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GoldenBlogs Preseason Top 25

Well, with the season just two weeks away, it's time to unveil the California Golden Blogs' preseason BlogPoll ballot.  For those of you unfamiliar with the BlogPoll, here's the info, straight from the horse's mouth (the horse being Brain Cook of MGoBlog):

WHAT IS THE BLOGPOLL? It's basically the AP poll except with bloggers. It's a poll and so fall prey to all the things that polls fall prey to, but if you're so inclined these are the reasons the BlogPoll might be superior to other polls out there:

Everyone watches a ton of football. It's ironic that the two most prominent polls survey perhaps the two least qualified groups of people to vote: journalists and coaches. Both spend their Saturdays laser-focused on one game. Thanks to Gameplan and DirectTV, bloggers can suck in as many as 20 games every weekend.

Biases are disclosed and closely monitored. Every voter has to have a favorite team; voters without are laughed at and told to watch something soulless. The poll closely tracks each voter's level of bias and uses stern disapproval to keep would-be homers in check. (Would-be negative nancies are not quite so easily dissuaded.)

The poll's goals are clearly stated. The AP poll is full of voters who vote team X super high in the preseason because of its schedule; this is strongly discouraged by the BlogPoll. Preseason polls are supposed to be exclusively about how good a team is thought to be, and postseason polls are supposed to be exclusively about how much a team has accomplished on the field.

Now... it is impossible to separate the former from the latter in late-season polls because college football provides such a sparse data set, but at the very least BlogPoll voters know they shouldn't vote a 9-2 USC team #1 even if they think they're the best team unless that 9-2 includes three killer nonconference matchups.

Voters have more time for consideration. The poll comes out Wednesday morning, allowing voters to catch up on everything that happened and discuss it in the blogosphere. Other polls come out Sunday, and almost never take other's arguments into account.

It's weirder. The poll has some definite wackos in it, but they are relatively few and act as a net positive, forcing more mainstream voters to argue things like "Kansas probably shouldn't be #20 at 11-0" or "why rank Hawaii at all?"

It's more fun. No one really cares, so we can just vote and not have garments rent.

One of the voting practices Brian strongly encourages is for voters to post a preliminary ballot ahead of time, giving readers a chance to discuss and point out errors in logic, judgment, or even memory (i.e., "Hey, you forgot to rank Florida!").  During the season, we'll try and get our ballot up on Monday, but since the preseason votes are due Monday morning, we're posting this on Friday, with all weekend open for discussion.  Any and all feedback is appreciated.

Last year, CGB put out a ballot that consisted of an average of whichever of us felt like putting together a top 25 that week.  While nice and inclusive, it led to some inconsistent results, as teams would move up and down week to week with seemingly little regard for their performance; in fact, it was often because one of us really liked (or disliked) a particular team one week, and then neglected to vote the next.

This year, we've decided to be more uniform.  HydroTech and CBKWit will consistently abstain (due to time constraints), as will TwistNHook (due to ignorance), thus leaving each week's ballot as a straight average of Yellow Fever's opinion and my own.  Hopefully this will lead to fewer wacky ballots.

Also of note:  fellow Cal blogs Excuse Me For My Voice and Bears Necessity will be joining us as BlogPoll voters this year.  Both are fine additions to the poll, and it's nice to see Cal so well represented this year.

Without further to-do, here's our (preliminary) ballot:

Star-divide

1. USC
2. Georgia
3. Florida
4. Oklahoma
5. West Virginia

That looks like a reasonable top 5 to me.  Fever and I both put 'SC at the top, and were high on Florida, Georgia, and Oklahoma.  West Virginia was where we differed, as YF put them at #2, and I barely had them in my top 10.  Sure, they still have Pat White, and Noel Devine is ridiculous, but I think losing Steve Slaton and RichRod is bound to have an effect.

6. Missouri
7. LSU
8. Ohio State
9. Clemson
10. Virginia Tech

LSU's only this far down because we have no idea who the quarterback is going to be.  Ohio State only falls this far because of their no-shows in the last two BCS title games.  Clemson and Virginia Tech?  Someone's gotta win the ACC, I guess, though I had VaTech down in the teens somewhere.  Personally, I think there's a pretty big dropoff between the top 8 and everyone else.

11. Oregon
12. Wisconsin
13. Texas Tech
14. Texas
15. Arizona State

Now we really start getting into the flawed teams.  All are good, all have good shots at winning 10 games this year, but none are without big, unanswered questions.  And yes, that's Texas Tech *above of* Texas.  Honestly, Texas just hasn't been the same since Vince Young left.  Good, but rarely great, and I've bought into some of the preseason predictions that this is the year Texas Tech finally challenges for a Big XII South title.

