CGB Predicts the California Golden Bears 2010 Football Season! + Bonus Roundtable!
by Berkelium97 on Sep 3, 2010 2:00 AM PDT
in California Golden Bears Football
3 comments
| Opponent | Win Probability |
| UC Davis | 0.978 (+.003) |
| Colorado | 0.841 (+.004) |
| at Nevada | 0.718 (+.000) |
| at Arizona | 0.527 (-.028) |
| UCLA | 0.774 (+.045) |
| at USC | 0.351 (+.078) |
| Arizona St. | 0.767 (+.026) |
| at Oregon St. | 0.399 (-.005) |
| at Wash St. | 0.885 (-.011) |
| Oregon | 0.531 (+.056) |
| Furd | 0.691 (+.003) |
| Washington | 0.633 (+.036) |
| Total | 8.113 (+.188) |
TwistNHook: One more day, my Cal friends. One more day. We are so close to the start of the college football season. We are so close to warm, blue skies over Memorial as 70,000 stand as one. We are so close to march up, pre-game, half time, and march down. We are so close to the final season in Old Memorial Stadium before the alterations and upgrades to the West Side, including the SAHPC.
As we transition into the regular season, we wanted to take one last look at the pre-season expectations of Cal fans. We recently polled our readership and thank you so much for the responses. We had over 250 responses! We did this in the spring and discovered that when all the votes were counted and the numbers crunched, Cal fans provided a 2010 winning percentage of 7.925:
Indeed, the final average from our season indicates a return to the previous two seasons--a regular season finish of around 8-4, with the actual expected value of wins around 7.925, with a standard deviation of 0.86. So it looks like our fans are expecting a solid if unspectacular season, akin to 2008, where expectations were not a big part of the game.
Well, we're pumping even more Tedford sunshine than normal, because Cal fans have slightly increased their winning percentage for the 2010 season. As seen in the chart to the right, there was a .188 increase to 8.133 wins. Now, either way, you are looking at approximately 8 wins, a solid, in unspectacular year. You can see that fans have become more confident in victories over Oregon and USC. However, they have even larger concerns regarding Arizona and *gasp* Washington State. The differences are not great from the spring numbers, but they are still clear.
After the jump, let's take a closer look at the numbers and see how your CGB mods are approaching this season. GO BEARS!
3 comments | 1 recs |
Golden Nuggets: Prediction Thursday
by Berkelium97 on Sep 2, 2010 7:00 PM PDT
in Golden Nuggets
4 comments
(To discuss USC-Hawaii and the remainder of today's action, please go here to yellow fever's Eating the Enemy Open Thread)
The great wait is over, fellow Sunshine Pumpers. The season has finally kicked off!
Today we'll take a look at what various experts think will happen in this weekend's matchup against UC Davis. Unfortunately, no one seems to care about the matchup because Cal is a) unranked and b) playing a team that most people east of the Sierras have never heard of. Thankfully, the always-reliable Ted Miller provides some predictions (and even takes a jab at Stanford!).
California 55, UC Davis 11: I love picking scores. Double-nickels and legs-11! An FCS school doesn't move the needle much on the interest meter.
Stanford 44, Sacramento State 11: See how I did that? I've given Stanford fans something to grouse about. It's for their own good. Now that your team is competitive again, Cardinal adherents, you need to adopt the irrational paranoia that infects all great fan bases. As in: "I can't believe Miller picked us to only score 44 on Sacramento State while he picked Oski-U to score 55 on UC Davis. He's clearly biased towards Cal!"
In addition to score predictions, this year I'll offer attendance predictions. I can use the attendance models I generated this summer to predict each home game's attendance.
This weekend, the models tell us to expect between about 50k and 55k fans. The low numbers are due to the lack of prestige associated with playing Davis. Rumor has it Davis fans are fired up about the game, something the model isn't necessarily picking up. If we treat the Davis game like the UCLA game (California team, intra-institutional rivalry) then we get estimates between 62k and 67k. I'll take the median estimate from the three applicable models and say that this weekend's contest will have a turnout of 64,963.
After the jump TheAggie previews the UC Davis season, the team hosts its first media luncheon, JO interviews Shane Vereen, Tedford makes some final tweaks to the depth chart, and much more.
Eating the Enemy: UC Davis + Open Thread For Tonight's Games
by yellow fever on Sep 2, 2010 4:00 PM PDT
in California Golden Bears Football
452 comments
From Backwoods Home Magazine:
Sauerbraten (Sour Roast)
Practically a German sacrament
2-1/2 lbs. horse meat roast
4 strips bacon (optional)
soup vegetables: carrot, celery, leek (optional), parsley root (optional), onion (optional)
1 cup red wine vinegar
1 pint red wine (optional)
1 garlic clove
2 bay leaves
1 Tbsp. juniper berries
3 allspice corns and/or cloves
3 peppercorns
1 thyme branch
1/4 cup pork lard
1 Tbsp. flour (optional)
1/2 cup raisins
salt
pepper
maple syrup (to taste)Vigorously rub the roast with the bacon. Clean and wash the vegetables and cut them into pieces. Bring the vinegar to boil with some water or stock, then let it cool down a bit and add the meat, garlic, spices, and the vegetables. Let it marinade in a closed bowl for several days (but at least 24 hours) in a cool place.
