Inside El Numeros
We've been posting a lot recently. So, if you missed anything, look at our Post CSU thoughts, our CSU photos, photos, and more photos, the Fantasy Week In Review, and our debate over Top 25 rankings. Also, the Roundtable and Conspiracy Post and Eating the Enemy. Plus, the Q+A with House Of Sparky. Now, back to my attempt to provide analysis, so pathetically shallow that Avinash will snarkingly snark me about it instantly.
I think I did that Spanish correctly in the title there. I took 4 years of California public school Spanish. But when I went to take the AP Test I found myself with a 2. A 2! Or as you say in Spanish El 2! 3 is passing.
I think the problem was the essay. The question was "If you had a chance to go to a school far away would you go and why?" I, of course, misread the words far away for close and wrote about how Cal was just 20 minutes away and I could see my family.
I was kinda hoping that they'd give me points for writing *an* essay even if its not *the* essay. But I guess not.
Hopefully, you dear reader, will still give me a passing grade on another putrid edition of Inside The Numbers. This time, it's Sundevil style.

All numbers are from here.
Let's first look at the Team Stats:
TEAM STATISTICS ASU OPP
--------------------------------------------------------
SCORING....................... 101 80
Points Per Game............. 25.2 20.0
FIRST DOWNS................... 79 80
Rushing..................... 22 31
Passing..................... 48 37
Penalty..................... 9 12
RUSHING YARDAGE............... 356 563
Yards gained rushing........ 427 635
Yards lost rushing.......... 71 72
Rushing Attempts............ 114 148
Average Per Rush............ 3.1 3.8
Average Per Game............ 89.0 140.8
TDs Rushing................. 4 4
PASSING YARDAGE............... 1182 784
Att-Comp-Int................ 131-86-2 131-71-3
Average Per Pass............ 9.0 6.0
Average Per Catch........... 13.7 11.0
Average Per Game............ 295.5 196.0
TDs Passing................. 7 4
TOTAL OFFENSE................. 1538 1347
Total Plays................. 245 279
Average Per Play............ 6.3 4.8
Average Per Game............ 384.5 336.8
KICK RETURNS: #-Yards......... 14-330 16-400
PUNT RETURNS: #-Yards......... 5-39 9-61
INT RETURNS: #-Yards.......... 3-42 2-30
KICK RETURN AVERAGE........... 23.6 25.0
PUNT RETURN AVERAGE........... 7.8 6.8
INT RETURN AVERAGE............ 14.0 15.0
FUMBLES-LOST.................. 6-3 6-0
PENALTIES-Yards............... 26-244 28-231
Average Per Game............ 61.0 57.8
PUNTS-Yards................... 17-680 22-930
Average Per Punt............ 40.0 42.3
Net punt average............ 36.4 37.8
TIME OF POSSESSION/Game....... 28:22 31:37
3RD-DOWN Conversions.......... 14/43 23/62
3rd-Down Pct................ 33% 37%
4TH-DOWN Conversions.......... 0/2 2/4
4th-Down Pct................ 0% 50%
SACKS BY-Yards................ 5-30 9-49
MISC YARDS.................... 0 32
TOUCHDOWNS SCORED............. 11 8
FIELD GOALS-ATTEMPTS.......... 8-9 8-9
ON-SIDE KICKS................. 0-0 0-0
RED-ZONE SCORES............... 14-15 93% 15-17 88%
RED-ZONE TOUCHDOWNS........... 7-15 47% 8-17 47%
PAT-ATTEMPTS.................. 11-11 100% 8-8 100%
ATTENDANCE.................... 254955 0
Games/Avg Per Game.......... 4/63739 0/0
Neutral Site Games.......... 0/0
SCORE BY QUARTERS 1st 2nd 3rd 4th OT Total
-------------------- --- --- --- --- --- ---
Arizona State....... 16 47 24 14 0 - 101
Opponents........... 7 34 13 23 3 - 80
A few interesting notes. Unlike CSU, which had a winning record, ASU, which is 2-2, has actually outscored their opponents. By a rather large margin, too. So, that stat is inane.
