2009 Cal vs. USC - The Presnap Chessmatch
Based on the feedback from those of you that participated in our Golden Feedback, it appears as if many of you really enjoy game film play analysis. I'm sorry for not providing more game film analysis on a regular basis, but school has once again kept me fairly busy (15 units and 6 classes: Mediterranean Cuisine, French Sous-vide, Advanced Sauces, Delicate Desserts, Unusual Proteins, and Dangerous Foods Preparation). I will try to provide a little more analysis here and there. Please bear with me in the following analysis as since I no longer have Photoshop on my laptop and I had to use Paint instead.
While watching the Cal vs. USC game between practicing my Julienne cuts and while waiting for some creme brulee to finish cooling down, I noticed something pretty interesting. I noticed USC's QB Matt Barkley make a fantastic pre-snap adjustment to take advantage of the Cal defense. At the college level, it doesn't seem like a lot of QBs are allowed to make pre-snap adjustments. Some offenses merely have the entire offense look to the coaches on the sidelines before the snap, to get signals from the coaches which will dictate whether the offense will run the original play or run a different play. In these offenses, the QB is just a stupid mindless automaton that directs the offense under the command of the sideline coaches. Other offenses allow the QB some control to change direction of runs or change the play to a few select pre-determined plays (Cal's offense). And then there are only a few QBs at the college level are allowed to pretty much do whatever they want (if I recall correctly, I think Boston College's Matt Ryan was given the freedom to change the play at the line of scrimmage to any play he desired - don't quote me on that but I could have sworn I read that in an ESPN Magazine or something). USC's QBs are either the second or third option, meaning they definitely can change plays around and perhaps they can even do whatever they want with the offense.
Above is the pre-snap look. USC has 11 personnel on the field (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs). They are facing a 2nd and 17. USC comes out in a formation that has the TE to the offense's left, bunch WRs to the offense's left, and the RB to the QB's left. Cal lines up in its 3-4 defense with only two defenders defending the bunch. USC's QB Matt Barkley sees that only two Cal defenders are in the immediate vicinity of their bunch WRs (if playing 7 and 8 yards off is even really in the "immediate" vicinity). Barkley then instructs the RB to Barkley's left, to move to Barkley's right. This subtle change in the pre-snap formation is key to this play's success against the Cal Defense.
Above is the pre-snap look after the subtle change in the offensive formation. Now the USC offense is showing a distinct zone read formation because the runningback is in the "weak" position ("weak" position is to the opposite side of the TE). The USC offense has now strengthened its running threat ability because if the play is a zone read run to the offense's left, the runningback will be running behind to the strength of the offense (the general rule is that the strength of the offense is the side which the TE is on) which is the offense's left because the TE is on the left.
Prior to the change in the pre-snap formation, USC's formation seemed to suggest either a bubble screen or a pass. There wasn't really a threat of a zone read because most pro-style offenses that occasionally use the zone read (such as Cal and USC) won't run a zone read to that side of the offense unless there is a TE on that side. But now, by moving the runningback to the other side of the QB, USC's formation suggests either a bubble screen or a zone read left. I've shown the zone read left with a red arrow.
It's this change in formation which threatens a zone read which puts pressure on the backside defender (the "backside defender" is the defender who the offense is running away from). In this case, the backside defender is Cal's strong-side linebacker, Eddie Young, who I've circled with a yellow oval.
Cal's SLB (strongside linebacker), Eddie Young, knows he has the zone read to look out for and will probably bite in on the zone read to help defend the run.
Of course, USC's QB Matt Barkley was planning this all along. Barkley purposely moved the RB before the snap to give the distinct zone-read look to get Eddie Young to bite, even if a little, on a zone read fake. The play is really a bubble screen to the bunch WRs (shown with the red routes). Barkley would rather run the bubble screen instead of the zone read, because there are 8 Cal defenders in the box defending Barkley and the RB run. On the other hand, there are only two Cal defenders on the screen defending the 3 USC WRs (presumably another Cal safety is off the screen helping defend the bunch but he's so far away from the bunch that he's not in prime position to stop a bubble screen).
