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Golden Nuggets: Should Best Enter the Draft or Return Next Season?

Alright, gentlemen (and gentlewomen too), I don't have anything that stands out as a lead story today. I was going to do an epic masterpiece of a post on ESPN's look at Memorial Stadium in its Pilgrimage series, but Leon Powe already posted it.  Why, Leon, whyyyyyy?  So today, the lead is not an article but a question: should Jahvid Best return next season or should he enter the NFL draft?  Ted Miller answered the question with a resounding "yes."

Nick from the Bay Area writes: Do you think Jahvid's injury helps or hurts his chances of declaring for the NFL draft?reasons why:- see Sam Bradford reasons why not:- have a monster year and move into top 10.

Ted Miller: The best case for Jahvid Best is he returns for his senior year, plays 13 games, including a bowl game, and piles up huge numbers and never misses a down. If he did that, he's get picked in the first round in 2011.

That's his best-case because NFL folks are most concerned about his durability. Can he be an every-down back? Or is he just another fragile speed guy?

That being his best-case is also a reason for him not to come back.The shelf life of an NFL running back isn't long. Few play more than five years and only a handful are effective past 30. (I still rue a column I wrote a few years back saying that the Seahawks should re-sign Shaun Alexander because he was special. Dumb, dumb, dumb).

Best's speed and big-play ability are so tantalizing, he would be an early-round pick this spring. And Best might want to start getting paid as soon as possible.

After the season, Best should get an NFL evaluation. He should talk to people he trusts. If an agent or a person who works for an agent gives him advice, he should know that person is self-interested and probably disingenuous.

In the end, he should do one thing: Best should do what is best for him.

After the jump, offer up your answers to the pivotal question of the offseason.  And don't forget to read about Cal's deal with Nevada, JO's injury updates (no Derrick Hill this weekend), a profile on Marcus Ezeff, Gregory's plan for defending Arizona, a preview for men's basketball, a head-scratching ranking of the Pac-10 coaches, a look into Cal's bowl situation, and more.  Also, use this thread as an open thread for tonight's VBall matchup between Cal and Oregon State.  Stream available here. 

Star-divide

I'd be very surprised if Best returns next season.  If he is a first-day pick, he should take the money and leave.  After seeing what happened to Bradford, Gresham, and Gronkowski this year, he should be especially aware of the potential downside of returning.  I don't think Best has much left to prove before he leaves for the NFL.

Cal Football

Cal Basketball

  • SFGate previews Cal's season.  Monty remains grounded by the belief that his team is far from perfect.  Impressive starts from Zhang and MSF, as well as Kamp's return to the court, should help the Bears build on their weakness in the middle.

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Women's Soccer

Cal beats Auburn 2-1 in OT in 1st round of NCAA Tournament

Cal will play in 2nd round game vs. # 1 seed and host Florida State on Sunday, 10 am PST.

Praise be to Tedford!

by Ohio Bear on Nov 13, 2009 7:43 PM PST reply actions  

Wonder if that’ll be televised.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Nov 13, 2009 7:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Jahvid

I predict he’ll be back next season. I don’t have any solid evidence to back that up, I just feel that, based on what I know of him, he’ll make the call to come back for his senior year. This becomes even more true if he sits out all the remaining games this season. Aside from the concussions (which I understand are very serious), he’s been pretty much healthy this season, which I think bodes well for his durability.

I've been Honked...

by giantfan5 on Nov 13, 2009 7:49 PM PST reply actions  

I’d like to see if he decides to come back and play, period. He’s gotten injured so much over the past few years that it just takes a physical and mental toll on you.

Email: bearsnecessities@gmail.com

by Avinash Kunnath on Nov 13, 2009 7:54 PM PST up reply actions  

he’s been pretty much healthy this season

Seriously, if scouts hold him falling 8 feet onto his head against him in the durability category I’m going to be pissed.