But look at the running numbers. They are getting out rushed by a VERY large margin. Moreover, the average per rush is a big margin, too. .7 might not sound like a lot, but per rush it certainly is. They only average 90ish yards per game.
So, yeah, everybody's noticed that ASU has a stunted running game. But look at this: they have a reasonable attempt at balance. 114 rushing attempts and 131 passing attempts. Divide that by 4 games and it is a very balanced attack. So, it's not like they aren't TRYING to run. They just aren't succeeding.
Dennis Erickson AND Rudy Carpenter have both said they want to establish a run game. Especially if its raining and the passing games are slowed. I would think that even with the injury to Jahvid Best, if it comes down to running games that points in Cal's favor.
Speaking of the run game, let's take a look at some run stats:
RUSHING GP-GS Att Gain Loss Net Avg TD Long Avg/G
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Nance, Dimitri 4-4 59 216 7 209 3.5 3 17 52.2
Herring, Keegan 1-0 12 60 1 59 4.9 1 20 59.0
DeWitty, Shaun 3-0 16 58 10 48 3.0 0 10 16.0
Keegan Herring via graphics.fansonly.com
Dmitri Nance via graphics.fansonly.com
Shaun DeWitty via graphics.fansonly.com
Going into the year Keegan Herring was the man at RB. I am of the understanding that he suffered an ankle injury of some sort. Apparently, he might be back for the Cal game. That would suck. Note now that Nance is the starter with Herring injured. Note that Herring was averaging 4.9 ypc, while Nance is averaging 3.5.
PASSING GP-GS Effic Cmp-Att-Int Pct Yds TD Lng Avg/G
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Carpenter, Rudy 4-4 165.42 85-123-2 69.1 1183 7 52 295.8
Carpenter is having a great season so far. I doubt he is happy with his 2-2 record, but he is personally doing well. Averaging about 300 yards a game, nearly 70% completion percentage. I don't understand the college QB rating, but 165 seems good to me.
Carpenter is clearly one of the best QBs in the Pac10, if not the best QB in the Pac10. He has some trouble with his run game, he has some trouble with his OLine, but he is a player to be feared. Now, if it rains that hurts his ability to throw out there, could benefit Cal. And we do have one of the best corners in SydGOD and a quickly improving corner in Hagan. So, that should be a VERY good battle on Saturday.
Rudy Carpenter via graphics.fansonly.com
RECEIVING GP-GS No. Yds Avg TD Long Avg/G
---------------------------------------------------------
Jones, Michael 4-4 21 326 15.5 1 52 81.5
Taylor, Kerry 4-2 15 271 18.1 2 52 67.8
McGaha, Chris 4-4 12 174 14.5 1 46 43.5
Williams, Kyle 4-1 10 202 20.2 1 49 50.5
Nance, Dimitri 4-4 9 52 5.8 0 10 13.0
As you might expect with a great QB, you get great stats for the WRs. 3 WRs with over 200 yards receiving so far. Kyle Williams is averaging over 20 yards a reception. Even Michael Jones, the receiver with the most catches is still averaging over 15. So, these guys going up against our stud LBs and DBs, that should be good to watch.
Michael Jones via graphics.fansonly.com
Kerry Taylor via graphics.fansonly.com
Chris McGaha via graphics.fansonly.com
Even Dmitri Nance is getting into the receiving picture, snagging some balls there, too.
Let's take a look at the defense.
DEFENSIVE LEADERS Solo Ast Total TFL/Yds No-Yds Int-Yds BrUp QBH Rcv-Yds FF Kick Saf
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
25 Nixon, Mike 22 13 35 1.0-1 . . 3 . . . . .
44 Goethel, Travis 13 16 29 3.0-7 . . . . . . . .
3 Bolden, Omar 13 5 18 . . . 2 . . . . .
22 Cox, Rodney 13 5 18 . . . 3 . . . . .
47 Munns, Gerald 8 8 16 2.5-4 . 1-16 . . . . . .
50 Guy, Lawrence 1 15 16 1.0-4 0.5-3 . . . . . . .
14 Nolan, Troy 9 6 15 . . 1-26 . . . . . .
49 Vasquez, Luis 7 7 14 1.5-3 . . . . . . . .
3B Singfield, Pierre 9 3 12 0.5-1 . . 2 . . . . .