16. Auburn
17. South Florida
18. BYU
19. Penn State
20. California

The annual game of 'pick the BCS buster' has settled on BYU this year; I'm not super-confident about this ranking, but it wouldn't surprise me at all to find the Cougars in the Fiesta Bowl this year.  Interestingly, Fever left Penn State completely off his ballot, while I omitted Cal.  I have a feeling this is the entry our readers have the strongest opinion about, so I'll just throw this out there:  should Cal begin the season ranked at all?  If so, where?

21. Tennessee
22. Kansas
23. Rutgers
24. Illinois
25. Fresno State

Ah, the 21-25 portion of the ballot.  Often, this is the hardest to fill out.  Sure, all these teams could be top 25 material, but so could 6 or 8 others that got cut (Fever listed Wake Forest; I finished my ballot with Oregon State and Cincinnati).  The key, especially early in the year, is to just pick some teams and not worry so much about it.

Poll
Where should Cal be ranked at the beginning of the 2008 season?
#1 Baby!
35 votes
Top 10
8 votes
Top 20, at the very least.
55 votes
The fringes of the Top 25.
188 votes
Based on last year, they should begin the season unranked.
103 votes

389 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 53 comments

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Comments

Display:

a LOT of potential but needs to be proven

due to key experiences, potential, and schedule, Cal s/b ranked anywhere 20-25.

by NewYorkGoldenBear on Aug 15, 2008 12:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I have no idea where we should be ranked.

It wouldn’t surprise me to be in the top 15. And it wouldn’t surprise me to be outside of the top 40. There are just so many questions that won’t be answered until an actual game.

by RollOnYouBears667 on Aug 15, 2008 12:29 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Two comments

I’m not buying USC at first.
Ohio State is underrated.

by joffle on Aug 15, 2008 1:09 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

you could be right on both counts

so you think the buckeyes storm the coliseum in a couple weeks?

So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!

by ragnarok on Aug 18, 2008 6:03 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

TwistNHook's going to rank Cal #1.

He’s going to sneak in there and change your ballot one of these weeks. He must be stopped.

by BearsNecessity on Aug 15, 2008 1:10 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Dude, I’m so unstoppable, I’m going to sneak in there and change YOUR ballot one of these weeks. Watch out!

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't worry 'Necessity'

After Twist changes yours, I’ll change his and then lock out his password.

Because we all know I have the REAL power…. bwahahahahaha!

by kencraw on Aug 15, 2008 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh noes!

I actually voted for Cal to be the #1 Baby. Not #1, Baby. But #1 Baby. Just how I roll!

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I have a hard time with both Arizona State and Oregon at #11 and #15. One or the other but not both. This seems like kind of an all the children are above average thing. I don’t buy Oregon at #15 in a rebuilding year. They should be tied at #19 #20 with Cal.

Stanfurd Delendum Est.

by Olsonist on Aug 15, 2008 2:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I think the problem with polls in general is that they are treated more of as a last perception thing rather than a “where will this team be at the end of the season”. The reason we can believe that Cal can finish with 9+ wins, around the same if not more than Oregon/ASU, is the favorable schedule, and at the end of the season, the teams we usually see at the top played most of their tougher games at home.

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 2:57 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I thinks Oregon and Cal are a bit overrated here. Win a few and we’ll talk. I could personally give a shit about non-Pac 10 rankings and where Cal fits into some national picture. The sights should always be set on winning our damn conference. Anything beyond that is delicious dessert that may or may not be served.

by zoonews on Aug 15, 2008 3:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, its not that I believe Cal is a top-25 team right now, but that the stars are aligned for a 9+ win season. But ultimately, I’m just pulling a number out of my ass, cuz I’m a fan and certainly no expert.

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 3:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I gotcha on that. It just ultimately only matters if we run the table. Or if we are drunk in an airport bar looking for conversation. OK, so it matters a little bit.

by zoonews on Aug 15, 2008 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I live in an airport bar. So that scenario is more common for me than you might think.

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So now you’re a pilot and a lawyer?

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I specialize in airport bar law. It’s quite the up and coming field.

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lots of slips and falls. Right place, right time. That kind of thing?

by zoonews on Aug 15, 2008 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, complex civil litigation. Nothing you’d understand.

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is that anything like complex numbers?

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No, because I clearly don’t understand basic numbers, let alone complex ones!

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I soooo wish I knew Euler's fomula in 1a and 1b

‘cause complex exponentials are the shit.

It just makes everything simple.
Tedford isn’t god. Professor Kannan Ramchandran is god.

Stanfurd Delendum Est.

by Olsonist on Aug 15, 2008 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously, you speak the truth there brother. Although I wish it hadn’t come up 5 trillion times in EE 20/120. Hell I think it came up in CS170 too, but I can’t remember for what.

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Indians are not monotheistic, so Professor Ramchandran cannot be god. FAIL.

by BearsNecessity on Aug 15, 2008 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m an atheist and Ramchandran is still god. Rock Star professor. Evil tests. For the record, I got a B- in EE 120 and I wept salty tears of gratitude.

Stanfurd Delendum Est.

by Olsonist on Aug 15, 2008 4:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is Amplitude Modulation an LTI system? Well, is it, punk?

