So an amazing Big Game got me curious where Cal could end up at the end of the season.

I don't know how the tie breaks work, other than for the Rose Bowl (as this explains).  In fact the other bowls can kind of take who they want to some degree, right?  Or do they use overall record as well?  Well let's assume the Rose Bowl tie breaks apply for the rest of the standings.  

First off some assumptions.

1. Cal beats UW.  
2. USC beats UCLA (the iffiest of my assumptions?)
3. UW beats WSU
4. 'Zona beats ASU

So that means the games in question are: Oregon State at Oregon, and Arizona at USC. 

Also note, based on my assumptions thus far the last four teams are:

7) UCLA

8) UW

9) ASU

10) WSU

 

Scenario 1: Oregon over OSU, USC over 'Zona

1. Oregon
2. USC
3. OSU
4. Cal
5. 'Furd
6. 'Zona

Scenario 2: Oregon over OSU, 'Zona over USC

1. Oregon
2. 'Zona
3. OSU
4. Cal
5. 'Furd
6. USC

Scenario 3: OSU over Oregon, USC over 'Zona

1. OSU
2. Oregon
3. 'Furd
4. USC
5. Cal
6. 'Zona

Scenario 4: OSU over Oregon, 'Zona over USC

1. OSU
2. Oregon
   
3. Cal
4. 'Zona
5. 'Furd
6. USC

Scenario 2 was the oddest to figure out, so I'll go through the reasoning

• Oregon has best Pac-10 record, so they're #1
• USC is #6 by record
• Arizona, OSU, Cal and Stanfurd are tied at 6-3 in the conference
• To break this you look at the records amongst just those four teams:  Stanfurd is 0-3 so they're #5, the rest are 2-1.
• That means compare the records of OSU, Cal and Arizona amongst each other.  They're 1-1 each.  So we start going through the Pac-10 one team at time (in standing order) until we find a team the tie break against.
• Oregon beat OSU, Cal and Arizona.  All 3 beat Stanfurd.  But in this Scenario, Arizona beats USC (who beat Cal and OSU) so Arizona gets the #2 spot. 
• Then the last tie break is Cal, OSU.  OSU wins the head-to-head.  OSU #3, Cal #4.

Or did I miss something.