41 Lyons, Shelly 9 2 11 . . . 1 . . . . .
19 Tabach, Max 7 4 11 . . . 1 . . . . .
2 McFoy, Ryan 3 8 11 1.5-2 . . 2 . . 1 . .
58 Davis, Dexter 7 3 10 6.0-26 4.0-23 . . . . . . .
Note that looking at the numbers, Gerald Munns really jumps out at you. But he is injured for this game. Dexter Davis also has 6 tackles for loss, so that should be a name to keep an eye on. His incredibly small head makes it tough for people to tackle him, I guess.
Dexter Davis via graphics.fansonly.com
Omar Bolden via graphics.fansonly.com
Omar Bolden has a lot of hype surrounding him and is performing well. But Goethel and Nixon are cleary playing well, leading the team in tackles. Note that they are LBs and not DBs, an encouraging sign for the ASU defense. Last year, Cal's leading tackler was a DB. Not always the best.
Travis Goethel via graphics.fansonly.com
Michael Nixon via graphics.fansonly.com
So, there you go, the numbers for ASU this year and some painfully shallow analysis. The very kind you'd expect from the California Golden Blogs.
With the potential for rain, that benefits the team with the better running game. Normally, thatd be Cal. But with Best injured and Herring potentially back in, that could swing things back to ASU. We'll see what the situation is on Saturday, but this is a really good test for where we are in the Pac10. GO BEARS!
0 recs |
65
comments
Read Related
Comments
Drunk Chic
Why does Carpenter always look like he just woke up drunk on the floor of a frat house? Regardless, his drunk ass can pass, even after taking a slew of hits.
by CountDuku on Oct 3, 2008 1:43 PM PDT 0 recs
Arizona State is OUTSCORING THEIR OPPONENTS in the first quarter?
World is collapsing.
by BearsNecessity on Oct 3, 2008 1:55 PM PDT 0 recs
If you take the Northern Arizona game out of the statistics, then they are being outscored 7-6 in the first quarter. They don’t seem to be off to good starts for their games, but they are also no longer allowing teams to build a double-digit lead in the first.
ಠ_ಠ
by Berkelium97 on
Oct 3, 2008 2:18 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Yes, they’ve now managed to put it off until the second quarter (21-3 Georgia, Stanford leading for much of the first half). If we can jump on them early this might be exactly what we need.
by BearsNecessity on
Oct 3, 2008 2:22 PM PDT
up
0 recs
rush defense of 140/game
is not that great.
it means the good rushing teams are over 200, if the poor rushing teams get 50 or 70.
by Rocksanddirt on Oct 3, 2008 1:59 PM PDT 0 recs
Rudy always starts strong then fades during Pac play

… so far he’s right on track.
by danzig on Oct 3, 2008 2:03 PM PDT 0 recs
Cal football>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>Imminent financial crisis.
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 2:18 PM PDT
up
0 recs
These numbers are actually very good, considering the quality of the passing defenses he was facing.
He finished above the defensive passer rating for every game except UW, where he was about on average with the passing D rating, and performed above average in every other game.
by BearsNecessity on
Oct 3, 2008 2:26 PM PDT
up
0 recs
CHART BATTLE!!!!!!!!!!!!1
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 2:28 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Dont you have a chart in rebuttal?
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 2:33 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Really, do we need to throw politics into everything?
It’s times like this I wish they’d never discovered CougCenterium.
by Maharg on
Oct 3, 2008 3:34 PM PDT
up
0 recs
We’re gonna have to check the chart on this one.
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 4:27 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Change chart to say Nate Longshore and it’s accurate for CGB.
by Rishi on
Oct 3, 2008 3:57 PM PDT
up
0 recs
College QB Passer Rating
Jake Curtis did a nice breakdown of the collegiate QB rating system in the Chronicle today (10/3/08).
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2008/10/03/SPM413AEU5.DTL
(beware of SFGate’s moving links!)