Above is the play post-snap. Barkley has given a slight fake to the USC RB who pretends to take the ball on a zone read (the red arrow). This causes Eddie Young to bite down on the play fake (the yellow arrow). Because Young bit on the play fake, it has created a larger void (the "bubble") than if he hadn't bit on the zone read fake. Also, notice how big of a buffer zone the two Cal defenders have given the bunch. I know it's 2nd and 18, but the large buffer zone they've given up is like at least 5 free yards of run-after-the-catch.
USC's Matt Barkley passes the ball to WR Damian Williams who has a huge "bubble" of protection and tons of uncontested yardage to gain. I've put a thick yellow circle where Cal SLB Eddie Young was lined up before the snap. As you can see from this picture, the zone read fake has caused him to move away from the bunch WRs and towards the QB, thus putting him further away to stop the play than if he had just stayed home at his pre-snap position.
In this picture Damian Williams has caught the ball and has begun picking up tons of easy yardage. I have placed the initials "E.Y." in the picture above by Eddie Young so you know which player he is. Alternatively, I guess I could have said he's the defender who is trailing Damian Williams and behind the play. Eddie Young probably wouldn't have been trailing Damian Williams and be behind the play if it weren't for the subtle pre-snap change in formation orchestrated by Barkley.
Here is the Youtube video of the play in its entirety (special thanks to ieeeBear who created the video for me):
Conclusion: What really made this play interesting was the fact that it appeared to be either a bubble screen or a downfield pass from the formation pre-change, but then Barkley changed the play to a bubble screen with a zone read fake based on how the Cal defense was lined up. The zone read fake was critical in creating an even bigger bubble area for the WR. Overall, this is an excellent example of the pre-snap chess match between the QB and defense.
Many teams, including Cal, run plays (similar to the one above) which have the zone read slash bubble screen option (the QB can either hand off the ball or throw the bubble screen). It's not a totally uncommon play and it works really well because it puts the defender between the offense line and the bunch (such as Eddie Young in the play above) in a bind because he has to beware of the zone read run which pulls him away from the bunch, and he also has to be aware of the bubble screen which if he chooses to defend the screen then that pulls him away from the zone read run. So either way, Eddie Young was pretty screwed on this play and it wasn't his fault - it was just really good chess by USC's Matt Barkley.
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Comments
so what you're saying
is that Matt Barkley is going to be really scary good after 2 more years of experience?
by LeonPowe on Oct 14, 2009 6:56 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Good adjustment by Barkley - still think EY made the wrong decision
Based on the down and distance and Barkley’s scant track record of keeping on the zone read and gaining lots of yards, I think EY should have more aggressively defended the bubble. On a 2nd and 18 with a non-threat QB, there is just little reason to pinch down and cover Barkely. Jeramiah Masoli warrants some attention; even on a 2nd and 18, but even with a legitimate QB runner, the mismatch outside still needs greater attention! Seems like we’ve been getting killed on bubble screens the last two weeks – hope Gregory makes some adjustments because, UCLA will want to run the play a couple of times with a freshman QB. Kevin Prince ain’t a real running threat either, so hopefully we defense the bubble more aggressively even when there is a zone read look.
by DNice on Oct 14, 2009 7:32 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Really impressive analysis! But it just leads to the question, what could the Bears have done to counter Barkley’s adjustment? Surely there was something the defense could have done in terms of personnel or formation to eliminate the advantage gained by SC?
Perhaps the most frustrating part of your excellent analysis are the unanswered questions regarding what our team didn’t do in response to what the other team did.
