's look at the passing yardage by game

Portland St- 274
UNLV- 228
Cincy- 334
Arizona- 254
Arizona St- 338
Stanford- 226
USC- 202
UCLA- 323

So while we haven’t been exactly a lock-down pass defense, the only team that destroyed us all game long was Cincy. The UCLA and Arizona St passing stats were padded in the 2nd half when we were winning by quite a bit and they were forced to throw. The QBs who have looked iffy have been stopped (Barkley and Luck). I would put Riley into that iffy category. And if you look at PSU and say “what about them?” Then I hope you’re offense thinks they are getting the same defense that day. This is an improved team.

Defending Jacquizz against Jahvid since 2008.

by The VD Special on Nov 5, 2009 2:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No pass rush. No penetration into the run game. These are facts. Also, don’t bring that 2nd half yardage argument here. Yards are yards and the UCLA game was tied in the 4th quarter.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:27 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Looks like football fans are going to get their money’s worth this weekend. Gonna be a classic shoot out. Fireworks display!

President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Nov 5, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

That sounds about right.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:30 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It seems to me that the key to this game is going to be solid tackling. Clearly, both teams are incredibly good at YAC. So, it comes down to executing tackles. Cal has had some problems with that in the past, but looked really solid against ASU.

President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Nov 5, 2009 2:03 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

I would agree with this, in many of our games we’ve shown poor angles that’ve led to huge rushes. We can’t let Quizz run all over us if we expect to have any shot.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash on Nov 5, 2009 2:34 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

We need 11 SydQuans out there. At times, we’ve had a head to make a HUGE hit over a solid tackle. We need the latter here.

President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Nov 5, 2009 2:35 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

11 Ryan Riddles?

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash on Nov 5, 2009 2:36 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I’d prefer to lineup the following:

Alualu (DE)
Alexander (DT)
Mebane (DT)
Riddle (DE)
Bishop (LB)
Follett (LB)
Felder (LB)
Hughes (CB)
Syd (CB)
DeCoud (S)
Giordano (S)

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:38 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

Phillip Mbagoku! Phillip Mbagoku!

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 5, 2009 2:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Hmmm, hard to replace Alualu and Riddle.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:43 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Can I get some Andre Carter up in this bitch?

President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Nov 5, 2009 2:45 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Was sticking to the Tedford Era.

It'll be just you, me, and Peter Nincompoop.

by BeastMode on Nov 5, 2009 2:53 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No Love for David Ortega?????

All time tackle (or sack, I for get) leader for Cal!!!!

Plus I babysat his son a couple times, that has to mean something on defense!!!

Undefeated in Southern California since Oct. 2009...

by CruzinBears on Nov 5, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

or hardy nickerson?

or ron rivera?

the all time cal linebacking team….if you count pro time in….would be a damn hard team to make.

Go Bears Go

by Rocksanddirt on Nov 5, 2009 9:14 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure what to say about our secondary vs. OSU

I think this game will be a shoot out either way… Neither D is all that impressive against the pass…

But does anyone else take great pleasure in watching highlight films where Taylor Mays tries to go all “Taylor Mays Thuggin’ Big Hit” on a player and fails miserably… It happened a couple times in the video at the top and a couple times vs. UO that I clearly remember, but I just enjoy him getting denied on the main facet of his game… I fast… I strong… I hi…. Ow… I hurt

Undefeated in Southern California since Oct. 2009...

by CruzinBears on Nov 5, 2009 2:51 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Everyone is so sure this game will be a shootout that I now fully expect a 17-10 final score.

by sycasey on Nov 5, 2009 3:29 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

2-0!

President Emperor Warlord Of The Sun!

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Nov 5, 2009 3:41 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think the same thing…

CGB: Resisting Hope Since 2007

by Spazzy Mcgee on Nov 5, 2009 3:58 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I’m scurred

"We lose to Stanford in many sports, but if you want to make a Cal team quit, bring a weapon."
--Coach Clark

by carp on Nov 5, 2009 3:36 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

because he’s a step behind Quizz in the receiving game,

I dunno about that. Quizz is obviously a psychotically steady dumpoff option, but I’ve never seen him split out wide or used on a deep route like Best. Or Vereen, for that matter.

"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.

It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0

by AERose on Nov 5, 2009 4:26 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

And you never will

A sub 5’9" receiver is bad enough. Two at the same time? Hell no. Plus everyone knows he doesn’t have breakaway speed. The only time he has been run in the slots is either as a crossing route or a blocker for a sweep play of some sort

Defending Jacquizz against Jahvid since 2008.

by The VD Special on Nov 5, 2009 4:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, of course in general receiver terms, Quizz or James are never going to run out or go routes downfield. But they’re very efficient and productive with the catches they do get, so the aggregate sort of adds up for those two at a better rate than Best or Vereen.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash on Nov 5, 2009 4:56 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

True

Both Rogers’s are YAC type players (yards after catch or contact take your pick)… I’d take James in the open field and Quizz inside, but that should be pretty obvious

Undefeated in Southern California since Oct. 2009...

by CruzinBears on Nov 5, 2009 5:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

James can get open deep. He’s no Desean and god knows he isn’t much good for a jump ball, but I’ve seen him open deep.

"Let me tell you a story. I was a political prisoner for two years. The instant I was released I ran to McDonald's. I had a Big Mac and a Coke.

It was fantastic."
-Toyama Koichi, US Presidential candidate from Japan
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uGZqOkeYbB0

by AERose on Nov 5, 2009 7:48 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

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