Stanfurd Delendum Est.

by Olsonist on Aug 15, 2008 4:04 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It should be LTI right….I should know this I just took 120 in the spring, with El Ghanoui.

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 4:24 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well FM is definitely not LTI. And it is so easy to think well nice little AM, it has to be LTI. And I only have about 30s I can spend on this question during the final. Ramchandran is going to throw us a bone, isn’t he? Isn’t he?

AM is not LTI. It is linear, but it isn’t time invariant. You’re basically multiplying a signal with a cosine, y(t) = x(t) cos(Ωt). As soon as you look at it that way, L but not TI.

Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self. Kick self.

I got it wrong and it’s such a great question.

Stanfurd Delendum Est.

by Olsonist on Aug 15, 2008 4:45 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ah, you’re right. We actually had that question on a midterm and I got it right then, but I have this annoying tendency to completely forget everything 15 minutes after the final.

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 4:49 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The California Golden Blogs: Off Topic and Occasionally Intelligent!

http://mymindgrapes.wordpress.com

by 408 on Aug 15, 2008 4:26 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd rather Cal not be ranked in the preseason...

And pounce on and surprise everyone else.

by Rishi on Aug 15, 2008 2:58 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Kind of like a cougar!

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:02 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Illinois at 18?!?!?!?!

And to think you used to have credibility.

What was that like, btw? Having credibility. One can hope, right? And yearn.

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:16 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, because 18 is SOOOOO different than 24.

I’ll let you know how it feels when I get some credibility.

by kencraw on Aug 15, 2008 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Who put Illinois at 24?

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You guys did (well I guess Ragnarok and Yellow Fever). Right below Rutgers (speaking of credibilty problems) and above Fresno State.

by kencraw on Aug 15, 2008 3:22 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh, wait, was that on that blog, California Golden Blogs? Yeah, I don’t read that POS blog.

What’s up with them? They love that Longshore shmuck TOO much.

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:27 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’m not rec’ing your post, because you didn’t believe I was going anywhere with Kenny Boy up there.

Have some faith, Zoo. There is a method to my madness. Speaking of my madness, what is my madness?

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

No time for fresh Madness. Here’s some day old Madness.

by zoonews on Aug 15, 2008 3:30 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

But I paid FULL PRICE for this madness. I expect the highest kwality!

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:33 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

So I should replace the ball with a turkey then?

by zoonews on Aug 15, 2008 3:36 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ok, also, I lied. About not rec’ing your post. NOt about having a plan.

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:29 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, but that airplane chasing is a bit more dangerous than ambulance chasing. Be careful out there twist!

by kencraw on Aug 15, 2008 3:16 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

How this happened, I’ll NEVER know

"Save The Oaks: Overthrow Capitalism" said Dumpster Muffin sanguinely

www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com

by TwistNHook on Aug 15, 2008 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ken’s Catholic homerism doesn’t quite match to Twist’s Marshawn homerism, but it’s still pretty funny.

by BearsNecessity on Aug 15, 2008 3:50 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

You may be right about the homerism, but I really think Notre Dame turns the corner this year. They’ve got a lot of great recruits over the last two years and I think they’ll be good enough to be a top-25 team throughout the season… but just barely.

Of course with their cake easy schedule, they may just look like a top-25 team but really stink until they get exposed in their overly lofty bowl game.

FWIW, the coaches poll has Notre Dame “unofficially” at 42 with 5 points, so I’m either not the only homer or I’m not alone at seeing them right.

by kencraw on Aug 15, 2008 4:11 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

They do have good recruits, but I’m not convinced Weis is the shining star he’s touted to be, and this is the year he can’t blame his personnel.

Anyway, seems like everyone has USC number one, but I’m not convinced that the fallback from Sanchez’s victory won’t be at least a few steps down the rankings ladder.

As for Cal, regardless of how well they do I don’t think they’ll crack the rankings until after the WSU game.

by sec119 on Aug 15, 2008 5:18 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

It appears in all this EE haze that there’s a little too much love for the Pac-10 and not enough for the Big East. You guys kind of totally forgot about UConn and Pitt, both of whom will challenge for tbe Big East crown, and should have 9 wins or more at the end of the season. It’s already been mentioned that ASU is likely to be the most underachieving team in the nation this year.

by RickySanchez on Aug 17, 2008 8:49 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sanchez

Is $C still number 1 even after losing their QB?

by Morpheus7148 on Aug 18, 2008 12:40 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

sanchez' injury isn't too bad

he may not play in the opener, but it sounds like he’ll be healthy by Ohio State time. also, his backups (Mustain and Corp) are hardly walk-on nobodies in the McLeon Bethel-Thompson vein. i think every team in the country has questions at this point, but i feel better about putting USC at the top than i would about anybody else.

So, basically, you gotta Go Bears!

by ragnarok on Aug 18, 2008 6:07 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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