On ATQ I'm known as JSoCal Oski
It's spelled J-etc
by SoCal Oski on Oct 14, 2009 8:06 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I found it a bit surprising how the Cal defense seemed so concerned about playing the run … on a 2nd and 18. Cal’s defense had 8 defenders in the box defending against the run. What’s also strange is that Cal’s 3-4 defense is on the field rather than Cal’s 3-3 nickel. Gregory almost always switches to the 3-3 nickel on passing downs. 2nd and 18 is clearly a passing down. USC even had 11 personnel on the field (3 WRs!!!). Gregory almost always counters passing downs with passing personnel with the 3-3 nickel. I don’t understand why he didn’t have our nickel package on the field – unless he was truly convinced USC was going to run the ball. Had our nickel been on the field, I think we would have seen more defenders by the bunch.
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by HydroTech on Oct 14, 2009 4:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Love these snapshots of the game. Great job as usual.
Btw … what do you learn in Unusual Proteins or Dangerous Foods Preparation?
by sec119 on Oct 14, 2009 8:21 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I don’t really anything. I just made those up. They do sound fun though.
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by HydroTech on Oct 14, 2009 4:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Slightly confused
Is Barkley truly changing/altering the play based on what he sees in the defense, or is he instead correcting the position of a running back who lined up incorrectly? If it’s true that USC doesn’t run the zone read to the weak side, then why would the RB ever line up on the strong side? I suppose he might be there to offer pass protection on the QB’s back side, but given the routes run by the receivers—and the absence of audible signals—this appears to have been a bubble screen all the way. Credit to Barkley for staying composed and executing the play, but I think you perhaps give him too much credit on this one.
And while I agree that we’re usually much too quick to criticize the Bears rather than give kudos to the opposition, I also think you’re being too easy on Eddie Young. He blew it on this play. Period. He didn’t stay home, and with the secondary playing soft on second and long, this was much too easy for the Trojans—the questionable penalty notwithstanding.
Cal’s struggles the last two games fall mostly on the offense, but this inconsistency in linebacker play needs to be corrected, quickly, if the Bears hope to rebound for a successful season. Question: we’re only one year removed from the 4-3 defense; any chance the Bears start mixing some of that back in the rest of the way?
Go Bears!
by California Pete on Oct 14, 2009 9:07 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I also think you’re being too easy on Eddie Young. He blew it on this play. Period. He didn’t stay home
Especially considering the down and distance – there’s no need to defend the run so aggressively. If you let them pick up an easy 5-7 yards it’s still 3rd and 10+, so Young really should have been playing more conservatively. Soft zones, soft zones, come on!
by Missing Barry on Oct 14, 2009 9:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What were the two options before moving the RB?
Was the other play going to be a running play to the strongside? If so, it seems like Cal has already over-committed players. USC has 6 blockers, and Cal has 8 men in the box, more than enough to stop such a running play. Why did Cal stack the box so much at the expense of the trips out wide?
The adjustment seems very wise indeed, because it’s clear that Cal is focusing on the run with so many men in the box. Then, the adjustment targets the one defender (EY) who is in a position to help with trips out wide.
Given the numbers in the box, EY did bite too hard on the play fake.
by I hate $C on Oct 14, 2009 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Prior to adjusting the position of the RB, the play’s formation suggested either a bubble screen or a pure pass play (the bunch WRs release down the field, and perhaps the TE and RB too). It’s possible that USC was going to run to the strong side, there are plays that do this, however I’m not sure if USC runs those plays. It does seem like Cal over-committed players to the run and should have been more focused on the bunch WRs.
www.californiagoldenblogs.com
by HydroTech on Oct 14, 2009 4:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just for clarification, it looks to me like there’s only 7 in the box. The safety is 9 yards off the LOS and outside the hash marks, that doesn’t seem to me like he should be considered “in the box”. Thoughts?
by Missing Barry on Oct 14, 2009 6:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, I’m not sure if there is a hard fast rule on who is in and out of the box. Certainly the safety could be lining up to cover the TE, but I guess he could still be lining up to defend the run. Even if he wasn’t in the box, dedicating 7 defenders to the run seems like a bit much for a second and 18.
www.californiagoldenblogs.com
by HydroTech on Oct 14, 2009 7:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is Barkley truly changing/altering the play based on what he sees in the defense, or is he instead correcting the position of a running back who lined up incorrectly?