Remove the horse meat from the marinade and roast it in the lard. Then slowly add the marinade, together with the vegetables and the spices. Braise it in the oven for 2 to 21/2 hours at 350 degrees. Remove the bay leaves, the cloves and the juniper berries from the gravy. Strain the gravy, and perhaps thicken it with some flour. Add the raisins and season it with salt, pepper, and maple syrup. Serves 4.
Use this as your thread for tonight's opening games of the 2010 college football season! Go Scarlet Knights! Schedule after the jump.
Golden Recruiting Wire: Cal Legacy Richard Rodgers Pledges
by solarise on Sep 2, 2010 12:00 PM PDT
in California Golden Bears Recruiting
6 comments
$ - subscription required
August 24, 2010 | August 19, 2010 | August 12, 2010 | August 5, 2010
July 28, 2010 | July 22, 2010 | July 15, 2010 | July 8, 2010
Friday Night Lights
Palo Verdes Panthers (Las Vegas, NV) defeated Grass Valley Gators 62-20 [1][2][3]. Brandon Wright, RB/DB had the most statistically dominating week of all Cal recruits by rushing for 292yds on the ground w/ 4 TDs on 12 carries. He had at least 4 runs of > 20yds (44, 65, 68, 29).
Highlights from the game (Wright is #4 in white) -
Grant Union Pacers (Sacramento, CA) featuring Viliami Moala, DT, James Sample, S, Shaq Thompson, ATH {2012} defeated Folsom Bulldogs 49-14 [4][5][6][7][8][9]. Thompson rushed for 127yds on 18 carries and a TD in addition to catching 3 passes for 91yds and a TD [10]. Moala was triple-teamed all night long [11]. Photo galleries from the game [12][13].
6 comments | 2 recs |
An Introduction To UC Davis Football: Interview With The California Aggie
by Avinash on Sep 2, 2010 3:00 AM PDT
in California Golden Bears Football
42 comments
Finding information on UC Davis is a challenge. In terms of mainstream media coverage, it's probably Phil Steele and bust. The only thing I know is they have a really cool cavern for a stadium (you can have a picnic from the end zone side!) And they beat that team above.
There's only one main source for UC Davis sports news--The California Aggie, the college's independent newspaper. We talked with Grace Sprague (football beat reporter) and Jason Alpert (California Aggie sports editor) to learn more about the UC Davis football team, the school, and how confident they are in victory this Saturday. Turnos out they're very confident in their team.
1. Let's be honest - we know nothing about the Aggies other than the fact that they're from close by. What should we know?
Grace: Well, you’re not alone. Limited TV and media exposure tend to keep FCS schools under the radar, and UC Davis is no different. However, we recently made the jump from Division II to Division I FCS, and have played such major conference opponents as Stanford, TCU, Boise, and Fresno State — and now of course, Cal. Perhaps the most important thing to know about this team is that they’re coming off of a Great West Conference championship, beating traditional FCS powerhouses, including our rivals Cal Poly San Luis Obispo and Sac State.
Jason: Davis and Cal actually have a pretty intertwined history. Davis started off as the Agricultural extension of Berkeley in 1905, hence the name Aggies. We are Big West for a majority of our sports, but Great West for football. We actually won the Great West title outright last year. Starting in 2003, we started the transition to D-1. Before we were Division II for all sports. As of 2007, UC Davis was Division 1 for all sports. We are in D-I AA for football, so you won't be seeing the Ags in the Rose Bowl anytime soon. Something the Aggies and Bears have in common is that we've both beaten Stanford. UC Davis upset the Cardinal in 2005 20-17.
42 comments | 6 recs |
Bears In The Pros: Aaron Rodgers (NFL Preseason Week 2)
1 day ago
ieeeBear
13 comments
4 recs
Cal Fan Appreciation Day 2010 IV
by TwistNHook on Sep 1, 2010 5:00 PM PDT
in California Golden Bears Football
25 comments
Whew! Lots of action going on this year. Last we left out, we were meeting some of the younger players. They might not contribute in 2010, but perhaps in 2011, 2012, or 2013 we'll look back at the photos and say "Remember when Bartolo looked so young!" as we did with Vereen and Mohamed from 2007.
Next, we stumbled onto the kickers. We saw our good friend Giorgio Tavecchio.
He was speaking fluent Italian with another person as we approached. I told him, quite brashly, that, I, too, was fluent in Italian and if he wanted to hear any. I was admonished not to say any bad words, but I assured him I would not do anything untoward. Of course, he might have doubted me when I broke out my fluent Italian, consisting of the ever classic "THATSA SPICYA MEATABALLLLA." So racist. So very racist.
And with that delightfully casual racism against the Italians, we enter the final part of the Cal Fan Appreciation Day.
25 comments | 3 recs |
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Golden Bears Football Schedule
| UC Davis | Sat 09/04 | 1:00 PM PDT |
Colorado
|
Sat 09/11 | 12:30 PM PDT |
| @ Nevada | Fri 09/17 | 7:00 PM PDT |
|
@
Arizona
|
Sat 09/25 | 7:00 PM PDT |
|
UCLA
|
Sat 10/09 | TBA |
|
@
USC
|
Sat 10/16 | 12:30 PM PDT |
|
Arizona St.
|
Sat 10/23 | TBA |
|
@
Oregon St.
|
Sat 10/30 | TBA |
|
@
Washington St.
|
Sat 11/06 | TBA |
|
Oregon
|
Sat 11/13 | TBA |
| Stanford | Sat 11/20 | 12:30 PM PST |
|
Washington
|
Sat 11/27 | TBA |
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