The college system was devised in 1979 such that the average quarterback would have a rating of 100. Clearly, with the evolution of the passing game, this is now way below average. I have no idea what the new “average” is, but it’s probably in the 120-130 range. I would like to hear from someone with some actual data, though.
by markdash on Oct 3, 2008 2:18 PM PDT 0 recs
Weather Forecast
The Weather is actually supposed to clear up by 10am…I’m closely monitoring weather.com’s hourly forecast.
Also, Cal briefly recruited Dexter Davis but I don’t believe ever offered. That picture is hilarious and definitely not what he looks like LOL.
by MCM711 on Oct 3, 2008 2:30 PM PDT 0 recs
We must never let him see our jokes about his head. He will easily crush us!
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 2:33 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Weather.com is a flip-flopper. They said yesterday that it will rain until 6pm Saturday and now they say it will rain until 10am. I demand straight-talk from my weather sites. I don’t care if they get new facts and analysis which allows them to make a more-qualified judgment, this flip-flopping is not what America needs. We need consistency and reliability, no matter how long it takes for everyone to realize how wrong that decision was. I’m not voting for weather.com.
ಠ_ಠ
by Berkelium97 on
Oct 3, 2008 2:49 PM PDT
up
0 recs
weather.com was already elected
so when that’s all you got, you have to go with it. even if they do constantly flip-flop! the key is to stay up-to-date.
by MCM711 on
Oct 3, 2008 2:52 PM PDT
up
0 recs
In Soviet Russia, you rain on giant queston marks.
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 3:02 PM PDT
up
0 recs
You betcha, weather.com is a Maverick!
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on Oct 3, 2008 2:51 PM PDT 0 recs
Weather Underground is the fresh new voice we need!
Although, they say it’s likely to rain all day tomorrow.
by CalBandGreat on
Oct 3, 2008 2:52 PM PDT
up
0 recs
What kind of voice is one that uses this symbol in their hourly break down: ![]()
I am totally confused!
by MCM711 on
Oct 3, 2008 2:56 PM PDT
up
0 recs
It’s obviously going to rain giant question marks tomorrow. Best we all stay in.
by CalBandGreat on
Oct 3, 2008 2:57 PM PDT
up
0 recs
holy crap. thanks for that breaking info. apparently the question marks will continue at night ![]()
by MCM711 on
Oct 3, 2008 3:00 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I hope they're not in the pockets of Big Meteorology
ಠ_ಠ
by Berkelium97 on
Oct 3, 2008 2:57 PM PDT
up
0 recs
acshualy
I think it’s a collection of personal weather stations from schools ’n such.
by CalBandGreat on
Oct 3, 2008 3:00 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Lack of rush yards is not comforting
Whenever I see a team’s supposed weakness get shrugged off without much thought I get nervous. Yes, ASU has had trouble running the football this year. What does that mean? Nothing. They obviously have the talent in the backfield with Herring, it just hasn’t shown up yet. Dennis Erickson specifically said that the team would be focusing more on the run game, so I assume that it was practiced with extra emphasis over the last week.
We made Da’Rell Scott look like Ron Dayne earlier this year, and we managed to do the same thing last year with that back at UW.
I will be looking for ASU to have a strong, capable running game, no matter what the stats have shown. Our defense needs to be prepared for whatever is thrown our way.
by Spazzy Mcgee on Oct 3, 2008 3:45 PM PDT 0 recs
This is Herring’s first game back from injury. His touches will be limited. Nance will still be the big back.
by BearsNecessity on
Oct 3, 2008 3:48 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Still not really comforted…Forsett and Lynch would regularly put up 100 yards with bum ankles. Herring is fast…
by Spazzy Mcgee on
Oct 3, 2008 3:53 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Except their QB sucks and our gameplan was built around stopping Ringer, so we were able to stop him.
by Rishi on
Oct 3, 2008 3:58 PM PDT
up
0 recs
…and our gameplan is built this week around beating Rudy. Not much different. Herring’s a decent back, but he only averaged 5.29 yards per carry (82nd in division I).
by BearsNecessity on
Oct 3, 2008 4:09 PM PDT
up
0 recs
5.29 yards per carry is 82nd in DI??? Wow, I would have guessed much higher.