Yes, I did think that perhaps Barkley was just adjusting a player who had lined up incorrectly. Ultimately, I guess we’ll never know, but I’m going to assume that they lined up correctly at first.
If it’s true that USC doesn’t run the zone read to the weak side, then why would the RB ever line up on the strong side?
The offense might want to place the RB to the strong side to make the defense choose whether to guard the bunch or the TE/RB combination. The offense can still run with the RB to the strong side. It wouldn’t be a zone read, but a counter-trap. Cal used to run a counter-trap like play in 2006 which had the RB to the strong side.
Question: we’re only one year removed from the 4-3 defense; any chance the Bears start mixing some of that back in the rest of the way?
I don’t see Cal going back to the 4-3. It’s easier to recruit players to play in the 3-4 defense. The 3-4 defense has really given Cal a better shot at landing elite linebacker recruits because it allows one more player to play, and the 3-4 defense is very popular right now. I think there is more of a confusion element with the 3-4 defense too. Cal’s 3-4 defense is here to stay for the rest of the year, and perhaps for a few more years.
www.californiagoldenblogs.com
by HydroTech on Oct 14, 2009 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
On the topic of QB audibles
I still remember Longshore changing the play up completely against I think CSU last year for a TD. That was awesome
In other words, Go Bears!
by royrules22 on Oct 14, 2009 11:02 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Overshadowed by 4th Q picks but...
People never gave Longshore enough credit for this, he was good at changing the play at the line and picking something that would actually work based on what he saw in the defense.
I remember many a first down (and a TD or two) that this was the case…
I hear El Paso is beautiful in December....
by CruzinBears on Oct 14, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
By ‘people,’ you’ll have to exclude the ardent supporters of Longshore on the CGB, of whom there were many (I think).
by sec119 on Oct 14, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’m guessing he’s referring to the casual Cal football fans who comprise the majority of our fanbase.
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by Avinash on Oct 14, 2009 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I seem to remember reading somewhere
that Aaron Rodgers either had the ability to change the play at the line of scrimage, or had 2-3 plays called and then after seeing the defensive scheme was able to call the play.
Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory...
by Hey Bowles Hall! on Oct 14, 2009 3:55 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I’m not entirely sure how much freedom Rodgers was given back then, but the Cal QBs can change direction of runs, and choose between 2 plays on option plays. It seems like Longshore was given quite a lot of freedom as since last year we saw him audible to different plays on non-option plays, and also do a create-your-own-play much like Peyton Manning does.
www.californiagoldenblogs.com
by HydroTech on Oct 14, 2009 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Based on the feedback from those of you that participated in our Golden Feedback, it appears as if many of you really enjoy game film play analysis.
Does it say bad things about me if those are the ones I don’t read. They involve too much thinking. More witty banter!
All aboard the Jahvid Best rickshaw!
by rollonubears on Oct 14, 2009 6:04 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
We don’t tend to listen to people who can’t legally buy beer.
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by Avinash on Oct 14, 2009 6:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Many teams, including Cal, run plays (similar to the one above) which have the zone read slash bubble screen option (the QB can either hand off the ball or throw the bubble screen).
Chris Brown over at Smart Football recently did a pretty cool article on how a few offensive coordinators have been packaging that kind of 3 option play (give, keep, throw) with a smash route to create a quadruple option. This is totally football schematics porn.
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It was fantastic."
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by AERose on Oct 14, 2009 9:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for the analysis Hydro
What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas. What happens in California makes the world go round.
by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 15, 2009 12:36 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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