The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS

by norcalnick on Nov 13, 2009 8:16 PM PST up reply actions  

I've always thought the durability issue wasn't much of an issue at all

His three major injuries—hip injury in 2007, dislocated elbow in 2008, and concussion in 2009—seemed more like freak occurrences than anything related to durability. If anything, he’s just unlucky.

Whose domicile? OUR DOMICILE!

by Berkelium97 on Nov 13, 2009 8:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I honestly think he’s more prone to injury than your average RB. He has always been the balls-out, top gear or brake pedal type of guy. When you suddenly become stationary from the speeds he gets up to, only bad things can happen.

The Lack of Mack's Imposition Attacks My Disposition.

by Spazzy Mcgee on Nov 13, 2009 9:38 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed on all counts – you said everything I would have said.

The #1 greatest threat to America: BEARS

by norcalnick on Nov 13, 2009 8:17 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think Jahvid will be back

I think we’ve seen him for the last time in a Cal uniform. Before the season started, I had no expectation that Best would stay beyond this season. I figured he’d put up a 1,000 yard season, his stock would rise, and he’d be gone.

Well, unfortunately, he didn’t have the year we all wanted him to have. Still, I think it might be time for him to go to the draft. The career of an NFL running back is not very long. You could argue that staying an extra year cuts short his NFL career. And I think the injury issues he’s had are reasons to leave early. Each of his injuries have been freak accident type of situations. He has come back from 2 of those injuries and I hope he’ll be fine after this one. But these injuries are a reminder that one play can end your career. To date, none of the injuries has affected the strength of his game (speed and open field running ability), so perhaps the injuries might not affect his draft stock too much. I guess we’ll have to wait until the mock drafts and big boards come out to see just where Jahvid fits in, but I’d be a little surprised if his stock has dropped all that far from where it was before the season.

As a Cal fan and a Jahvid fan, I will support Jahvid’s decision, whatever it is. I’m proud he’s a Cal student and Cal football player. Everything I’ve seen of him makes me think he’s a bright, articulate kid with a good attitude and a great sense of team. He has that “it” factor that makes you think he’ll be successful in life, whether that’s pro football or something else.

This much I’m pretty confident of: we’re going to miss # 4 as a player and a person.

Praise be to Tedford!

by Ohio Bear on Nov 13, 2009 8:27 PM PST reply actions  

We must remember too that this may be the last year for unrestricted rookie contracts too. that may be the biggest reason why we see a lot of eligible 3rd-years go (because that issue will definitely be addressed in the CB agreement)

STAY THIRSTY, MY FRIENDS

by Thoroughbred on Nov 13, 2009 8:42 PM PST reply actions  

He should enter the draft _pronto_.

Honestly, I can’t bear to see him not get paid to take the hits he takes any longer. He’s a genuine and humble enough guy to come back and finish his degree when the time is right.

The Lack of Mack's Imposition Attacks My Disposition.

by Spazzy Mcgee on Nov 13, 2009 9:36 PM PST reply actions  

Jahvid is by far the best RB prospect this year, ahead of Jonathan Dwyer & CJ Spiller IMO. Declaring early for the NFL makes just as much financial sense as Mark Sanchez last year. Carroll or Tedford might not like their stars’ early departures, but you gotta take what you can get when you can get it.

by solarise on Nov 13, 2009 9:53 PM PST reply actions  

Should I let you know…or will you already know ahead of time by reading my mind?

Whose domicile? OUR DOMICILE!

by Berkelium97 on Nov 14, 2009 12:21 AM PST up reply actions  

I can’t tell the future, i can only read minds sort of

by LeonPowe on Nov 14, 2009 1:59 AM PST up reply actions  

SDSU/Nevada

Why doesn’t Cal schedule San Diego State as its B/C opponent? It gives them a relatively easy (but improving) opponent in the Mountain West Conference in an area that’s ripe with talent. Wouldn’t it help with recruiting to generate more interest for Cal in San Diego?

by DougOLis on Nov 14, 2009 11:29 AM PST reply actions  

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