by sec119 on
Oct 3, 2008 4:16 PM PDT
up
0 recs
His goalline numbers are abysmal. 1.44 ypc in the red zone. So Cal’s front seven should be concerned, but not worried about Herring’s playmaking ability.
by BearsNecessity on
Oct 3, 2008 4:27 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Will the loss of Davis be a factor in any of this?
by CalBandGreat on
Oct 3, 2008 4:30 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Somewhat, but I remember Davis getting injured during last year’s game, and it didn’t really affect the running game (ASU only rushed for 2.9 ypc). Carpenter was the big problem, because he kept on finding ways to put ASU in 3rd and short situations.
by BearsNecessity on
Oct 3, 2008 5:27 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Having a gameplan center around stopping the run game vs. stopping the pass game is … completely different.
by Spazzy Mcgee on
Oct 3, 2008 4:55 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Javon Ringer is the best!
I'm still wondering why the Nets didn't draft Leon Powe.
by yellow fever on
Oct 3, 2008 4:39 PM PDT
up
0 recs
So is Jahvid Best,
but if you told that to Maryland right now they’d probably laugh at you a little. Stats never tell the full story.
by Spazzy Mcgee on
Oct 3, 2008 4:49 PM PDT
up
0 recs
I agree somewhat with spazzy
I’m concerned that it will take 8-9 guys to control the running game, and then drunken frat boy kills us.
I hope we are able to control the run with just the front 7. and force carpenter to throw into better converage situations.
if our special teams and defense keep on like they have been, we could see a situation like CSU, where we get up a score or two early and force them to abandon running early.
by Rocksanddirt on
Oct 3, 2008 3:52 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Los numeros*
Not el numeros.
Wow I need something to do quite badly.
Go Bears!
by RollOnYouBears667 on Oct 3, 2008 4:03 PM PDT 0 recs
I think you misread the word "essay" Twist
I can only assume they meant esse, as in pal, chum, or homie, which Twist you are. So maybe they wanted you to write about yourself.
Damn word problems and shit.
The Artist Formerly Known as OrState GoBeavs
by The VD Special on Oct 3, 2008 4:04 PM PDT 0 recs
The Weather Channel says it’s going to stop raining by 10am, but we all know they’re in the pocket of Big Meterology and that they only represent the special interests in the atmosphere.
Joe Sixpack/Main Street USA/the original weather mavericks say it will rain through the afternoon perhaps into early evening.
ಠ_ಠ
by Berkelium97 on
Oct 3, 2008 4:53 PM PDT
up
0 recs
thanks.
I don’t care so much about game time, but in the morning when I have to pay attention at ABD rehearsal, rain sucks.
by game time I’m loaded and it doesn’t matter.
by Rocksanddirt on
Oct 3, 2008 4:55 PM PDT
up
0 recs
watch out for large question marks falling out of the sky – late afternoon and early evening on saturday
by MCM711 on
Oct 3, 2008 4:57 PM PDT
up
0 recs
You were in the band?
I'm no The Maharg! But I try. Oh, how I try!
www.CaliforniaGoldenBlogs.com
by TwistNHook on
Oct 3, 2008 6:30 PM PDT
up
0 recs
yep.
back in the dark ages of Joe Kapp. Who is actually a neat guy….but not that great a coach.
by Rocksanddirt on
Oct 3, 2008 8:58 PM PDT
up
0 recs
the question marks are cool....
unless they are mixed with snow…
by Rocksanddirt on Oct 3, 2008 5:00 PM PDT 0 recs
CGB gets Wordled
Check this out! It basically reads this blog and represents the most commonly used words in large size. So at CGB we love the words “Tedford”, “Riley” and “Longshore” followed by “Cal”, “Game”, “Theory” (huh!?), etc.
In other words, Go Bears!
by royrules22 on Oct 3, 2008 5:09 PM PDT 0 recs
Interesting....
we should use the work Bears more.
by Rocksanddirt on
Oct 3, 2008 9:00 PM PDT
up
0 recs
Bears
QUESTION. What kind of bear is best? Answer. Black bear. Bears eat beets. Bears. Beets. Battlestar Galactica.
by GoldBlooded on
Oct 3, 2008 10:50 PM PDT
up
0 recs
















